Redskins

Need to Know: Looking at over-unders for 2016 Redskins

Redskins

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, November 19, one day before the Washington Redskins play the Green Bay Packers at FedEx Field.

Timeline

Today's schedule: No media availability

Days until: Redskins @ Cowboys on Thanksgiving 5; Redskins @ Cardinals 15; Redskins @ Eagles 22

Injuries of note
Questionable:
LS Sundberg (back), WR Jackson (shoulder), OT Moses (ankle)
Full Redskins-Packers injury report

Redskins vs. Packers
NBC 8:30 p.m., Mike Tirico and Chris Collinsworth
Line: Redskins -3

Around Redskins Park

The Redskins are one game past the midway point of the season. Here I take a look at some individual player statistical marks and whether the player will end the season over or under the number.

Want to disagree? Set up your own over-under prediction? Hit the comments and fire away. 

Kirk Cousins 27.5 TD passes (currently has 14)—This is the one statistical area where Cousins has lagged behind his 2015 production. There are two keys here. One is the red zone, a much-discussed area where improvement is needed. The other is that of their remaining seven opponents, three are in the top 10 in pass defense DVOA while the other four are below average. Cousins can take advantage of the weaker defenses to build up his TD stat. I think it’s a tough go. Under

 

Rob Kelley 800 yards rushing (currently 287)—Kelley would have to hold on to the starting job, which seems to be likely as long as he stays healthy and continues to protect the ball. Then he would have to average around 75 rushing yards per game. That will be tough as five of the remaining seven opponents are currently in the top 10 in rush defense DVOA. He would need to have a couple of big games against the other teams. I think he comes close but doesn’t quite get there. Under

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Jamison Crowder 84.5 receptions (currently 44)—Some are under the impression that Crowder was targeted more than usual last week when DeSean Jackson was out but actually, his six targets against the Viking were his fewest since Week 6. So it doesn’t really matter who else is in the lineup, Crowder should continue to get passes thrown his way and as long as he continues to catch 70 percent of passes targeted to him (he’s caught 44 of 63 so far) he should make it to 85 receptions or more. Over

Trent Murphy 10.5 sacks (currently 7)—There is no great mystery here. Murphy came to the Redskins two years ago and it took him two mediocre seasons to get things figured out. The remarkable thing about him this year has been consistency. Many pass rushers are streaky. Murphy has at least a half a sack in all but two of the Redskins’ nine games this year. The Redskins have two teams left on their schedule who are in the top 10 in protecting the quarterback (sack percentage). Three are in the middle of the pack and two, the Panthers and Cardinals, are in the bottom 10. It will be tough but I think that Murphy’s consistency gets him through. Over

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Josh Norman 2.5 interceptions (currently 1)—Anyone who expected a ton of interceptions out of Norman this year wasn’t paying attention. His career high in a season is four, and that came last year when he was named first-team All-Pro. But it is reasonable to think that he will get more than the one pick he currently has. He’s had his hands on a few passes this year, including two against the Bengals in London that might have turned that tie into a win. They have four games left against quarterbacks who have thrown seven or more interceptions but I think he just gets one more. Under

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