These days, when I see point spreads for 15 games spread over 16 weeks nearly 100 days before the first one is played the first thing that I wonder is what took so long. I’m surprised we didn’t see them the day after the schedule was announced.
Finally, CG Technology, a gaming technology company operation out of Las Vegas, has come up a spread for all but one of 2016 games that each team will play (Cantor did not establish a spread for Week 17 games).
Whatever method CG uses to come up with its spreads does not seem to be impressed with what the Redskins did in 2015 and during this offseason. The Redskins are favored in just two games, when they host the Browns (Redskins -7.5) in Week 4 and at home against the Eagles in Week 6 (Redskins -3). Their games at home against the Cowboys and at Chicago are both rated as pick ‘em games. So if you split those games these odds have the Redskins at 3-12 going into Week 17 against the Giants.
Such a record would qualify as a monumental disappointment and is well below the expectations of most local and national analysts. However, it should be noted that most of the spreads are close. The Redskins are underdogs by more than four points in only one game, at the Cardinals in Week 13. They are no worse than three-point underdogs in any of their home games. The two games where there are dogs by a field goal come in Week 1 against the Steelers and in Week 15 vs. the Panthers.
As everyone knows, as the games approach the lines will change. Injuries will play a key role and teams experience peaks and valleys during the season. I don’t see the Redskins going through the season being favored just three times.
But the spreads are reflective of what many have been saying—the Redskins have a schedule that looks pretty tough based on 2015 results, with games against six playoff teams. The Redskins will have to earn whatever they achieve and they probably won’t be able to return to the playoffs without beating at least one or two teams that finish the season with winning records.
Here is the list of the Redskins’ point spreads. Which ones do you think are out of whack?