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Then and now: Comparing Wizards' shooting options

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Then and now: Comparing Wizards' shooting options

The constant beef with the Wizards last regular season involved their lack of nightly 3-point shot attempts in the current bombs away era.

The logical pushback noted the lack of viable perimeter shooters on the roster led to fewer attempts. Washington finished ninth in 3-point percentage (36.0), but 27th in attempts (16.8).

Things changed in the playoffs when the small ball lineup with Paul Pierce at power forward - a look coach Randy Wittman passed on during the regular season because he didn't want the 37-year-old dealing with the extra pounding - took the court. Drew Gooden remaining in the rotation over Kris Humphries also played a factor.

Washington took 6.5 more 3-pointers per game (23.3) in the playoffs. Yet even with uptick in 3-point tries, the Wizards still lagged behind most playoff teams in part because of the overall dearth of outside options. They shot a playoff-best 40% from deep, but ranked 12th among 16 playoff teams in attempts even with Pierce and Bradley Beal launching at will.

The Wizards added four players to the roster this offseason: Veterans Jared Dudley (38.5% career 3-point shooter), Gary Neal (38.1) and Alan Anderson (34.6) along with first round pick Kelly Oubre Jr. All are 3-point threats (Oubre is the shakiest simply because the NBA line is deeper than college arc, but he sank 36% at Kansas). In theory, only the rookie doesn't figure to be part of the rotation most nights.

Before looking ahead, here's a look at last season's primary 10-11 man rotation plus additional backups:

Starters: Nene, Paul Pierce, Marcin Gortat, Bradley Beal, John Wall

Reserves: Kris Humphries, Otto Porter, Kevin Seraphin, Rasual Butler, Ramon Sessions

Next up: Drew Gooden, Garrett Temple

Next, next up: Martell Webster, DeJuan Blair, Will Bynum

Of the top 10, only Beal (team-high 40.9%), Pierce and Butler qualified as true 3-point shooters, in that they're quality enough shooters to design plays for and will put fear in defenses if left alone.

However, Butler departed from such classification over the majority of the second half of the season. Wall attempted the fourth most on the team (2.7), but only sank a paltry 30% of those tries. Porter improved in the playoffs, but still isn't a knockdown shooter yet. Sessions showed a consistent touch with the Wizards, but not historically.

Ultimately that gave coach Randy Wittman 3-5 deep threats on good nights (remember they also must play defense so playing time isn't just about shooting).

Now look at the upcoming season's projected regular season rotation:

Starters: Nene, Otto Porter, Marcin Gortat, Bradley Beal, John Wall

Reserves: Jared Dudley, Alan Anderson, Kris Humphries, Gary Neal, Ramon Sessions, Drew Gooden

Next up: Garrett Temple

Next, next up: Martell Webster, DeJuan Blair, Kelly Oubre Jr.

Really only Nene, Gortat and possibly Humphries are complete non-deep threats. If we assume Porter's shooting improvement continues entering his third season, that means six of the top 11 are legitimate 3-point options. That doesn't account for Sessions and Wall; the possibility that Humphries extended the length of his shot to beyond the arc; Temple (37.5% last season); or that Webster's balky back improves.

Nene remains the assumed starter until someone in authority says otherwise. However, the presence of Dudley, seven years younger than Pierce, means Wittman can use a stretch-4 look more often in season.

That Gooden is the de facto fourth true big man over Seraphin means another deep threat in the regular mix, though the 34-year-old will likely once again be a spot player during the regular season.

Gooden, the best 3-point threat among the big men, didn't truly join the rotation until Humphries' late season injury. He then never left. His presence at stretch-4 along with Pierce changed the look. 

The addition of Dudley, Neal an Anderson will change the look as well, certainly for 82 regular season games.

MORE WIZARDS: Players union head responds to NBA commissioner

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The Bradley Beal All-NBA Dilemma: How NBA execs would handle the big question facing the Wizards

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The Bradley Beal All-NBA Dilemma: How NBA execs would handle the big question facing the Wizards

“How do you get a player better than Brad if you trade Brad?”

That brain-busting question from a current NBA general manager came before the February 7 trade deadline when rumors involving Wizards guard Bradley Beal swirled.

Another migraine-inducing conundrum is forthcoming whether Beal receives All-NBA honors or not.

Should the league’s upcoming announcement of its first, second and third team include the two-time All-Star, the Wizards may have no choice but to break up the backcourt pairing with John Wall that fueled the franchise’s most sustained success since winning the 1978 title.

This honor comes with a financial reward-- if extended to Beal by the Wizards --  in the form of a supermax contract worth approximately $193 million over four years that would begin in 2021-22. He still has two years and $56 million remaining on the valued five-year, $127 million deal he signed in 2016.

The issue is less about Beal’s hefty chunk of the Wizards’ salary cap, but combining it with Wall’s four-year, $170 million supermax deal that begins next season. Offer Beal the supermax and, should he accept, approximately 71 percent of the team’s future salary cap beginning in the 2021-22 season would be chewed up by two players.

Beal and Wall, when healthy, are All-Stars. They’re not Jordan and Pippen.

