Quotable: "I think for the most part he has fit into the clubhouse culture fine. You can ask the players in there. I think they respect what he's done in the game and the way he prepares and goes about his business. I'm not going to judge his entire body, his whole career, by this one incident. It was unfortunate and unacceptable. And I think the suspension says that." — Mike Rizzo, after the Nationals suspended Jonathan Papelbon for the final week of the season
2015 analysis: Needing to bolster their bullpen for the stretch run, the Nationals made about as bold a move as possible at the time: They traded not for the setup man most assumed they wanted but instead for one of the most-established closers in baseball. Papelbon's on-field track record (342 career saves and a 2.35 ERA, not to mention 17 saves and a 1.59 ERA in Philadelphia over the previous four months) was impeccable. The question was how his addition would affect suddenly demoted closer Drew Storen and how Papelbon's personality would blend into the Nationals' clubhouse.
The answer, of course, was not a positive one. Storen moped about his change of roles and then imploded pitching the eighth inning. Papelbon did pitch well at the outset, successfully converting his first six save opportunities and allowing only three earned runs in 15 innings. But then he imploded himself, blowing back-to-back save chances and also losing two other games, surrendering five earned runs in his final 8 2/3 innings of the season.
All of that, however, wound up taking a backseat to Papelbon's clashing with teammates down the stretch. It began with him intentionally throwing at Manny Machado's head in what the reliever thought was a show of support for his team after Machado's exuberant celebration for a game-changing homer. And then it culminated with Papelbon barking at Bryce Harper for (in his estimation) not running out a routine popup, leading to heated words between the two and Papelbon grabbing the presumptive NL MVP by the throat to instigate a dugout tussle.
That incident led the Nationals to suspend Papelbon for the remainder of the season, leaving his future with the organization in question.
2016 outlook: One of the primary reasons Rizzo traded for Papelbon was the fact he was already under contract for 2016. The Nationals even got him to agree to reduce his salary from $13 million to $11 million, with $3 million of that deferred until 2017. Now, though, there are serious doubts whether the club can bring him back after what happened.
Rizzo said that matter would be addressed after the season, a decision that likely has taken a backseat to the Nationals' ongoing managerial search. At some point, though, Rizzo and the organization as a whole have to decide how to proceed with Papelbon. Can he return in 2016 and make amends with Harper and the rest of the roster, or is it too late for reconciliation?
If he returns, the Nationals have their closer, hoping Papelbon resembles the guy from the vast majority of his career and not the final two weeks of 2015. If he doesn't, the Nats will be on the hook for a whole lot of money. Perhaps Rizzo can find another club willing to make a trade for Papelbon, but that scenario would probably require the Nationals to assume a decent amount of his salary. If they outright release him, they would be responsible for his entire salary.
Over the course of a few posts, we’re going to take a deeper look at some of the highlights of the last half-decade in Nats history through the lens of Harper. We’ll be breaking this up into a three-act series, but who knows? If he ends up re-signing in D.C., we may end up looking back on 2012-18 altogether as just the first act of a storied career in the nation’s capital.
Whether or not he comes back to Washington, it’s clear that we’re entering a new era in both D.C. baseball and Harper’s career, so it’s a natural point to take a step at and review where we’ve come from so far.
Act I (2012-2014)
Really, the story of Bryce Harper dates back to 2010, the year in which he was drafted (or possibly back to 2009, the year of his notorious Sports Illustrated cover story). 2010 was a year of endless excitement and optimism for the future of Nationals baseball, with the franchise enjoying the second of their back-to-back top overall draft picks.
In just about the most fortunate setup in draft history, Washington’s first two No. 1 picks came in 2009 and 2010, which happens to be the two draft classes headlined by the most hyped prospects entering the league in recent memory. 2009 brought the future ace in Stephen Strasburg, and 2010 brought the future face of the sport in Harper.
After continuing his rise to fame through the minors, Harper finally made his big-league debut in April of 2012 at the tender age of 19. The recent success of Juan Soto may lead some fans to believe it’s normal for uber prospects to reach the majors this quickly, but that couldn’t be further from the truth. Most prospects are still in college or the lower levels of a team’s farm system at the age of 19, but Harper wasn’t most prospects.
Based purely on the crazy hype surrounding Harper, it’d be tough to exclude his Major League debut -- the Nats played the Los Angeles Dodgers on April 28, 2012 -- among the early highlights of his career. He showed off a lot of the skills we’d see over the next six years. There was his rocket arm, his flair for the dramatic, his pure strength and his steely demeanor in the face of overwhelming pressure.
