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Oddsmakers think the Redskins are in the market for Nick Foles, and they're quite wrong

Oddsmakers think the Redskins are in the market for Nick Foles, and they're quite wrong

For the second straight season, the Eagles find themselves in a dilemma with backup quarterback Nick Foles. The difference this year, however, is Foles won't be back in Philadelphia next season (UPDATE: On Feb. 27, the Eagles confirmed they will let him be a free agent)

There is another place Foles won't be next season: Washington. 

Bovada and other offshore sportsbooks put out odds on where Foles would end up in 2019, and weirdly, the Redskins claimed the second highest chances. 

One thing to keep in mind with Vegas odds: the point isn't to guess correctly where Foles lands, rather get the most money spent on the guesses. And a number of Redskins fans love the idea of Foles wearing Burgundy and Gold next season. 

It's just not going to happen. 

Sure, the Redskins have a need at quarterback. Alex Smith suffered a significant leg injury last season and few expect him to play in 2019. Colt McCoy is under contract for this season, and he's a great person and a capable player, but he hasn't proven an ability to stay healthy for 16 games.

And, yeah, Washington needs a quarterback and Foles is probably the best veteran passer available. How many former Super Bowl MVP QBs become available? It just doesn't happen, but the Eagles are committed to Carson Wentz as their quarterback of the future. 

Still, there are a few reasons why Foles to the Redskins is not happening. Let's make them crystal clear:

  1. C.R.E.A.M. - Foles is due $20 million this season and if he actually hits free agency, he could command more than that on the open market. The Redskins already have $24 million on the books at the QB position between Smith and McCoy. Washington cannot afford to add another QB with a salary of $10 million, let alone $20 million. Bruce Allen needs to find cash to fix a number of positions, and the team cannot go past $30 million total at the QB position, and would probably be wise to keep that number lower if at all possible. The 'Skins CANNOT afford Foles. 
     
  2. It takes two - The Eagles are doing everything possible to retain control of Foles and then trade him. It might not happen, as it requires using a franchise tag on Foles with no intention of actually working towards a long-term deal, but Philly will try. If the Eagles are able to trade Foles, they're not going to trade him in the division to Washington. This is not an aging Donovan McNabb.  
     
  3. 2020 Vision - One reason the Redskins aren't pursuing the nuclear option with Alex Smith - cutting him this offseason and taking a massive $40 million cap hit - is because some corners of Redskins Park wonder if he can play again in 2020. That question will become more clear over the coming weeks and months, and should have some level of clarity by the NFL Draft in late April. At that point, the 'Skins can and should look to draft a quarterback. A draft pick would be affordable due to the NFL rookie wage scale, and if it's a late-round pick, that player might not be ready to start by 2020 anyway. Foles and Smith can't cohabit the Redskins roster in 2020, but Smith and a second-year rookie might be able to. 
     

Redskins fans should absolutely expect a new quarterback to join the Redskins between now and the start of OTAs.

It just won't be Nick Foles. 

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Here's why there's a prop bet that Kyle Shanahan's 49ers will blow a significant lead

Here's why there's a prop bet that Kyle Shanahan's 49ers will blow a significant lead

The Super Bowl always brings obscure prop bets that raise eyebrows. Outside of the annual wagers on the color of Gatorade poured on the coach or the duration of the national anthem, each Super Bowl brings unique bets fans can make.

This year, one prop bet revolves around San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan and what happened the last time he was on the sidelines for a Super Bowl. That was, of course, the infamous 2017 Super Bowl, when Shanahan was the offensive coordinator of the Atlanta Falcons.

His team had a commanding 28-3 lead with 8:31 to play in the third quarter. But as the Patriots went on their run to cut the deficit, the Falcons couldn’t muster a score of their own to put the game away. Further, Shanahan’s play-calling faced scrutiny for his fourth-quarter decisions not to run the ball to expend the clock.

As Shanahan gets set for a chance at Super Bowl redemption, the sportsbook PointsBet is offering 100-1 odds that his team will blow another 28-3 lead in this year’s Super Bowl.

Some may be hesitant to take those odds, chalking up the 2017 Super Bowl as a one-off. But a deeper dive into his time with the Redskins from 2010-2013 shows that Shanahan’s offenses were susceptible to reeling off dynamic starts before lowly second halves.

In just his second game manning the Redskins offense, Washington took a 27-10 lead over the Houston Texans with under four minutes to go in the third quarter. The Texans then scored 20 unanswered points to win 30-27 in overtime.

Two years later, also in Week 2, Shanahan and company raced out to a 21-6 lead midway through the second quarter and looked prime to improve to 2-0 with then-rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. But the offensive productivity fizzled out, and the Rams came back to win 31-28.

Shanahan’s most significant blown lead in Washington came in the Wild Card playoff game against the Seattle Seahawks. In the Redskins’ first playoff home game since 1999, the team staked a 14-0 lead in the first quarter but failed to score again thereafter en route to a 24-14 loss.

During the 2013 season, his last in Washington, Shanahan saw his offense falter after building two-score leads in three games.

Against the eventual Super Bowl runner-up Broncos, the Redskins held a 21-7 lead in the third quarter before Denver rallied to win decisively, 45-21. Two weeks later, the offense led the team to a 24-14 first half against the Vikings, but managed just one field goal in the second half in a 34-27 loss. And in a Week 13 home game against the Giants, Washington led 14-0 early in the second quarter, but eventually lost 24-17.

None of Shanahan’s blown leads in Washington were as high as 25 points, nor were they on one of the biggest stages in sports. But when you’re considering the 28-3 prop bet this year, just know that there are other results beyond the 2017 Super Bowl to base your decision on.

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Redskins Talk live from Miami for Super Bowl week: How to watch, live stream, listen

Redskins Talk live from Miami for Super Bowl week: How to watch, live stream, listen

Before the Kansas City Chiefs and the San Francisco 49ers play for the right to hoist the Lombardi Trophy, the Redskins Talk crew will break down the Redskins and happenings around the NFL.

JP Finlay and Mitch Tischler will welcome special guests everyday from Tuesday to Friday, live from Radio Row in Miami.

The Redskins are in the midst of a busy time, ushering in a new era under the direction of newly minted head coach Ron Rivera. With the NFL Combine, free agency and the draft right around the corner, Redskins Talk has your fix with analysis, discussion and high-profile guests. 

Here's everything you need to know.

Redskins Talk: End of Season Special

When: Every day from Tuesday, January 28, through Friday, January 31, from 12 p.m. to 1 p.m.

Where: Radio Row in Miami

Live Stream: Click here to watch the live stream on NBCSportsWashington.com or stream in the MyTeams App (click here to download)

TV Channel: NBC Sports Washington (Channel Finder)

Want to subscribe to Redskins Talk?: 
Apple Podcasts | Google Podcasts | Spotify | Stitcher | Art19

Click here to download the MyTeams App by NBC Sports. Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream Capitals and Wizards games easily from your device.

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