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2012 Media Predictions


2012 Media Predictions

The NBA season is finally here and opens with three games on tap, including the Wizards playing at Cleveland. That means for those that wish to offer predictions on the Wizards' upcoming 2012-13 campaign, now's the time. My CSNwashington colleagues, others on the Wizards beat and D.C. media members kindly took time to answer a series of questions and offer bold predictions on the players and team overall. We'll check back on how everyone is looking at the All-Star break and at season's end, but in the mean time share your opinions or counter our projections with your own insight...

1) How many games will Nene play?

Ben Standig, CSNwashington: 60
Frank Hanrahan, CSNwashington: 50
Scott Jackson, ESPN980: 65
Kyle Weidie, TruthAboutIt.net: 64
Carla Peay, Washington Times: 64
Brian Jackson, CSNwashington.com: 55

2) How many points + assists will John Wall average?
Standig: 16.6 + 8.5 = 25.1
Hanrahan:19 + 8 = 27
S. Jackson: 17 + 9 =26
Weidie:  27.9
Peay: 15.8 + 9.5 = 25.3
B. Jackson: 18.1 + 8.7 = 26.8

3) How many games will John Wall play?
Standig: 64
Hanrahan: 60
S. Jackson: 60
Weidie: 67
Peay: 67
B. Jackson: 60

4) How many points + rebounds will Emeka Okafor average?

Standig: 10.0. + 8.5 = 18.5
Hanrahan: 8 + 9 =17
S. Jackson: 8 + 12= 20
Weidie: 22.5
Peay: 10.5 + 9.5 = 20
B. Jackson: 12.4 + 8. 2= 20.6

5) What percentage will Trevor Ariza shoot from the field?
Standig: 39.9
Hanrahan: 39.0
S. Jackson: 43.0
Weidie: 41.1
Peay: 45
B. Jackson: 39.3

6) What percentage will Jan Vesely shoot from the free throw line?
Standig: 63.7
Hanrahan: 50.0
S. Jackson: 60.0
Weidie: 67.8
Peay: 60.0
B. Jackson: 58.2

7) What percentage will Martell Webster shoot from 3?
Standig: 39.8
Hanrahan: 38.0
S. Jackson: 39.
Weidie: 39.5
Peay: 38.5
B. Jackson: 41.2

8) How many points per game will Bradley Beal average?
Standig: 12.8
Hanrahan: 12.0
S. Jackson: 18.0
Weidie: 15.3
Peay: 13.5
B. Jackson: 15.5

9) What place will Bradley Beal finish in the Rookie of the Year race?
Standig: Third (Anthony Davis, Damian Lillard)
Hanrahan:  Fifth (Davis, Jeremy Lamb^, Robinson and Harrison Barnes)
S. Jackson: Second: (Davis)
Weidie:  Second (Davis)
Peay: Third (Davis and somebody who's team has a better record than the Wizards)
B. Jackson: Third (Anthony Davis, Lillard)

10) Rank in order based on who will start the most games: Trevor Booker, Jordan Crawford, A.J. Price or Kevin Seraphin?
Standig: Seraphin, Booker, Crawford, Price
Hanrahan: Booker, Crawford, Seraphin, Price
S. Jackson: Crawford, Seraphin, Price, Booker  
Weidie: Booker, Seraphin, Crawford, Price
Peay: Booker, Crawford, Seraphin, Price
B. Jackson: Booker

11) Based on average, who will lead the Wizards in scoring?
Standig: John Wall
Hanrahan: John Wall
S. Jackson: Bradley Beal
Weidie: John Wall
Peay: Jordan Crawford
B. Jackson: John Wall

12) How many points will the Wizards average per game?
Standig: 95.5
Hanrahan: 96.0
S. Jackson: 97.0
Weidie: 97.2
Peay: 95.2
B. Jackson: 97.0

13) How many Wizards will play at least 70 games?
Standig: 9 (Beal, Vesely, Crawford, Okafor, Webster, Singleton, Ariza, Price, Seraphin)
Hanrahan: 7 (Singleton, Vesely, Okafor, Crawford, Webster, Beal, Ariza)
S. Jackson: 10 (Beal, Crawford, Booker, Seraphin, Singleton, Ariza, Price, Vesley, Webster, Okafor)
Weidie: 9 (Vesely, Singleton, Okafor, Beal, Webster, Price, Crawford...and two more TBD)
Peay: 8
B. Jackson: 7 (Beal, Webster, Seraphin, Crawford, Vesely, Okafor, Martin)

14) How many games will the Wizards win?
Standig: 38
Hanrahan: 30
S. Jackson: 35
Weidie: 34
Peay: 34
B. Jackson: 41

15) Will the Wizards make the playoffs? If yes, what seed?
Standig: No (10th seed)
Hanrahan: No
S. Jackson: No
Weidie: No
Peay: No
B. Jackson: No (9th seed)

^Pick made before Lamb traded to Oklahoma City

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2017-18 Wizards roster review: Markieff Morris

2017-18 Wizards roster review: Markieff Morris

To wrap up the 2017-18 season, we are looking at each player on the Wizards' roster. Today, we evaluate Markieff Morris' season...

