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Need to Know: Looking at over-unders for 2016 Redskins

Need to Know: Looking at over-unders for 2016 Redskins

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, November 19, one day before the Washington Redskins play the Green Bay Packers at FedEx Field.


Today's schedule: No media availability

Days until: Redskins @ Cowboys on Thanksgiving 5; Redskins @ Cardinals 15; Redskins @ Eagles 22

Injuries of note
LS Sundberg (back), WR Jackson (shoulder), OT Moses (ankle)
Full Redskins-Packers injury report

Redskins vs. Packers
NBC 8:30 p.m., Mike Tirico and Chris Collinsworth
Line: Redskins -3

Around Redskins Park

The Redskins are one game past the midway point of the season. Here I take a look at some individual player statistical marks and whether the player will end the season over or under the number.

Want to disagree? Set up your own over-under prediction? Hit the comments and fire away. 

Kirk Cousins 27.5 TD passes (currently has 14)—This is the one statistical area where Cousins has lagged behind his 2015 production. There are two keys here. One is the red zone, a much-discussed area where improvement is needed. The other is that of their remaining seven opponents, three are in the top 10 in pass defense DVOA while the other four are below average. Cousins can take advantage of the weaker defenses to build up his TD stat. I think it’s a tough go. Under

Rob Kelley 800 yards rushing (currently 287)—Kelley would have to hold on to the starting job, which seems to be likely as long as he stays healthy and continues to protect the ball. Then he would have to average around 75 rushing yards per game. That will be tough as five of the remaining seven opponents are currently in the top 10 in rush defense DVOA. He would need to have a couple of big games against the other teams. I think he comes close but doesn’t quite get there. Under


Jamison Crowder 84.5 receptions (currently 44)—Some are under the impression that Crowder was targeted more than usual last week when DeSean Jackson was out but actually, his six targets against the Viking were his fewest since Week 6. So it doesn’t really matter who else is in the lineup, Crowder should continue to get passes thrown his way and as long as he continues to catch 70 percent of passes targeted to him (he’s caught 44 of 63 so far) he should make it to 85 receptions or more. Over

Trent Murphy 10.5 sacks (currently 7)—There is no great mystery here. Murphy came to the Redskins two years ago and it took him two mediocre seasons to get things figured out. The remarkable thing about him this year has been consistency. Many pass rushers are streaky. Murphy has at least a half a sack in all but two of the Redskins’ nine games this year. The Redskins have two teams left on their schedule who are in the top 10 in protecting the quarterback (sack percentage). Three are in the middle of the pack and two, the Panthers and Cardinals, are in the bottom 10. It will be tough but I think that Murphy’s consistency gets him through. Over


Josh Norman 2.5 interceptions (currently 1)—Anyone who expected a ton of interceptions out of Norman this year wasn’t paying attention. His career high in a season is four, and that came last year when he was named first-team All-Pro. But it is reasonable to think that he will get more than the one pick he currently has. He’s had his hands on a few passes this year, including two against the Bengals in London that might have turned that tie into a win. They have four games left against quarterbacks who have thrown seven or more interceptions but I think he just gets one more. Under

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Jason Garrett reportedly to stay in NFC East, becomes Giants offensive coordinator

Jason Garrett reportedly to stay in NFC East, becomes Giants offensive coordinator

Former Dallas Cowboys head coach Jason Garrett has agreed to become the new offensive coordinator of the New York Giants, according to a report from ESPN

He will join the staff of first-year head coach Joe Judge.

Garrett was recently let go after a 10-year unimpressive stint with the Dallas Cowboys. In that span, he only led the team to three playoff appearances and with that two playoff wins. 

The team under-performed in 2019 after starting the season with Super Bowl aspirations. Stumbling to an 8-8 record, It became clear that Garrett was the not the answer at head coach. Following the end of the regular season, the team decided to go in another direction replacing him with former Packers coach Mike McCarthy.

The Princeton alum led the Cowboys to an 85-67 overall record during his tenure in Dallas.

As a former backup QB for the Giants (2000-03) and Cowboys (1993-99), he has an extensive background in game-planning against the NFC East.

Judge was named head coach on Jan. 7 after spending eight seasons with the Patriots. He was promoted to special teams coordinator in 2015, and also became the team's wide receiver coach in 2019.

Garrett and Judge will be tasked with developing a young roster with some intriguing options at their disposal, as well as the No. 4 overall pick in April's draft.

Click here to download the MyTeams App by NBC Sports. Receive comprehensive coverage of your teams and stream Capitals and Wizards games easily from your device.


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DeAngelo Hall defends cornerback Josh Norman, but believes Redskins should move on

DeAngelo Hall defends cornerback Josh Norman, but believes Redskins should move on

Redskins cornerback Josh Norman has drawn criticism because of his performance in D.C. during his 5-year, $75 million contract he signed in April 2016. Former Redskins defensive back DeAngelo Hall came to Norman’s defense during a radio appearance with Craig Hoffman on 106.7 The Fan on Friday.

“He does compete, he’s a competitor. And if I have a football player on my roster who’s a competitor, who wants to be out there, who fights hard and plays hard, I’m [going to] find a way to put him in position to make plays,” Hall said. “I think we could’ve done a much, much better job of putting Josh in position to make plays.”

In November, then-interim head coach Bill Callahan benched Norman, and the 32-year-old cornerback played just 10 defensive snaps over the last six games of the season. Should Washington choose to cut ties with Norman this offseason before June 1, the team would save $12.5 million of cap space.

Hall, who interviewed for the Redskins’ defensive backs’ coaching position last January, said Norman wasn’t given the chance to be the leader of the defense. Hall said some of that was self-inflicted because of Norman’s habits and preparation, but a portion of that was because of schematics. 

“I always told those coaches ‘If you want Josh to be a leader — because Josh wants to be a leader — you’ve got to put him in a position to make plays, the same way Carolina put him in a position to make plays,” Hall said. 

The peak of Norman’s career came in 2015 under the direction of Washington’s newly hired head coach Ron Rivera. In that all-pro season, Norman recorded 56 tackles, 18 passes defended, four interceptions, three forced fumbles and two touchdowns. 

Hall believes Norman still possesses that all-pro ability; it just needs to be tapped with the right defensive scheme. Hall compared the situation to Richard Sherman, who has revitalized his career in San Francisco after battling injuries. 

“It’s not because [Sherman] is the best lockdown man-to-man corner. It’s because they play Sherm in a system that he’s able to succeed and shine, and they put players around him so that he can make plays,” he said. “If we [would’ve] done the same thing to Josh Norman, he could’ve been an all-pro player here, too, just like he was in Carolina.”

Despite Hall’s belief in Norman’s ability, and the presumption that Rivera and new defensive coordinator Jack Del Rio will run a similar system to what Norman played in with the Panthers, the former Redskins defensive back doesn’t think the $15 million price tag is worth it for a franchise that has other holes to fill.

“I, as a fan, would love to have Josh back on this team, in this defense that I feel will be similar to Carolina,” Hall said. “But to me, it doesn’t make sense to bring Josh back for $15 million. It’s just a big pill to swallow when you can do a lot with that money on a team that needs a lot of help.”

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