The Redskins enter their Week 13 matchup with the Cardinals in a interesting position.
At 6-4-1, the Redskins are in a favorable spot to make the NFL Playoffs but with a bevy of difficult teams still remaining on their schedule and the Cardinals also having a tie on their record, the Redskins' playoff scenario could change in an instant.
In the first installment of CSNMA's NFL Playoff Scenario analysis, we took a look at the teams that can clinch a spot this week with a win and teams that can remove themselves from the playoff race with a loss. The Redskins don't fall into either of those categories.
But here is what we know about the Redskins' playoff chances heading into Week 13.
RELATED: WEEK 13 STATE OF THE REDSKINS
The Redskins enter Week 13 as the #6 seed in the NFC with a 6-4-1 record. If the Redskins had beaten the Bengals instead of drawing a tie, they would sit at 7-4. However, even a win over the Bengals would not be enough to jump up to the #5 seed, currently occupied by the 8-3 Giants.
However, if the Redskins had lost to the Bengals and entered Week 13 with a 6-5 record, the Redskins would be the #7 seed — on the outside looking in — behind the Buccaneers based on conference record (Tampa is 5-3 to Washington 4-3 and Minnesota's 4-5). Washington would be the #7 seed over the Vikings based on their head-to-head win in Week 10.
With two losses to Dallas and the Giants in between, Washington should focus on Wild Card possibilities vs. repeating as division champion.
Two losses to the Cowboys have made the Redskins' chances of repeating as NFC East champs all but gone. Instead, grabbing the top Wild Card spot is the ideal playoff scenario, with the second Wild Card spot as a fine consolation prize. Heading into Week 13, the Redskins have a 35-percent chance to miss the playoffs and 64-percent chance to be a Wild Card team (other less than 1% is division champ), according to PlayoffStatus.com.
The best-case scenario for the Redskins in Week 13 is to beat the Cardinals but also have the Chargers beat the Buccaneers and the Steelers beat the Giants. If those scenarios occur, the Redskins' chances to make the playoffs jump to 79 percent, according to PlayoffStatus.com.
Conversely, if the worst-case scenario happens and those three results are reversed, the Redskins would then have a 60-percent chance of MISSING the playoffs.
It's a big week.