Predicting the NFL Draft ranks among the biggest of fool's errands. The draft will change day by day for the next three weeks, and then, things will change another 50 times during draft week.
That isn't to say, however, that through research, conversations and a little bit of common sense, some conclusions can't be formed before the NFL descends upon Nashville.
Below is an attempt at putting together some ideas of what the Redskins will, and will not, be looking to do when April 25th rolls around. These predictions are bold in nature, so leave preconceived notions at the hangar before stepping on the aircraft.
5) They won’t take a WR at 15 - There isn’t anybody that good. The guys that killed it at the Combine don’t have the tape, and the guys with the great tape didn’t kill it at the Combine. One former NFL GM explained that when the receiver run starts, the Redskins should be in a good position in the second round to get somebody that can help right away. Watch out for Ohio State’s Parris Campbell in round two.
4) Three of the first four picks will be offense - The Redskins know they need help at receiver, guard and tight end in addition to help all over the defense. But there are a number of potential starters at positions of need on the offensive side of the football during Friday night’s picks. Bruce Allen and the Redskins brass currently hold three selections in the second and third rounds, and it would be zero surprise if those three picks address needs on offense. The 2019 WR group isn't top heavy, but it has a lot of good value on Friday night. Same with the interior offensive line and tight end.
Bonus Prediction: The Redskins are drafting a tight end - When Jay Gruden spoke at the NFL League Meetings about how limited his offense became because of his combination of tight ends, fans should have been paying attention. The 'Skins have more money invested at the tight end position than any other team in the NFL, and if the team can grab a young player on a rookie deal, Vernon Davis' contract could become a salary cap casualty.
3) They will take defense at 15 - The Redskins desperately need an edge rusher to pair opposite Ryan Kerrigan and have a good chance at a potential Pro Bowl sack guy here. That’s the goal. If not, the talent available at linebacker or corner presents more than what will be available offensively. Unless TJ Hockenson somehow lasts to 15. If the Iowa tight end makes it to 15, the Redskins will take him. He could directly answer Gruden's conundrum about having a tight end that can block or get open in the pass game. Right now, the tendency to use Jeremy Sprinkle in run situations and Reed and/or Davis in pass situations is a clear detriment to Washington's offense.
2) No quarterback drafted - The Redskins aren’t taking Drew Lock, Daniel Jones or Dwayne Haskins. They’re not taking Will Grier. They’re not taking a late-round QB. You’ll see why next.
1) No second-round pick - The Redskins won’t have a second-round pick because it will be included in a trade for Josh Rosen. A second this year and a third in 2020, with maybe an additional fifth from 2019. The team holds three of them. Rosen for a collection of picks, while keeping the 15th overall pick and another selection in the third round, would be a great way to add a QB of the future in Washington. Plus, it could still let the 'Skins get edge rush help in the first round and a WR, TE or guard in the third.
Bonus Bonus Prediction - Despite seemingly being loaded at the RB and tackle positions, Washington makes late round picks at both spots. The team has three fifth-round picks and two seventh-round picks.
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