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Dudley: Wizards' playoff hopes in doubt without 'one-on-one killer'


Dudley: Wizards' playoff hopes in doubt without 'one-on-one killer'

Clippers guard J.J. Redick is launching a podcast with Yahoo's new basketball website The Veritical. For its inaugural edition, Redick interviewed Wizards forward (and former teammate) Jared Dudley

The pair talked about countless topics over the course of an hour, but Dudley's most interesting comments came after Redick asked him to explain Washington's inconsistent play. 

Dudley, who called a players-only meeting last Thursday, attributed the Wizards' ups and downs to two fairly obvious issues: A new identity and key injuries. 

“I think the inconsistency early on was, first you have to mesh any time you bring a new team together and new pieces -- Gary Neal, myself, Alan Anderson," he said.

"[The Wizards] basically changed their style. They were two bigs and they wanted to go small-ball, that’s why they traded for me." He then used Kris Humphries' transition to shooting 3s as an example of Washington emphasizing analytics and asking its players to learn new things. 

But Dudley didn't take long to bring up the Wizards' injury situation, specifically Bradley Beal missing extended time. 

"You lose Bradley Beal, who at the beginning of the season, you could not have told me he wasn't going to be an All-Star," Dudley said. "He was right there neck-and-neck with John Wall. He was averaging 24 points; he's super athletic."

"[Beal] being out is a huge void because, when you go small-ball, sometimes teams want to switch ... You have to have one guy that says, 'Hey, I'm better than you. You cannot guard me by yourself.' And we don't really have that."

"Bradley Beal is that X-factor for us. You can put your best defender on. We're going to screen and roll, and when you switch, he's a one-on-one killer. And that's something we do not have."

It's interesting that Dudley singled out Beal, not Wall, as the hardest to guard one-on-one. While the speedy Wall gets some of the best dribble penetration in the league, he can't match Beal's pure shooting ability, especially from 3-point territory. 

And even though Beal and the Wizards are getting healthier, that won't automatically translate to success. 

"Now we're starting to get healthy, Brad [Beal] is back and now it's like hey, what team are we? Are we two bigs, are we pace-and-space? Are we going to be consistent? That's where we're at right now," Dudley said. 

"We're back and forth between small-ball and two bigs. Brad's coming back in the game, he's our sixth man now instead of starting because of his minutes restriction."

So where does that leave Washington's postseason hopes? Dicey, according to Dr. Dudley. 

"I do believe our next 40 games we'll have a better record, but that being said, that's not guaranteed for a playoff spot because, you see, in the East everyone's close."

Dudley's comments echo a lot of what's been written about the Wizards' struggles, but hearing it from a veteran leader at least solidifies that thinking, if not the solution. 

MORE WIZARDS: Morning tip: Wizards reconnect with pace-and-space offense

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2017-18 Wizards roster review: Markieff Morris

2017-18 Wizards roster review: Markieff Morris

To wrap up the 2017-18 season, we are looking at each player on the Wizards' roster. Today, we evaluate Markieff Morris' season...

Player: Markieff Morris

Position: Power forward

Age: 28

2017-18 salary: $8 million

2017-18 stats: 73 G, 27.0 mpg, 11.5 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.9 apg, 0.8 spg, 0.5 bpg, 48.0 FG%, 36.7 3P%, 82.0 FT%, 53.6 eFG%, 116 ORtg, 112 DRtg

Best game: 12/1 vs. Pistons - 23 points, 7 rebounds, 3 assists, 2 blocks, zero turnovers, 10-for-16 FG, 2-for-3 3PT

Season review: It took quite a while for Markieff Morris to get healthy in the 2017-18 season. He was sidelined to begin last offseason with the ankle injury he suffered against the Celtics in the playoffs, then in September had surgery on both his abdomen and groin. The sports hernia surgery was known, while the groin procedure was revealed once the season was over.

Morris only missed nine games in the entire season, but took time to find his rhythm early. He averaged just 9.0 points and 4.4 rebounds in 14 games in the month of November. He picked it up after that, though he never quite reached the level we saw from him in 2016-17 in terms of volume production.