Player: Markieff Morris

Position: Power forward

Age: 28

2017-18 salary: $8 million

2017-18 stats: 73 G, 27.0 mpg, 11.5 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.9 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.5 bpg, 48.0 FG%, 36.7 3P%, 82.0 FT%, 53.6 eFG%, 116 ORtg, 112 DRtg

Best game: 12/1 vs. Pistons - 23 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks, zero turnovers, 10-for-16 FG, 2-for-3 3PT

Season review: It took quite a while for Markieff Morris to get healthy in the 2017-18 season. He was sidelined to begin last offseason with the ankle injury he suffered against the Celtics in the playoffs, then in September had surgery on both his abdomen and groin. The sports hernia surgery was known, while the groin procedure was revealed once the season was over.

Morris only missed nine games in the entire season, but took time to find his rhythm early. He averaged just 9.0 points and 4.4 rebounds in 14 games in the month of November. He picked it up after that, though he never quite reached the level we saw from him in 2016-17 in terms of volume production.

Morris played less minutes, took less shots, scored fewer points and grabbed less rebounds than the season before. On the other hand, he was more efficient than ever. Morris shot 48 percent from the field, his best since 2013-14, and posted career-highs in three-point percentage (36.7) and effective field-goal percentage (53.6). 

The Wizards could use more scoring from Morris moving forward, especially at times when one of their primary options is injured, as was the case in 2017-18 when John Wall missed 41 games. An active and engaged Morris changes everything for the Wizards. 

When Morris scored 15 points or more this season, the Wizards went 15-8. The season before, they went 22-9 when he got to the 15-point mark. 

It's a bit difficult to project Morris' role for the 2018-19 season at this point, given the fact he's entering a contract year and the most logical area for the Wizards to make significant changes (if they choose to) is in their frontcourt. Also, as Morris discussed in his exit interview, he knows more time at center in small-ball sets could be in his future.

Regardless of what happens with the team, it's a huge summer for Morris individually. If he sets himself up well for a big year in 2018-19, he could earn a nice payday in what might be his last long-term contract given his age.

Potential to improve: Rebounding, screens, scoring

More player season reviews:

John Wall, PG

Bradley Beal, SG

Otto Porter, SF

Kelly Oubre, Jr., SF

Marcin Gortat, C

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2017-18 Wizards roster review: Marcin Gortat

2017-18 Wizards roster review: Marcin Gortat

To wrap up the 2017-18 season, we are looking at each player on the Wizards' roster. Today, we evaluate Marcin Gortat's season...

Player: Marcin Gortat

Position: Center

Age: 34

2017-18 salary: $12.8 million

2017-18 stats: 82 G, 25.3 mpg, 8.4 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.7 bpg, 51.8 FG%, 67.5 FT%, 51.8 eFG%, 112 ORtg, 107 DRtg

Best game: 10/18 vs. Sixers - 16 points, 17 rebounds, 3 blocks, assist, 7-for-12 FG

Season review: Marcin Gortat is self-aware enough to know that what happened to him in 2017-18 was inevitable in many ways. He even publicly called it before the season.

He was one year older, with Ian Mahinmi healthy and in the rotation, and with the NBA continuing to move towards small-ball and big men who can play on the perimeter. As a result, Gortat saw his role in the Wizards rotation pared down noticeably.

Though he still started all 82 games, his minutes went down from 31.2 per game the year before the 25.3. Kelly Oubre, Jr., who played the majority of the season coming off the bench, logged more minutes than Gortat, though he was a starter.

Gortat's minutes were his fewest since the 2009-10 season, when he was a 25-year-old bench player for the Orlando Magic. His numbers this season followed suit. Gortat's points and rebounds per game were both the lowest since that 2009-10 campaign.

Gortat averaged a career-best 10.4 rebounds per game in 2016-17, but the minutes had a direct effect on his volume of boards. He pulled in 2.4 less per game this season despite his rebound percentage (17.0) being close to his career average (17.5). That career average, by the way, is 30th-best all-time an eighth among active players.

Not getting the same opportunities he had in years past, plus public misunderstandings with teammates, combined to make for a frustrating year for Gortat. He said on the Wizards Tipoff podcast midseason it was the worst year of his career. Gortat, though, did continue to make an impact setting screens for the Wizards and he rallied to finish relatively strong.

He had several solid outings in the playoffs, including his 16 points in Game 3 and his 12 rebounds in Game 5. The question is whether that is the last time we will see Gortat in a Wizards uniform.

Washington has played with the idea of trading Gortat for a while now. He popped up in rumors around the trade deadline in February, but remained on the roster. Now he has an expiring contract working in his favor, making it a bit more likely he gets dealt.

Gortat knows his future in Washington is uncertain, though he said following the season he would like to stay. It would not be surprising to him or anyone if he were traded this summer. If not, he's got one year left with the Wizards and could very well have his role decreased even more.

Potential to improve: Rim protection, midrange shooting, free throw percentage

More player season reviews:

John Wall, PG

Bradley Beal, SG

Otto Porter, SF

Kelly Oubre, Jr., SF

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