The Wizards were eliminated from playoff contention during the NBA's restart in Orlando, which also made official their lottery odds, as the teams that missed out on the postseason would draw those odds based on the league standings from March 11, when the league initially shut down.
That puts the Wizards at ninth in the lottery, as they had the ninth-worst record in the NBA at the time. And that means they will have the ninth-most ping-pong balls and a 4.5 percent chance at the No. 1 pick.
Here is the full breakdown for Washington:
1st - 4.5%
2nd - 4.8%
3rd - 5.2%
4th - 5.7%
5th - N/A
6th - N/A
7th - N/A
8th - N/A
9th - 50.7%
10th - 25.9%
11th - 3.0%
12th - 0.1%
13th - >0.0%
As you see, the most likely scenario has them picking ninth, which is exactly where they were last summer, as they dropped from sixth in the lottery. They took Rui Hachimura out of Gonzaga University, which has worked out well for them so far.
Another way to look at it is this: they have a 20.2 percent chance to pick in the top-four and a 79.8 percent likelihood to select in the 9-to-13 range. They also have a 76.6 percent chance to pick either ninth or 10th.
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This draft class is unusual in that there does not appear to be a clear-cut prize at the top. Unlike last year with Zion Williamson and Ja Morant, there do not appear to be any pre-draft phenoms.
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That said, there is still plenty of talent. Some of the best prospects include center James Wiseman, point guard LaMelo Ball, combo guard Anthony Edwards and wing Deni Avdija.
This class may prove to be deep, just not top-heavy. And that could alter the perception of the lottery, in that the difference between picking fourth and ninth may not be as significant as it is in most other years.
Still, it is always better to get a higher pick and now the Wizards will have to work with the odds they have received.
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