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Who's hot and who's not?: Holtby is rediscovering his Vezina winning form

Who's hot and who's not?: Holtby is rediscovering his Vezina winning form

Once a week this season, we're taking a closer look at the numbers and pointing out a few trends that every Capitals fan should know about.

RELATED: Prediction recap: Caps dominate Tampa from start to finish

HOT

Braden Holtby

-- After Friday’s 4-0 blanking of the Bolts, Holtby now has three shutouts this season, including two in his last five starts. Only Devan Dubnyk (5), Tuukka Rask (4) and Peter Budaj (4) have more. Since the 2012-13 season, Holtby has 23 shutouts, which is tied with Rask for the most shutouts during that timeframe. (Carey Price is second with 22.) In his last eight starts, Holtby is 5-1-2 with a .949 save percentage and 1.47 goals against average.  

Dmitry Orlov

-- Orlov made the highlights Friday night for his aerial set-up pass to Alex Ovechkin against the Lightning. But he’s actually been setting up goals with regularity for a while now. In fact, the 25-year-old defenseman has seven assists in the last nine games, putting him on pace for a career-best 33 helpers. Seems the defensive pair tweaks are working out for everyone involved, huh?

Nicklas Backstrom

-- With a pair of assists against Tampa, Backstrom now needs just three to become the 10th Swede to record 500 assists for his career. The 10th year veteran has eight points (two goals, six assists) in the last eight games and 18 points in the last 20. Backstrom leads the Caps with 29 points; Ovechkin and Marcus Johansson are second with 24.

Penalty kill

-- The Caps have faced five shorthanded situations the past two games…and did not yield a shot on goal on any of them. Over the past six games, the penalty kill has allowed just one goal. As a result, the unit is up to sixth in the NHL at 84.8-percent after scuffling near the bottom of the league for a time earlier this season.

 

NOT

The Caps’ upcoming schedule

-- The players and coaches had better enjoy this three-day break (and manage to get some rest, too). Because it’s going to be crazy on the other side of it. The Caps return to action Tuesday in Brooklyn…and then it’s a full out sprint for three weeks, with a game scheduled every other day for 21 straight days.

Evgeny Kuznetsov’s faceoffs

-- Kuznetsov has never been particularly strong on faceoffs. In recent games, though, he’s struggled more than usual. In fact, he’s won fewer than 40-percent of his draws in six straight games, including just 27.3-percent (3 of 11) vs. the Lightning. That marked his third-lowest percentage of the season. Overall, he’s fourth among the Caps’ full-time centers at 41.4-percent. 

The Caps' record in shootouts

--After Wednesday's 3-2 loss in Philly, the Caps fell to 1-3 in games decided by shootout this season. Considering how tight the playoff race figures to remain down the stretch, every point matters. As a result, the Caps have dedicated a little more time in practice to shootout drills. Will it pay off? (I'll have a little more on this next week.)   

MORE CAPITALS: Carlson and the Caps' D are starting to 'heat up' offensively 

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Prospect Joe Snively was cheering outside Capital One Arena when the Capitals won the Stanley Cup

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Prospect Joe Snively was cheering outside Capital One Arena when the Capitals won the Stanley Cup

There were many incredible aspects to the Capitals’ 2018 Stanley Cup run, but one of the best was how fans took over the streets in the Stanley Cup Final. Little did we know that a future Cap was among the faithful outside of Capital One Arena.

Forward prospect and Herndon, Va. native Joe Snively was signed as a college free agent in March 2019. He is an alum of the Little Capitals local youth hockey program and, not surprisingly given his background, he grew up as a Caps fan.

For all Washington fans, June 7, 2018, is a day that will never be forgotten as it was the day the team won its first Stanley Cup. We all have our own story of where we were that day and how we watched. Snively is no different.

“I was downtown DC outside the arena watching on the big screen,” he told Mike Vogel in an interview at the team’s development camp.

“It was a great feeling,” Snively continued. “At that time I didn’t know I’d have the opportunity to sign with the Capitals and it was an amazing feeling. I’ve been a Caps fan ever since I started watching hockey and it was great to see them after all those years in the playoffs to win the Cup. It was amazing.”

The Alex Ovechkin era is important to Washington hockey not just because he brought the city a Cup, but because of the increased interest at the youth level. Interest early on should increase the sport and the team’s popularity. That, in turn, should lead to more youth participation which should lead to a more competitive youth program and homegrown talent entering professional hockey. The increased interest from that should further boost hockey in the region thus repeating the cycle.

Snively is just the first example.

It kind of makes you wonder how many other future Caps were in that crowd watching the team win the Cup.

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20 Burning Capitals Questions: Can the power play get back to an elite level?

20 Burning Capitals Questions: Can the power play get back to an elite level?

The long, endless summer is only halfway done. The Capitals last played a game on April 24 and will not play another one until Oct. 2. 

