Scot McCloughan made it very clear that he would like to trade down and pick up more picks in the draft this week, essentially putting Washington’s top pick at No. 5 in the “for sale” section on Craigslist.
It appears that someone has responded to the ad.
Ian Rapoport of NFL Media reported that the Cleveland Browns have talked to the Redskins about the possibility of moving up. There are reasons to think that they are serious buyers.
For one thing, Cleveland GM Ray Farmer is not afraid to deal. Last year the Browns made three separate moves in the first round, moving up back from fourth to ninth, then up from No. 9 to No. 8, and then again from No. 26 to No. 22.
In the process of all those machinations the Browns picked up an additional first-round pick for this year. It turned out to be the No. 19 pick so they have that plus their own pick at No. 12. This is the other factor that makes them serious bidders; they have draft capital to spend.
The Redskins would like to be able to get both of the Browns’ first-round picks for the move up to the five hole. That would be an overpay if you look at the draft pick points value chart. The fifth pick is worth 1,700 points; the 12th (1200) and 19th (875) are worth a total of 2,075 points. That 375-point difference is the equivalent of a pick around the middle of the second round.
The Browns also have their second-round pick, No. 43 overall, and that might be a more realistic expectation for the Redskins to get in return for moving back to No. 12. That pick is worth 470 points so that pick plus the 12th would total 1,575 points. Perhaps Cleveland would have to throw in their fourth rounder to even things out.
With all that said, the points are just a guide. McCloughan said that a lot of it comes down to a gut feeling. If he thinks that both of the Browns firsts is the right price for his pick at No. 5 and Farmer’s gut tells him the same thing, that’s all that matters.