Morris played less minutes, took less shots, scored fewer points and grabbed less rebounds than the season before. On the other hand, he was more efficient than ever. Morris shot 48 percent from the field, his best since 2013-14, and posted career-highs in three-point percentage (36.7) and effective field-goal percentage (53.6). 

The Wizards could use more scoring from Morris moving forward, especially at times when one of their primary options is injured, as was the case in 2017-18 when John Wall missed 41 games. An active and engaged Morris changes everything for the Wizards. 

When Morris scored 15 points or more this season, the Wizards went 15-8. The season before, they went 22-9 when he got to the 15-point mark. 

It's a bit difficult to project Morris' role for the 2018-19 season at this point, given the fact he's entering a contract year and the most logical area for the Wizards to make significant changes (if they choose to) is in their frontcourt. Also, as Morris discussed in his exit interview, he knows more time at center in small-ball sets could be in his future.

Regardless of what happens with the team, it's a huge summer for Morris individually. If he sets himself up well for a big year in 2018-19, he could earn a nice payday in what might be his last long-term contract given his age.

Potential to improve: Rebounding, screens, scoring

More player season reviews:

John Wall, PG

Bradley Beal, SG

Otto Porter, SF

Kelly Oubre, Jr., SF

Marcin Gortat, C

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2017-18 Wizards roster review: Marcin Gortat

2017-18 Wizards roster review: Marcin Gortat

To wrap up the 2017-18 season, we are looking at each player on the Wizards' roster. Today, we evaluate Marcin Gortat's season...

Player: Marcin Gortat

Position: Center

Age: 34

2017-18 salary: $12.8 million

2017-18 stats: 82 G, 25.3 mpg, 8.4 ppg, 7.6 rpg, 1.8 apg, 0.5 spg, 0.7 bpg, 51.8 FG%, 67.5 FT%, 51.8 eFG%, 112 ORtg, 107 DRtg

Best game: 10/18 vs. Sixers - 16 points, 17 rebounds, 3 blocks, assist, 7-for-12 FG

Season review: Marcin Gortat is self-aware enough to know that what happened to him in 2017-18 was inevitable in many ways. He even publicly called it before the season.

He was one year older, with Ian Mahinmi healthy and in the rotation, and with the NBA continuing to move towards small-ball and big men who can play on the perimeter. As a result, Gortat saw his role in the Wizards rotation pared down noticeably.

Though he still started all 82 games, his minutes went down from 31.2 per game the year before the 25.3. Kelly Oubre, Jr., who played the majority of the season coming off the bench, logged more minutes than Gortat, though he was a starter.

Gortat's minutes were his fewest since the 2009-10 season, when he was a 25-year-old bench player for the Orlando Magic. His numbers this season followed suit. Gortat's points and rebounds per game were both the lowest since that 2009-10 campaign.

Gortat averaged a career-best 10.4 rebounds per game in 2016-17, but the minutes had a direct effect on his volume of boards. He pulled in 2.4 less per game this season despite his rebound percentage (17.0) being close to his career average (17.5). That career average, by the way, is 30th-best all-time an eighth among active players.

Not getting the same opportunities he had in years past, plus public misunderstandings with teammates, combined to make for a frustrating year for Gortat. He said on the Wizards Tipoff podcast midseason it was the worst year of his career. Gortat, though, did continue to make an impact setting screens for the Wizards and he rallied to finish relatively strong.

He had several solid outings in the playoffs, including his 16 points in Game 3 and his 12 rebounds in Game 5. The question is whether that is the last time we will see Gortat in a Wizards uniform.

Washington has played with the idea of trading Gortat for a while now. He popped up in rumors around the trade deadline in February, but remained on the roster. Now he has an expiring contract working in his favor, making it a bit more likely he gets dealt.

Gortat knows his future in Washington is uncertain, though he said following the season he would like to stay. It would not be surprising to him or anyone if he were traded this summer. If not, he's got one year left with the Wizards and could very well have his role decreased even more.

Potential to improve: Rim protection, midrange shooting, free throw percentage

More player season reviews:

John Wall, PG

Bradley Beal, SG

Otto Porter, SF

Kelly Oubre, Jr., SF

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