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NFL Draft: Mariota part of Redskins best and worst case scenarios


NFL Draft: Mariota part of Redskins best and worst case scenarios

Looking at the best and worst cases for the Washington Redskins, New York Giants, Dallas Cowboys, Philadelphia Eagles and Baltimore Ravens in the 2015 NFL Draft. 


Best case, first round (5): Somehow Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota slips to five, leaving GM Scot McCloughan with an amazing trade chip. Seemingly the Jets (6), Browns (12), Texans (16) and yes, the Eagles (20) would all be interested. Let the bidding war begin. Same applies with USC DL Leonard Williams, who is considered by many the best player in the draft, but at a position Washington fortified this off-season. If we're talking about using the pick, Florida edge rusher Dante Fowler.


Worst case, first round: Top four picks in some order are Florida State QB Jameis Winston, Mariota, Williams, Fowler. Takes away best trade down scenarios unless someone must have receivers Amari Cooper (Alabama) or Kevin White (West Virginia). The remaining edge rushers have significant upside, but come with greater risk than Fowler. Clemson's Vic Beasley wouldn't feel like a value selection at five. Actually, want to know the real worst case scenario? Washington lands Mariota or Winston, but doesn't simultaneously deal Robert Griffin III. Even the Kardashians would blanch at the relentless soap opera-y coverage on deck.

Best case, second round (38): One of the top offensive linemen slip. Best bet might Florida State's Cam Erving, the top-rated center in the draft who played all over the line with the Seminoles.

Worst case, second round: Don't be surprised if McCloughan selects a quarterback in the draft. Stockpile those passers, that's his move and it's good one.  Just don't hope it's this early.


Best case, first round (9): Vic Beasley, OLB, Clemson. New York' top defensive needs exist at defensive tackle and safety, but the board doesn't line up that way. Adding a pass rusher is the happy medium and adding a speed force like Beasley would make Giants fans happy.


Worst case, first round: Other than simply making a bad pick not sure I see a "worst case" for the Giants based on the needs and the board. Taking the first offensive tackle would arguably be a 'bad" move from a value standpoint since interesting options like D.J. Humphries and La'el Collins are likely available 10-plus picks later.


Best case, first round (20): Perhaps if there are simultaneous runs on offense linemen, receivers and front-7 types, Michigan State corner Trae Waynes tumbles into the Eagles range. For a team that lost Jeremy Maclin and DeSean Jackson over the last year, landing Central Florida wide receiver Breshad Perriman also qualifies based on some of the pundit love out there for the big target with 4.25 speed.


Worst case: Don't come away with sincere help in the first two rounds for a secondary in need of talent. Also, no matter how tempting Wisconsin's Melvin Gordon is and no matter how much coach Chip Kelly covets running backs, the Eagles cannot take another high-asset option.

Fun case: Kelly sends an armada of picks and players to a team owning a top five selection so he can draft his former Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota. Go big or go home.


Best case, first round (27): Even with Greg Hardy, Dallas needs more help along the defensive line. Not everyone loves Washington nose tackle Danny Shelton as his glacier slow 40-time at the combine indicates he could be only a two-down player. Still, the Cowboys ranked near the bottom in several rushing defense categories last season. Texas DL Malcom Brown and Florida State's Eddie Goldman also work.


Worst case: Once upon a time the Cowboys took a chance on a talented wide receiver with off-the-field concerns. Though bumps along the way and possibly still to come, Dez Bryant worked out. Perhaps Dorial Green-Beckham will as well. The 6-foot-5 Green-Beckham is a freaky prospect with size and speed and plenty of baggage. Dallas could use receiver help, but the defense needs far more attention. The organization also doesn't need a problem child in round one, but if owner Jerry Jones falls in love...


Best case, first round (26): Are teams really planning to draft Toddy Gurley in the top 15? Projections for the Georgia running back soared over the last couple of weeks despite his recovery from a serious knee injury and the trend of no round one backs in recent years. There is no denying Gurley's talent. If the rise is a smokescreen, perhaps the Ravens benefit if he's there late in the first.

Worst case: Track record says Ozzie Newsome won't botch this selection. Taking strong safety Landon Collins would boost the run defense and we know Newsome likes players from Alabama. It would also be an admission that Matt Elam hasn't worked out. Baltimore can't ignore wide receivers during the first 3-4 rounds.

RELATED: [Is a Redskins trade down from pick No. 5 inevitable?]

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There's a competition brewing among the Redskins defensive linemen, per Daron Payne

Redskins Nation

There's a competition brewing among the Redskins defensive linemen, per Daron Payne

If you find yourself looking for Daron Payne, Jonathan Allen, and Matt Ioannidis, you really just need to find one of them. Odds are, if you locate one, the other two will be close by.

The second-year pro, third-year pro, and fourth-year pro have forged quite a bond on the Redskins' defensive line, which is easily the team's most promising unit going into 2019. The three guys share an appreciation for lifting really heavy weights and dropping opposing quarterbacks. 

As it turns out, that latter love is actually part of the inspiration behind a bet Payne, Allen and Ioannidis have queued up for the 2019 campaign. Payne revealed that while with Larry Michael on a recent episode of Redskins Nation.

"Me and Jon and Matt got a little competition right now on sacks and tackles," he said with a smile, but he ultimately didn't shed any light on what the competition's compensation will be.

Whatever the trio is playing for, it should be a close race.

Ryan Kerrigan led the 'Skins in sacks in 2018, but Allen (8), Ioannidis (7.5) and Payne (5) were second, third and fourth respectively. In terms of tackles, meanwhile, it went Allen (61), Payne (56) and then Ioannidis (31). 

