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Need to Know: Looking for first-round value for the Redskins

Need to Know: Looking for first-round value for the Redskins

Here is what you need to know on this Wednesday, February 8, 29 days before the March 9 start of NFL free agency.  

Timeline

Days until:

NFL Franchise tag deadline (3/1) 21
Redskins offseason workouts start (4/17) 68
—NFL Draft (4/27) 78
First Sunday of 2017 season (9/10) 214

Looking for value in the draft

Today's question is from my Facebook page.

This is a good theoretical question. One key to the draft is getting value. If you read here regularly you know that I’m not a fan of the Redskins taking Brandon Scherff with the fifth overall pick. You can find a very effective guard later in the draft. That’s water under the bridge and I like Scherff as a player. But if you take too many low-value position players with high draft picks you are going needing to get your high-impact players on the free agent market, where they are very expensive.

More Redskins: The Redskins are playing catch up in the NFC

I think you also know that I’m a big proponent of taking the best available player. If there is no way you need the best player on the board you trade down or maybe reach a bit if the grade of a player in a position of need is close. If you reach too far, however, you’re going to end up with a player who can’t help you at all. But for the sake of the question let’s go for need.

I’m going to give you one answer on each side of the ball. Based on value, I would go wide receiver in the first round, assuming DeSean Jackson and Pierre Garçon leave. Good receivers are hard to find. When teams get them, they hold onto them with extensions or with the franchise tag. If you can get one who is cheap and productive in the middle of the first round you have to think about it. Getting even reasonable production for a contract that will average $2.9 million over four years is great value.

And, no, it doesn’t matter that they went WR in the first round a year ago. Last time I checked, at least two and usually three or more are on the field on each play. If you need one, you need one. And if they top two wide receivers leave, they will need one who can step in and contribute immediately.

RELATED: #RedskinsTalk podcast: How far away from a Super Bowl?

On defense, I would go for a safety. This is not so much value as it is supply and demand. There are very few top-notch safeties coming out of the college ranks these days; the good ones want to move to cornerback, which pays better at the pro level. We’re not talking about quarterback-level shortages here, where if you don’t have one you keep drafting one until you get one. But even if you have a good safety graded as a second-round value, if you pass him over in the first thee is little chance he will be there in the second.

Why not a defensive lineman, the most glaring need on the team? You can get a good DL later on. Among the D-linemen drafted in the second and third rounds in the last 10 years are Calais Campbell, Brandon Mebane, Carlos Dunlap, and Kawaan Short. I also believe that they will make a move or two in free agency that will decrease the urgency to get a DL.

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In case you missed it

Stay up to date on the Redskins! Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

 

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Here's why there's a prop bet that Kyle Shanahan's 49ers will blow a significant lead

Here's why there's a prop bet that Kyle Shanahan's 49ers will blow a significant lead

The Super Bowl always brings obscure prop bets that raise eyebrows. Outside of the annual wagers on the color of Gatorade poured on the coach or the duration of the national anthem, each Super Bowl brings unique bets fans can make.

This year, one prop bet revolves around San Francisco 49ers head coach Kyle Shanahan and what happened the last time he was on the sidelines for a Super Bowl. That was, of course, the infamous 2017 Super Bowl, when Shanahan was the offensive coordinator of the Atlanta Falcons.

His team had a commanding 28-3 lead with 8:31 to play in the third quarter. But as the Patriots went on their run to cut the deficit, the Falcons couldn’t muster a score of their own to put the game away. Further, Shanahan’s play-calling faced scrutiny for his fourth-quarter decisions not to run the ball to expend the clock.

As Shanahan gets set for a chance at Super Bowl redemption, the sportsbook PointsBet is offering 100-1 odds that his team will blow another 28-3 lead in this year’s Super Bowl.

Some may be hesitant to take those odds, chalking up the 2017 Super Bowl as a one-off. But a deeper dive into his time with the Redskins from 2010-2013 shows that Shanahan’s offenses were susceptible to reeling off dynamic starts before lowly second halves.

In just his second game manning the Redskins offense, Washington took a 27-10 lead over the Houston Texans with under four minutes to go in the third quarter. The Texans then scored 20 unanswered points to win 30-27 in overtime.

Two years later, also in Week 2, Shanahan and company raced out to a 21-6 lead midway through the second quarter and looked prime to improve to 2-0 with then-rookie quarterback Robert Griffin III. But the offensive productivity fizzled out, and the Rams came back to win 31-28.

Shanahan’s most significant blown lead in Washington came in the Wild Card playoff game against the Seattle Seahawks. In the Redskins’ first playoff home game since 1999, the team staked a 14-0 lead in the first quarter but failed to score again thereafter en route to a 24-14 loss.

During the 2013 season, his last in Washington, Shanahan saw his offense falter after building two-score leads in three games.

Against the eventual Super Bowl runner-up Broncos, the Redskins held a 21-7 lead in the third quarter before Denver rallied to win decisively, 45-21. Two weeks later, the offense led the team to a 24-14 first half against the Vikings, but managed just one field goal in the second half in a 34-27 loss. And in a Week 13 home game against the Giants, Washington led 14-0 early in the second quarter, but eventually lost 24-17.

None of Shanahan’s blown leads in Washington were as high as 25 points, nor were they on one of the biggest stages in sports. But when you’re considering the 28-3 prop bet this year, just know that there are other results beyond the 2017 Super Bowl to base your decision on.

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Jerry Jones and his $250 million yacht are ready for Super Bowl LIV in Miami

Jerry Jones and his $250 million yacht are ready for Super Bowl LIV in Miami

Dallas Cowboys owner Jerry Jones was seen on his $250 million yacht in Miami ahead of Super Bowl LIV. 

Jones' boat, the Bravo Eugenia, is 357-feet-long, three short of a regulation football field.

He will be reportedly hosting the "biggest and baddest of all of the Super Bowl Week parties."

The Cowboys had Super Bowl aspirations ahead of the 2019 season but could not live up to the hype.

The Cowboys finished the season at 8-8 and have a lot of questions ahead of them during the upcoming off-season.

Regardless of whether his squad would be competing in Miami for the Lombardi Trophy, Jones would be at Super Bowl LIV, and after bringing in Mike McCarthy as the team's new head coach, Jones has taken his talents to South Beach for the big game.

Click here to download the MyTeams App by NBC Sports. Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream Capitals and Wizards games easily from your device.

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