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Need to Know: Which Redskins draft picks will make the 53-man roster?

Need to Know: Which Redskins draft picks will make the 53-man roster?

Here is what you need to know on this Wednesday, May 3, 21 days before the Redskins start OTAs on May 24.

Timeline

It’s been 122 days since the Redskins played a game. Their season opener against the Eagles at FedEx Field is in 130 days.

Days until:

—Redskins rookie camp (5/12) 9
—Redskins OTAs start (5/24) 21
—Training camp starts (7/27) 85

Which draft picks will make the team?

Not all of the 10 players the Redskins drafted are going to make the 53-man roster. Some of them have better chances than others. Let’s break out the imaginary casino chips here but we’ll to things a little differently. We’ll take out $1,000 worth of them and put down part of $100 on each player’s chance of being on the roster.

(Note: Injuries are always a possibility, of course. But the only injury factor considered here is for pre-existing issues. Also note that this is an early look. New stacks of chips will be broken out after OTAs and as training camp progresses.)

DL Jonathan Allen, $100—I think we can skip the analysis with this one.

OLB Ryan Anderson, $100—Ditto

CB Fabian Moreau, $80—This third-round cornerback is definitely in the plans. But health after he suffered a torn pectoral muscle lifting weights during his pro day may be an issue. Per the own timetable that he gave reporters after he was drafted, he plans on being on the field in late August. Players are notorious for being overly optimistic about returning from injury plus that doesn’t give much room for any setbacks or anything else that could go wrong. The other $20 is on Moreau starting the season on the PUP list.

RB Samaje Perine, $100—They have high hopes that he can add a power element to the running game and he is certain to make team. Pulling out another $100 in chips, I’ll put $65 on him leading team in rushing attempts this year.

S Montae Nicholson, $50—He also has a health issue as he is coming off of shoulder surgery. A setback could land him on PUP. But even if he is healthy, I’m not confident in his ability to beat out some serious competition at safety.

TE Jeremy Sprinkle, $90—It’s possible that Niles Paul will rise up and keep the rookie from taking his roster spot. But Jay Gruden said earlier this year that the team would be looking for a blocking tight end and it would be surprising if Sprinkle isn’t the guy. If they want to keep Paul they will figure out a way to go with four tight ends.

OL Chase Roullier, $60—On a team without a backup center there certainly is opportunity for Roullier. But I’m not convinced that Gruden will be comfortable going into the season with a sixth-round pick out of Wyoming as his backup center. He could look for a veteran on the waiver wire, a 2017 version of John Sullivan, to back up Spencer Long and put Roullier on the practice squad for seasoning.

WR Robert Davis, $35—To make the 53, Davis likely will have to beat out both Gruden favorite Ryan Grant and free agent signee Brian Quick. I think he can beat one or the other but both will be a tall order.

S Josh Harvey-Clemons, $30—He would have to push past Will Blackmon, DeAngelo Hall and possibly show that he can be a better asset on special teams than Deshazor Everett. In all, it’s a tough task and he could be destined for the practice squad.

CB Joshua Holsey, $60—I’m throwing a few extra bucks here because if Moreau goes on PUP, the chance of Holsey making the 53 improves. He also has a solid chance straight up if he can handle the slot, a problem area for the Redskins last year.

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page Facebook.com/TandlerCSN and follow him on Twitter @Rich_TandlerCSN.

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Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Roster competition, Brown vs. Pryor

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Need to Know: The Redskins week that was—Roster competition, Brown vs. Pryor

Here is what you need to know on this Saturday, June 23, 33 days before the Washington Redskins start training camp.  

The Redskins week that was

A look at some of the most popular posts and hottest topics of the week on Real Redskins  and NBC Sports Washington.

Post-minicamp Redskins 53-man roster projection—Defense—NFL coaches and others like to tell you that competition determines who wins roster spots in the league. And that may be true to an extent. But many roster spots are predetermined by a player’s contract situation and/or draft status. It is unlikely that an undrafted player like Fish Smithson will win a roster spot over Troy Apke even if the former outperforms the latter in every way during training camp. Apke was a fourth-round pick and they aren’t going to give up on him in favor of an undrafted player. It would cost $3.2 million in dead cap to cut Stacy McGee and only $150,000 to move on from Ziggy Hood so McGee will win a “competition” that is even remotely close. (Offensive projection here)

Redskins will 'have it out' for Terrelle Pryor at training camp—While this is something that could add a little spice to the Jets’ visit to Richmond, don’t look for much of anything to happen. Zach Brown might give a little extra shove to Pryor here and there but he’s not going to do anything that will draw blood or even cause a deep bruise. If nothing else, a big hit on Pryor would invite retaliation by the Jets on Josh Doctson or Paul Richardson. And that might lead to more retaliation and you end up with a brawl like the Redskins and Texans had a couple of years ago.

Trent Williams very much of approves of Smith and Guice—Williams is going into his ninth NFL season and he has yet to be on the winning side of a playoff game. He thinks that Alex Smith and Derrius Guice can help change that. 