Allen and Payne saw a ton of snaps last year while Ioannidis was used more in a rotational role, which limited his tackles. He's an insanely productive pass rusher, though, so he can make up some ground in the sacks/tackles bet by keeping that trend going. Any of them are a solid pick if you're trying to project who'll capture their title.

Payne, for one, expects to generate better numbers in his second go-round in the league.

"Of course," he responded when Michael asked if he left some sacks out there as a rookie. "Definitely did. I want to get a couple more."

In the team's offseason practices, he's already noticed that things are "coming easier," so perhaps he'll be able to record those extra takedowns he's looking for.

As mentioned earlier, you can make an easy case for Payne, Allen or Ioannidis to win their competition, but you won't know who that winner is until late December.

One thing you can already say, however? That the QBs and running backs they'll be chasing down are the losers in this thing. That much is already known.


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Three little-known Redskins who could make things interesting at training camp

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Three little-known Redskins who could make things interesting at training camp

Ah, NFL training camps. They're where every handoff always results in a first down, safe from refs who can ruin things with one piece of yellow cloth and home to roster sleepers.

This story, though, is devoted solely to the third item on that list.

JP Finlay came up with his post-minicamp Redskins roster projection earlier this week and has said he's already extremely confident in roughly 49 of his 53 picks. What can really throw off those kinds of projections, though, is the emergence of little-known players at training camp.

Now, trying to find the next Rob Kelley or Quinton Dunbar or Cam Sims can come off as foolish, considering Washington will bring 90 players to Richmond in late July. However, using observations from offseason practices so far and clues from what coaches are saying can narrow the list of potential preseason difference makers.

So, here are three Redskins who seem like they could seriously shake things up when the Burgundy and Gold reconvene for the summer grind.

Jeremy Reaves

When he's asked to critique a certain position group, Jay Gruden often does this thing where he lists every player in that group, from starter to backup to fringe option. It's hard to discern the times when he's doing that just to be polite from the times when he's doing that because each name truly is relevant.

Jeremy Reaves' name, however, has come up twice at two very different points of the spring and early summer.

Here's Gruden from after the draft, when he was asked about what the Redskins have at safety.

"We still have Montae [Nicholson]. We obviously drafted [Troy] Apke last year, which is a pretty good option. We have [Jeremy] Reaves here in the building. He's doing some good things, did some great things at the end of the year on practice squad. And Deshazor [Everett] and Landon [Collins]. So, we have five pretty good safeties."

Here's Gruden a month and a half later, after the team's last open OTA session, again addressing that secondary spot.

"Apke is doing well. It has been good to see him get a lot of these reps and work. Obviously, last year he did not get a whole lot with his hamstring, so he is progressing nicely. Everett also has picked up the slack. He has done a very good job. Reaves, he made some big plays out there today. So, those guys are taking advantage of their time."

With Collins, Nicholson, Everett and Apke, the defense should be set on the back end. Those four all feel quite locked in.

Yet Nicholson is coming off of an unpredictable second year as a pro, while Apke couldn't get healthy at all in 2018 after a hamstring issue. Perhaps Reaves, who Gruden also called an "upcoming talent" last December, can pick up the slack if either of those DBs drop off.

Sure, the path won't be easy for Reaves, but one thing's for sure: It's better to be brought up by the head coach than not, and he's being brought up relatively frequently.

Craig Reynolds

Craig Reynolds is an undrafted rookie running back who played for the Golden Bears in college.

No, not the California Golden Bears. The Kutztown Golden Bears. Yes, that's a real school, and yes, it's fine if you've never heard of it.

Reynolds could be the longest longshot of the three players on this list, but guys like Kelley, Mack Brown and Marcus Mason have come from a similar level of anonymity to take fall snaps in the 'Skins backfield.

If you look at the RB depth chart, Adrian Peterson, Derrius Guice and Chris Thompson are making the 53 barring anything crazy. Bryce Love will probably hit the PUP, but he's in the franchise's plans, too.

That means Reynolds will have to compete with the likes of the quite popular Samaje Perine and Byron Marshall, but he should see plenty of action late in preseason games. He averaged more than 150 total yards per game last year at school — indeed, it was Division II, that's a very fair counterpoint — but it feels like the chances to make impressions on Gruden and Randy Jordan in precious live action will be there. It's not like Peterson or Thompson will be used that much, anyway.

Plus, if Perine starts fumbling again or Marshall gets injured as he did in 2018, Reynolds could see those chances grow. He just has to seize every one that comes his way.

Donald Parham

Tight end feels like another position that should be simple. Jordan Reed is the star, Vernon Davis is still around despite a somewhat heavy contract and Jeremy Sprinkle is entering Year 3. If Davis or Sprinkle face any competition, you'd expect it to come from the likes of Matt Flanagan or JP Holtz.

You shouldn't ignore Daniel Parham, however. In fact, it's pretty much impossible to.

Parham signed with the 'Skins on June 7, and the 6-foot-8(!) pass catcher was on the receiving end of more than a few passes once he got going. Not surprisingly, he made the most plays in red zone situations, giving QBs like Dwayne Haskins a very appealing target to throw to. 

The Stetson product probably won't add much of anything as a blocker. Remember that Gruden doesn't like using one-dimensional tight ends, so that could hurt him. Going off that, some scouting services even think he'd be best served lining up consistently in the slot. 

Regardless, you just don't see many people at his size running downfield routes, and his potential is noticeable. A few preseason highlights on jump balls could help him stick around past August.