If Scot McCloughan is going to reach of goal of having 10 draft picks to use this year, he’d better get to work.
It doesn’t appear that they had a chance to make a deal when they were on the clock last night. “We had phone calls here and there,” said Jay Gruden on how much interest there was in the pick when the Redskins were on the clock.
The trade market in general was slow. There were no trades involving any of the first 14 picks. Not since the draft was last in Chicago in 1964 has a first round gone on that long before a pick was dealt.
But today is a new day and there is no reason to think that the usually lively pace of trades will not pick up. Last year 13 of the 32 second-round picks were used by teams other than their original owners.
Figuring what the demand might be for the Redskins’ top pick today, the sixth pick of the second round, is tricky. But we can take a look and get a ballpark idea of what the Redskins might be able to do should they start getting a few phone calls today.
If we go by the Jimmy Johnson draft pick trade value chart, the Redskins’ top selection at No. 38 overall is worth 520 points. If the Texans, a team around the middle of the round with the 51st pick (390 points), wanted to move up, McCloughan would like ask for their third-round pick (No. 82, 180 points) in return. That would be an overpay for the Texans and they might ask for Washington fifth round pick (No. 141, 36 points) bring it closer into balance.
That would not get McCloughan any additional picks since he would be trading two for two. To add picks, he may need to go further back in the second round. Let’s say that McCloughan’s old pal with the Seahawks, John Schneider, is itching to get a player at the top of the second round. He would have to give up his second-and third-round picks (No. 63 and No. 95, a total of 396 points) to start the conversation. Perhaps adding the fourth (42 points) and a mid-round pick next year would get it done.
As you would expect, trading back in the third round returns considerably less. If the Redskins move from their spot in the third (No. 69, 245 points) to the Cardinals at pick No. 86, they could expect Arizona’s fourth- and fifth-round picks (total of 237 points). Those are relatively low value picks but perhaps McCloughan can make something of them.
There are other options in between. But the Redskins know from experience that the chart is only a guide. Last year the Redskins traded their second-round pick (No. 34, 560 points) to the Cowboys for their second rounder (No. 47, 430 points) and their third-round selection (No. 78, 200 points). Doing the math, the trade favored the Redskins by 70 points, about the value of a pick in the middle of the fourth round.
The Redskins will go on the clock at around 7:30 tonight. We will see what is cooking in McCloughan’s kitchen then.