The curious case of Alex Smith and the NFL Top 100 list—I normally greet this list with a big yawn and this year was no exception. But I do find the omission of Smith, who led the NFL in passer rating and was third in adjusted net yards per attempt, odd. In an update to this post, the NFL released the names of the top 10 players and Smith is not on it. He shouldn’t be, but he should be somewhere on the 100, perhaps in the middle of the pack. The only Redskins player to appear on the list was Trent Williams at No. 57.

The Redskins' best players who are 25 or younger—It’s likely that nine players who are 25 or younger will line up as starters for the Redskins this year. I don’t have a rundown of how that compares to the rest of the league but it’s notable that in the last two years six of them have replaced players who were either approaching age 30 or over it. I’ll engage in some speculation here and say that five of the young players—Daron Payne, Derrius Guice, Preston Smith, Jonathan Allen, and Montae Nicholson—are good enough to potentially make a Pro Bowl at some point in their careers. 

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCSand follow him on Twitter  @TandlerNBCSand on Instagram @RichTandler

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Timeline 

Former Redskins defensive tackle Dave Butz was born on this date in 1950. 

Days until:

—Training camp starts (7/26) 33
—Preseason opener @ Patriots (8/9) 47
—Roster cut to 53 (9/1) 70

The Redskins last played a game 174 days ago. They will open the 2018 NFL season at the Cardinals in 78 days. 

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Redskins schedule preview: Week 16 vs. Titans

Redskins schedule preview: Week 16 vs. Titans

We’re previewing every game of the 2018 season with a look forward and a look back. Up today, it’s the game against the Titans. 

Week 16 December 22 or 23, Nissan Stadium (the date of the game will be determined no later than Week 8 in early November)

2017 Titans: 9-7, Second in AFC South, lost in the divisional round 

Projected 2018 wins per Westgate SuperBook: 8

Early line: Redskins +5.5

Key additions: CB Malcolm Butler, DT Bennie Logan, RB Dion Lewis

Key losses: DT Sylvester Williams, RB DeMarco Murray

Biggest questions: 

  • QB Marcus Mariota improved from his rookie year and had a solid 2016. But he regressed last season. In which direction is his career headed?
  • After head coach Mike Mularkey took the Titans to the second round of the playoffs he was summarily fired. Will they regret making to switch to Mike Vrabel?

Series history

The all-time series between the two teams is tied a 6-6; the teams split six games when the franchise was the Houston Oilers and they have gong 3-3 since the move to Tennessee. 

Series notables

The first time: October 10, 1971, RFK Stadium—The Redskins offense didn’t score a touchdown but that often didn’t matter when George Allen was the head coach as they still won 22-13. Washington’s scoring came on five Curt Knight field goals and on an 18-yard interception return by defensive end Ron McDole. That touchdown came on one of five takeaways by the Redskins defense. 

The last time: October 19, 2014, FedEx Field—Quarterback Kirk Cousins was struggling in the first half, losing a fumble and throwing a head-scratching interception. With the Redskins trailing the 2-4 Titans 10-6, Jay Gruden decided it was time for a change and Colt McCoy came in to play QB in the second half. 

Things clicked immediately as McCoy threw a short pass to Pierre Garçon, who turned upfield and rolled in for a 70-yard touchdown. It was back and forth in the second half and the Redskins were trailing 17-16 when they got the ball on their own 20 with 3:14 to play. McCoy led a 10-play drive that consumed all of the remaining time and culminated in a 22-yard Kai Forbath field goal to win it 19-17. 

The best time: November 3, 1991, RFK Stadium—To win nine straight NFL games to start out a season, you need solid blocking, accurate passing, hard-hitting tackling, inspired play calling, crisp execution and, as was the case today, a little bit of luck. Chip Lohmiller kicked a 41-yard field goal for Washington to give the Redskins a 16-13 overtime win over Houston. Darrell Green’s interception at the Houston 33 set up the kick. All of that, however, would not have happened if not for Oiler placekicker Ian Howfield. 

After Houston tied the game on a one-yard run by Lorenzo White with 1:42 left in the game, Brian Mitchell fumbled the ensuing kickoff, giving the Oilers prime field position. Howfield came in for a 33-yard field goal attempt with one second left. It appeared that the winning streak would end at eight. “You don’t exactly give up, but you’re not far from it,” said Andre Collins. 

The snap was perfect as was the hold, but Howfield’s kick was wide right. 

On Houston’s second offensive play of overtime, Oiler quarterback Warren Moon got bumped as he threw an out pass and Green picked it off. Three Ernest Byner runs preceded Lohmiller’s game-ending kick. 

The worst time: October 30, 1988, Astrodome—Washington entered the contest riding a three-game winning streak and appeared to be rounding into form to defend their Super Bowl title. Warren Moon threw three touchdown passes to Drew Hill, however, and the Redskins took a 41-17 whipping that wasn’t even as close as the final score would indicate.

Redskins schedule series

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCS  and follow him on Twitter  @TandlerNBCS  and on Instagram @RichTandler