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Prediction recap: Alex Ovechkin gets more ice time but not much

Prediction recap: Alex Ovechkin gets more ice time but not much

We’ve got a tie series! The Caps split two games in Toronto after a 5-4 win in Game 4 and now return home with the series tied at 2.

Here’s a recap of the three bold predictions for Game 4.

1. Alex Ovechkin will get over 23 minutes of ice time – Not even close

Interestingly enough, Ovechkin’s ice time for Game 4 was still low at just 16:31. That’s not enough. Granted, the third period started with the Caps being on the five on three penalty kill for almost an entire two minutes. That cuts into Ovechkin’s minutes for sure, but Trotz still needs to find a way to get his best player out on the ice. And while we are on the subject of playing time, Daniel Winnik got 6:37 and Brett Connolly just 4:26. Has Trotz lost faith in his fourth line?

RELATED: 3 key observations: Wilson shows potential Caps always saw in him

2. Toronto will take a goalie interference penalty - Wrong

I am tempted to give myself half a point here because Toronto’s fourth goal was reviewed for goalie interference, but the goal stood and, to be honest, that play wasn’t goalie interference. The referees made the correct call. The disallowed goal for Nate Schmidt? Well, that’s a different story, but I digress. I thought Toronto would be much more physical with Holtby, but they really didn’t change what they have been doing which makes sense. They are getting over three goals per game against Holtby, there’s no reason to change anything.

3. Whoever scores first will win - Correct

Washington took the early 2-0 lead and finished the first period up 4-1. The rest of the game was no cakewalk though, as the Caps escaped with just a one-goal victory. That big win we all keep expecting from Washington, that 4-1 or 5-0 breakout win we all expected to see may not be coming. But, so long as the Caps escape this series, no one will care how big their margin of victory was.

2017 Predictions: The playoffs, in general, are hard to predict and this series is proving to be no different.

Correct: 5
Wrong: 7
Push: 0

MORE CAPITALS: Are these the bravest Capitals fans to ever live?

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Caps GM Brian MacLellan is not worried about any disadvantage from the bye week, says the Cup is 'up for grabs'

Caps GM Brian MacLellan is not worried about any disadvantage from the bye week, says the Cup is 'up for grabs'

With a round-robin tournament to determine the top four seeds in each conference heading into the playoffs, it is fair to wonder what was the point of the regular season? Considering those top teams will get a bye and then go on to play a team that just won a series in the play-in round, one could certainly argue that the 24-team format the NHL will use when it returns to play actually puts the top teams at a disadvantage.

But you're not going to hear any complaining from Capitals general manager Brian MacLellan.

"I don't think there's a perfect solution here on the playoff," MacLellan said Friday in a video conference. "I think the league has done a reasonable good job of just trying to include all of the issues they can, and make it as competitive and compelling as possible. And I think it's very interesting how it could play out. It could be great to watch on TV."

Over the course of an 82-game regular season, there is incentive to finish high in the standings. The system is set up to try to give the top seeds a clear advantage in the playoffs in order to add meaning to the regular season. But that's not the system we have in 2020.

Each of the top four seeds in each conference receives a bye through the play-in round. Considering we don't know what teams are going to look like or how difficult it will be to get back up to game speed, that is a definite advantage. Even in a normal year, we see several upsets in the playoffs so the fact a team like the Caps are exempt from that is a definite boon. The problem is what happens after.

When the Caps take the ice in the round of 16, they will have played some exhibition games, three round-robin games to determine seeding and that's it. Their opponent will be coming off a playoff series. We may be calling it a play-in round, but that's just semantics. It's a do-or-die playoff series. It does not seem likely that Washington will be at the same intensity level or game speed as their opponent in that first round after three round-robin games.

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While MacLellan acknowledged the set up may provide the lower seeds with an advantage entering the round of 16, he thought the idea that it was unfair to the top seeds was overblown.

"[It] could be a slight disadvantage," he said. "You're going to play a few exhibition games and then you play a round-robin tournament. But I still think those games are going to be competitive against good teams. I mean you're playing Tampa, you're playing Boston, you're playing Philly - all real good teams. I don't know that it's going to be that big a deal for the next round, and they'll be playing competitive games. So I think it's a fairly level playing field. It's not perfect, but I think reasonably it's good."

Even if MacLellan is not buying the play-in teams getting a competitive advantage, he did acknowledge that there is not nearly as much incentive to earn the top seed considering there will be no home-ice advantage.

While being the "home team" will still earn teams a few slight advantages like getting the second line change, obviously with all the games being played in hub cities with no fans, the round-robin series won't be for "home ice."

“I don’t know, you’re in a hub city, what is home-ice advantage," MacLellan said. "You get last shift, you get your last change. I’m assuming that is a competitive advantage so seeding could become important. You would want that advantage throughout the playoffs. You look at Boston and Boston has probably earned to be a home ice, last change team throughout the playoffs, but they have to go through a mini-series to determine their seed. It’s important to a certain extent, but the fact that you are playing in a hub city lessens it a little bit.”

MacLellan is not going to come out and say this system puts Washington at a disadvantage, but there is no question there is a lot less on the line in the round-robin tournament than there is in the play-in rounds considering there is no home ice. But that fact is that we don't know what any of this is going to look like. All of this is unprecedented and anything can happen. For MacLellan, he's not going to worry about what advantages the Caps do or do not have because to him, the Cup is on the line and that's all he's focused on.

"I think the championship's up for grabs with the format is the way it is right now," MacLellan said. "A lot of teams could upset other teams and anything could happen, basically. And I think it would be entertaining, it would be compelling, and it'd be fun to watch. If you're one of the teams that gets upset, it might not be as fun. But it could be wildly entertaining."

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Alex Ovechkin's message amid George Floyd protests: 'Respect and love each other'

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Alex Ovechkin's message amid George Floyd protests: 'Respect and love each other'

While we all miss hockey and sports, there are things a heck of a lot more important than sports going on in our country right now and Alex Ovechkin added his voice on Monday with a hopeful Twitter message.

Washington, D.C., like much of the country, is experiencing massive protests in the wake of the senseless death of George Floyd. While Ovechkin may not be American, he certainly has become a public figure in Washington and he tweeted out a message asking everyone to "respect and love each other."

Stay safe out there everyone.

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