But with free agency and the NHL Draft behind them now, the 2019-2020 roster is almost set and it won’t be long until players begin trickling back onto the ice in Arlington for informal workouts.  

With that in mind, and given the roasting temperatures outside, for the next three weeks NBC Sports Washington will look at 20 burning questions facing the Capitals as they look to rebound from an early exit from the Stanley Cup playoffs, keep alive their Metropolitan Division title streak and get back to their championship form of 2018.   

The list will look at potential individual milestones, roster questions, prospects who might help and star players with uncertain futures. Today we look at a power play that dipped out of the top 10 last season. Can a unit that has been so consistent for so long get back to that top level? 

This comes back to tactics more than personnel. The same players are back who have been part of this unit for years. Alex Ovechkin is the ultimate weapon in the left face-off circle, John Carlson mans the point, Nicklas Backstrom and Evgeny Kuznetsov do their thing on the half wall and below the net and T.J. Oshie is the trigger man in the slot. 

Those five players all had 227 minutes of power-play time last year or more. Ovechkin had 17 goals which is about standard for the best ever. Kuznetsov came next with eight goals and 13 assists. Backstrom had four goals, but 17 assists. Carlson had two goals and 27 assists. 

Oshie missed 13 games so his numbers are a little down, but in the games he did play he still hit six goals and eight assists. Tom Wilson was Oshie’s primary replacement in that bumper position and he had three goals. 

Not too bad for Blaine Forsythe’s group. He’s the assistant coach who has run the power play the past five years. You can’t argue with the track record. Unfortunately, the expectations for Washington’s power play are massive given that talent level and it’s fair to say it fell short at 12thoverall in the NHL at 20.8 percent.

Again, 49-for-236 isn’t bad. It’s just the talent level says it should be better. The Capitals were seventh in 2017-18 (22.5 percent), fourth in 2016-17 (23.1 percent), fifth in 2015-16 (21.9 percent), first in 2014-15 (25.3 percent), tied for first in 2013-14 (23.4 percent) and first again in 2012-13 (26.8 percent). The last time Washington finished outside the top 10 on the power play was in 2011-12 when it cratered to 18th (16.7 percent). 

There are a few issues that could be tweaked. The Capitals managed just 236 power-play chances. That tied for 16thin the league. To even break into the top 10 in that category they’d need 16 more penalties drawn. 

Only three times after Oct. 22 did they score two power-play goals in the same game and never more than that. How does that even happen? They had two or more power-play goals four times in the first eight games alone, including four on opening night. After that? It was one and done, 

Kuznetsov is one of the best in the game at getting the puck into the offensive zone. Fans loathe it, but the drop pass – or “the slingshot” – has become an effective way, when used properly, to get the puck into the offensive zone on the power play. It just didn’t seem to work all that well for Washington last year. 

One wonders if Forsythe will make some tweaks there. Kuznetsov was often the player on the receiving end of the drop passes, which can keep the penalty kill off balance, but can also waste precious seconds when it doesn’t work. Then you have to regroup and try again. 

It’s not going away, though – even for those who want to slingshot the drop pass to the moon. It’s used all over the league. Some teams like to use two players as options when coming up ice using the slingshot. That’s easier to defend in some ways, but it also gives your team a certain level of unpredictability. 

Maybe teams have just become better at defending the Capitals on the PK simply because they have had the same personnel and coaching for years now. Opposing coaching staffs have hours of video on this group to break down and analyze. 

But there’s no reason to change too much. That Ovechkin one-timer is the ultimate weapon and you don’t want to stifle the creativity of players like Backstrom or Kuznetsov.

Maybe quicker unit changes would help keep players fresh. Ovechkin is almost always going to be out there for the full two minutes and it would be silly to take that shot off the ice. But developing a more reliable second group might help, too. 

Last year’s “second” unit by ice time was Lars Eller, Jakub Vrana, Wilson, Brett Connolly and Dmitry Orlov/Matt Niskanen. Connolly is gone via free agency. Niskanen is gone via trade. One wonders why Andre Burakovsky was hardly used (18:25), but he’s gone, too, in a trade. 

Will be interesting to see if Forsythe can come up with a more reliable second group centered around Ovechkin, Eller and Vrana, who deserves more power-play time even if he’s buried on this roster, and Wilson as the big body in the middle. Richard Panik was fifth on the Arizona Coyotes in power-play minutes last season (146:16) so maybe he has a role there. 

The very best Washington power plays in recent years had secondary players like Marcus Johansson and Justin Williams around before the salary cap cleaved that depth. The Capitals were still a very good power play in 2018-19, but they could use more of that. These are minor changes that could get them back toward the very top of the league and helps take pressure off its 5-on-5 play. 

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