What made his debut game even more special was that Strasburg was starting for the Nats. The team lost to the Dodgers in extra innings, but in one glorious evening, fans could see the future taking place right before their eyes.
The next major milestone for Harper was making the All-Star Game, which he did somewhat controversially in that magical 2012 season. Harper became the third teenage All-Star ever, and the first one to do so as a position player.
He entered the game as a reserve, and in two at-bats, walked and struck out. He had very little impact on the game itself but was still one of the biggest stories at an event made for baseball’s biggest stars.
There were other highlights during his rookie season, of course, as the team experienced its first success since returning to Washington. The Nats won 98 games that year to take the NL East, and Harper was helping lead the charge. The NLDS that year pitted the Nats against the 88-win St. Louis Cardinals, and the back-and-forth series went the full five games.
Harper notably struggled during his first exposure to October baseball, hitting just 3-for-23. He struck out eight times, which the most between both teams. The highlight, however, was a Game 5 home run off Adam Wainwright. Harper had already tripled in the Nats’ three-run first inning, and he led off the third with a solo blast to extend the lead to 4-0. At the time, it felt like the team’s youngest superstar cemented a franchise-altering win.
This is the part where Nats fans yell at me for reminding them of what came next.
Drew Storen fell apart in the ninth inning, the Cardinals completed the comeback victory, and the Nats were eliminated from the playoffs. Harper did get an at-bat in the 9th inning and struck out swinging. Say what you want, but he wasn’t going to go down without a fight.
Harper deservedly won the National League Rookie of the Year that season, and looking back, it’s hard to believe it wasn’t that close to unanimous (his stiffest competition came from Wade Miley and Todd Frazier). His 5.2 WAR and 57 extra-base hits both represented modern era records for a teenage hitter, and Harper even found himself getting down-ballot MVP votes (he finished 30th).
It was a historic season, and Harper has the accolades to show for it. The future was bright.
The Follow Up
Bryce Harper’s 2013 season didn’t go as well as 2012 for a litany of reasons. The team surrounding him was worse, failing to follow up 2012 with another postseason run. He struggled with injuries, including missing time after crashing into an outfield wall that May. It was a signature aggressive Harper play, going all-out in an attempt to help the team, but ended up being costly. He only ended up playing in 118 games and hitting 20 home runs. He was still an All-Star, but that was partially aided by his fame and stature.
That said, he kicked off the 2013 in incredible fashion, and that Opening Day stands out as his clearest highlight from the entire season. Harper didn’t just become the fourth-youngest player to ever homer on Opening Day (trailing names like Ken Griffey, Jr. and Robin Yount), but he ended up hitting home runs in his first two plate appearances. He was the first player to do so in franchise history and did it at the prodigious age of 20.
His powerful start to the year sent fans into a frenzy, and he gave them a curtain call four innings into the new season. The success wouldn’t last throughout the summer, but it was a wild start and is one of the lasting highlights from the early years of Harper’s career.
The Postseason Return
The 2014 regular season would be a forgettable one for Harper. Thanks to a thumb injury he suffered running the bases, Harper set a career-low in games played with exactly 100. The time missed contributed to a third straight season with fewer home runs than the last, but his rate stats suffered as well. He had the lowest slugging percentage and OPS of his career, and it remains the only season in which he wasn’t named to the National League All-Star team.
For his regular season struggles, however, Harper experienced much more success in his second postseason. The Nats bounced back from a down 2013 team, beating up on a weak division and winning 96 games to lead the National League. They ended up facing another inferior NLDS opponent in the San Francisco Giants, and the end result was the same as in 2012.
The Giants may have won the series thanks to a dominant performance by their pitching staff (the Nats batted .164 as a team), but Harper held his own this time around. In what still stands out to this day as his strongest postseason performance, Harper had a slash line of .294/.368/.882, buoyed by his three home runs in four games. The 1.251 OPS represents by far a career-high, and his three home runs were 75 percent of the team’s total in the series.
He went 0-for-7 in the 18-inning Game 2 marathon, but essentially was the entire Washington offense in Games 1, 3 and 4. He even launched a ball into the third deck at Nats Park in Game 1. It was a titanic blast that won’t soon be forgotten.
The clear highlight, however, came in Game 4. The Nats fell behind 2-0 early, but Harper got them on the board with a fifth-inning double. Trailing 2-1, he came to bat in the seventh and blasted his third home run of the series to tie the game. The Nats were eight outs from elimination, and Harper had saved them.
Of course, once again, the bullpen would go on to lose the game for the Nats and end their season. Harper again had a chance in a do-or-die 9th inning, and this time, the Giants learned their lesson and walked him. His team lost, but the legend of Bryce Harper was cemented.