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Redskins' playoff scenarios heading into Week 13 vs. Cardinals

Redskins' playoff scenarios heading into Week 13 vs. Cardinals

The Redskins enter their Week 13 matchup with the Cardinals in a interesting position.

At 6-4-1, the Redskins are in a favorable spot to make the NFL Playoffs but with a bevy of difficult teams still remaining on their schedule and the Cardinals also having a tie on their record, the Redskins' playoff scenario could change in an instant.

In the first installment of CSNMA's NFL Playoff Scenario analysis, we took a look at the teams that can clinch a spot this week with a win and teams that can remove themselves from the playoff race with a loss. The Redskins don't fall into either of those categories.

But here is what we know about the Redskins' playoff chances heading into Week 13.

RELATED: WEEK 13 STATE OF THE REDSKINS 

The Redskins enter Week 13 as the #6 seed in the NFC with a 6-4-1 record. If the Redskins had beaten the Bengals instead of drawing a tie, they would sit at 7-4. However, even a win over the Bengals would not be enough to jump up to the #5 seed, currently occupied by the 8-3 Giants.

However, if the Redskins had lost to the Bengals and entered Week 13 with a 6-5 record, the Redskins would be the #7 seed — on the outside looking in — behind the Buccaneers based on conference record (Tampa is 5-3 to Washington 4-3 and Minnesota's 4-5).  Washington would be the #7 seed over the Vikings based on their head-to-head win in Week 10.

With two losses to Dallas and the Giants in between, Washington should focus on Wild Card possibilities vs. repeating as division champion.

Two losses to the Cowboys have made the Redskins' chances of repeating as NFC East champs all but gone. Instead, grabbing the top Wild Card spot is the ideal playoff scenario, with the second Wild Card spot as a fine consolation prize. Heading into Week 13, the Redskins have a 35-percent chance to miss the playoffs and 64-percent chance to be a Wild Card team (other less than 1% is division champ), according to PlayoffStatus.com. 

The best-case scenario for the Redskins in Week 13 is to beat the Cardinals but also have the Chargers beat the Buccaneers and the Steelers beat the Giants.  If those scenarios occur, the Redskins' chances to make the playoffs jump to 79 percent, according to PlayoffStatus.com.

Conversely, if the worst-case scenario happens and those three results are reversed, the Redskins would then have a 60-percent chance of MISSING the playoffs.  

It's a big week.

RELATED: JUST HOW MUCH HAVE THE REDSKINS STRUGGLED IN THE RED ZONE?

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Need to Know: Five Redskins on the bubble who could make the roster

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USA Today Sports Images

Need to Know: Five Redskins on the bubble who could make the roster

Here is what you need to know on this Thursday, June 21, 35 days before the Washington Redskins start training camp.  

The first five off of the roster

Here are five players who are not on my projection of the Redskins’ 53-man roster (offensedefense) but who are one injury or a few strong preseason game performances away from making it. 

G Kyle Kalis—Last year he lined up with the second team during most of training camp and he nearly made the roster as an undrafted free agent. The team did re-sign him after injuries struck the O-line in the middle of the season. He will push Tyler Catalina for a backup guard spot. 

RB Byron Marshall—He got a few touches last year before ending up on injured reserve. Marshall has looked good in practices so far, especially catching out of the backfield. Jay Gruden likely will play Chris Thompson sparingly in the preseason and that could give Marshall a chance to shine. Don’t sleep on him. 

WR Cam Sims—Right now, the undrafted rookie out of Alabama looks like the eighth wide receiver on the roster and they are only going to keep six. But if he continues to get the attention of Gruden with his play in practice and makes the most of his opportunities in preseason games, Robert Davis and Maurice Harris should look out. 

S Fish Smithson—The Redskins liked him a lot after they signed him as an undrafted free agent last year. But they didn’t like him enough to keep him on the 53-man roster; he spent the year on the practice squad, getting a late-season cup of coffee on the roster. He will push both Deshazor Everett and Troy Apke for a backup safety spot. If the Redskins have reason to be concerned about the health of Montae Nicholson they might figure out a way to keep Smithson on as a fifth safety. 

ILB Martrell Spaight—It looks like Spaight’s three-year tenure with the team essentially came to an end when they drafted Sean Dion Hamilton in the fifth round. But his play in offseason practices indicates he’s not going to go out without a fight. 

Next five off: OT T.J. Clemmings, QB Kevin Hogan, RB Kapri Bibbs, NT Phil Taylor, CB Danny Johnson

Stay up to date on the Redskins. Rich Tandler covers the team 365 days a year. Like his Facebook page, Facebook.com/TandlerNBCSand follow him on Twitter  @TandlerNBCSand on Instagram @RichTandler

Timeline 

Redskins running back Derrius Guice was born on this date in 1997. 

Days until:

—Training camp starts (7/26) 35
—Preseason opener @ Patriots (8/9) 49
—Roster cut to 53 (9/1) 72

The Redskins last played a game 172 days ago. They will open the 2018 NFL season at the Cardinals in 80 days. 

In case you missed it

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The best players on the Redskins according to their Madden 19 ratings

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USA Today Sports

The best players on the Redskins according to their Madden 19 ratings

Madden 19 won't be released to the public until August 10, but the player ratings for the top players on each NFL team have been released.

The video reaches the Redskins a little after four minutes in. The top nine players on the Redskins, according to their Madden 19 overall ratings are as follows:

  1. LT Trent Williams, 91
  2. RG Brandon Scherff, 88
  3. FS D.J. Swearinger, 86
  4. MLB Zach Brown, 85
  5. CB Josh Norman, 84
  6. RB Chris Thompson, 83
  7. WR Paul Richardson, 83
  8. QB Alex Smith, 81
  9. WR Jamison Crowder, 81

The list has Washington's two best linemen up top followed by its best skill position players and Zach Brown. Beyond Williams and Sherff, there's some debate to be had. Both Richardson and Crowder can make a serious case to be the team's best receiver. Crowder had 22 more receptions and 86 more yards than Richardson in 2017, but Richardson had six touchdowns to Crowder's three.

Smith is coming off arguably the best season of his career with Kansas City. He put up over 4,000 passing yards for the first time in his career, posted career bests in quarterback rating, touchdown passes, interception percentage and completions. His rating as the fifth-best offensive player behind two other skill position players seems off.

These rankings will change throughout the season as more updates become available, but this is what there is to work with right now.

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