CAPITOL HEIGHTS, MD -- The three-year, $111 million offer is on the table and Bradley Beal has until Oct. 21 to make his decision. Does he want to commit to the Wizards through his Age 30 season or wait to see how the team improves and whether he can make more money down the road?

For a variety of reasons, most believe Beal will not sign the contract. He stands to earn a lot more money if he waits and bets on himself.

John Wall, though, sees it differently and his opinion carries some weight. Not only does he know Beal well, having been his teammate for seven years. But he has also been in that situation before, wondering if he should take the money now or roll the dice, even if the odds are good the gamble will pay off.

Wall has thought about Beal's situation a lot and thinks there is a good chance he takes the Wizards' offer.

"I think he will sign it," Wall said at his annual backpack giveaway on Saturday in Prince George's County, MD.

"Brad's a very smart guy. He's going to make the best decision for himself and the organization. He enjoys D.C. I mean, he won the Community Assist Award for all the things he did here. He loves playing with me."


Wall made it clear he will not counsel Beal on the decision, saying the two-time All-Star shooting guard "is his own man." But Wall knows how fleeting success and more importantly health can be, given how his career has transpired. 

It was just two summers ago he signed a supermax contract extension coming off an All-NBA campaign. Now he is recovering from a ruptured Achilles tendon, one that could keep him out for all of next season.

Wall could have turned down the Wizards' offer for $170 million over four years back in 2017. He could have tried to earn more money the next summer. But he took the contract and, in hindsight, that was a brilliant move on his part. Injuries have since stripped two years of his prime and will heavily affect a third next season.

"At the end of the day, you never know. You can sign an extension like I signed an extension and then an injury can happen or something years later," Wall said. 

"I talk about it every day, man. Sometimes you can bank on yourself, but sometimes it's not good to bank on yourself. I had the opportunity where if I didn't want to sign, I could have waited one more year and tried to make All-NBA again. It's very tough. You've only got like seven guys that are going to make All-NBA every year. So, I was like 'if they offer me the extension, I'm gonna sign it.'"

Wall has since watched friends of his like DeMarcus Cousins and Isaiah Thomas, now his teammate, lose tens of millions (if not more) due to injuries. Wall has seen enough to know nothing can be taken for granted in the NBA. 

So, he can see why Beal would sign the extension, even if it goes against some of the stuff he has said publicly and the financial logic of what he could potentially earn if he waits.

"You can't really control what God's plan is," Wall said.