NBC Sports Washington spoke with over a dozen league sources in recent weeks including three current or former general managers, other executives, NBA coaches, and scouts, about Beal’s contract situation and the Wizards’ overall equation coming off a 32-50 campaign.

Some dutifully tried putting themselves in the mindset of Washington’s next front office leader knowing Beal’s contract status and other limiting or uncertain factors.

The executives shared opinions on whether to boldly hold or sell high on the Wizards’ best player. Regardless of their stance, their initial instinct almost unanimously landed in the same place as this current lead executive: “I have no idea what you would do.”

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There’s an incredibly strong argument for doing nothing. How do you get a player better than Brad if you trade Brad?

Several NBA sources largely acknowledge the choice almost gets removed from the Wizards front office should Beal receive the All-NBA nod. Even if Kemba Walker, Klay Thompson or Ben Simmons trump Beal in the voting, events from early February may effectively force the Wizards’ hand.

Washington faced its second consecutive luxury tax payment, diminishing playoff hopes and the knowledge that Wall would miss the rest of the season with a heel injury.

Despite those negatives and salary cap concerns with only five players catapulting the team over next season’s salary cap, big picture hope existed. The headliners -- Wall, Beal and Otto Porter -- previously put the Wizards in a playoff contender mode. “We're not trading any of those players,” Wizards owner Ted Leonsis said at the time.

There’s a good reason to believe Leonsis meant what he said. Then life intervened and forced change.

Wall’s left Achilles ruptured during the first week of February. The recovery time means an entire calendar year and perhaps the full 2019-20 season. Those negatives, especially with the salary cap, were now amplified.

Washington dealt with that financial scenario two days after the Wall status update by trading Porter and Markieff Morris to slide under the luxury tax.

Another life event requiring a financial decision could happen soon.

*****

There’s no debating whether Beal is worthy of the All-NBA accolade. Some believe he is a favorite to snag one of the two guard spots on the third-team.

The dilemma is can the Wizards justify offering a contract with those hefty terms knowing what’s already on the books, plus the upcoming challenges.

Pass and the likelihood of trading Beal at peak value becomes a leading option. Hold Beal regardless and his trade value effectively decreases over the next two seasons with the possibility he leaves as a 2021 free agent without compensation.

“The Wizards is a hard job right now,” a former GM told NBC Sports Washington. “There’s a lot to figure out. Timelines can’t be certain with John Wall in particular. For Bradley Beal, that's a decision… Hard to walk in [to those interviews) with a specific plan.”

Leave the supermax contract off the table and the human element arises. Those familiar with Beal’s mindset do not see a Robin to Wall’s Batman. Co-headliners, cool, but then pay and appreciate accordingly. Maybe folks could start referring to the pair as Beal and Wall once in a while.

Forget the money, which isn’t Beal’s driving motivation. As one source familiar with Beal’s thinking stated, “Brad needs to be in the playoffs. He’s not disruptive...Brad just wants to win.”

The Wizards might not be in playoff position next season even if Beal maintains his All-NBA level. It's a near lock they won't if the 2012 first-round pick is traded.

Beal averaged 30.9 points in February, the same month he dropped a season-high 46 at Charlotte and his All-NBA buzz soared. Beal joined 2019 MVP finalist James Harden as the only players this season to average at least 25 points, 5 rebounds, 5 assists, and 1.5 steals.

The wing guard’s leadership kept Washington tangibly in the playoff race until realities of the undermanned roster kicked in.

“I think [Brad is] an all-NBA player in my eyes,” said Wall, an All-NBA selection in 2016. “You know how tough it is to make that team? It’s always tough. The year he’s had speaks for itself.”

How do you trade that player especially one groomed by the organization since selecting him third overall in 2012? You can't -- but the Wizards might not have a choice.

Nobody recognizes this more than Bradley Beal.

"Honestly, I’m here until I’m not here," Beal told NBC Sports Washington earlier this month. "I’m not thinking too strong on it. My personal desire is to be here and see the direction we go. Hopefully, the correct direction.

"I keep hearing the possibility of rebooting, trading Brad and getting assets back. It’s a business. I understand both sides of it. I can’t be mad at it."

UP NEXT: Reasons for trading Bradley Beal

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Bradley Beal rooted for the Capitals to win the Stanley Cup, so now he deserves to see his hometown team win it this year

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Bradley Beal rooted for the Capitals to win the Stanley Cup, so now he deserves to see his hometown team win it this year

The St. Louis Blues defeated the San Jose Sharks Tuesday to reach the Stanley Cup Finals for the first time since 1970, where they were eliminated by the Boston Bruins.

They will look to even the odds, as they will be taking on the Bruins yet again on Monday night.

Blues fan and St. Louis native Bradley Beal will hope that his hometown squad will take the cup from the reigning champs, the Washington Capitals, and win the matchup against the Bruins.

Beal cheered on the Caps just a year ago and is ready to show out for the surging Blues.

To really put it into perspective how long it has been since the Blues played for the Cup, take a look at the number one song in the country when these two teams faced off 49 years ago. 

The Blues besting the Bruins will be a challenge, and Beal will be ready to root for his squad until the final buzzer.

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