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'Doomed to fail': 5 takeaways from MLB's proposal to play baseball in 2020

'Doomed to fail': 5 takeaways from MLB's proposal to play baseball in 2020

This is a big week for baseball. The trial balloons are over. An actual proposal to play the 2020 season has been voted on and approved by owners and will now go to the players.

Stating the obvious, health is and will continue to be the most important issue during a potential baseball season. But there are plenty of other issues to discuss, too, which is what the owners and players are doing this week. With that in mind, here are five thoughts on the reported proposal on the table:

1. The economics continue to be a challenge. The proposal approved by owners includes a 50-50 revenue share, according to USA Today’s Bob Nightengale. The MLBPA has always been reluctant to accept a revenue-sharing plan because it typically leads to a salary cap. One source with knowledge of Monday’s proposal immediately voiced pessimism that such a plan will fly, telling NBC Sports Chicago it is “doomed to fail.”

The issue with a revenue-sharing plan — like the NFL and NBA have — is that it sets both a floor and a ceiling on what the players can earn. Under this proposal, the players would essentially have access to half of the money that ends up coming in this year. With 2020 revenue projections nearly impossible to project, you can understand why owners would like to put a limit on the piece of pie the players can draw their paychecks from. But the MLBPA already agreed to prorate their salaries based on the number of games played this season, and they will continue to argue that they shouldn’t have to cut their salaries further to adjust for lost revenue at the gate. They’ll also argue that if teams operate at a deficit in 2020, that it is much easier for the owners to recoup their lost money over time than the players, whose careers are shorter.

There’s also major skepticism from the players that teams are actually in danger of operating at deficit in 2020. The teams don’t share their books with the players' union, and the two sides greatly disagree on the percentage of revenue that comes in at the gate from tickets, concessions, parking, etc. One source said the teams would argue that the number is around 50 percent of total revenue, while the MLBPA — without access to the books — would argue that number is far lower, perhaps as low as 30 percent. The truth is, it varies by team, and USA Today reported “MLB officials say that teams are expected to lose about 40 percent of their gross revenue from ticket sales, concessions and parking.”

Ultimately, if the players agree to an additional pay cut, the argument over that percentage will likely be at the crux of the discussions.

2. Put me down for an 82-game season. That’s the approximate number of games included in this proposal, according to numerous reports. Fewer games means a lower risk of players or clubhouse personnel testing positive. If the season begins on July 1, as has been reported, MLB can maintain its normal calendar — avoiding additional doubleheaders — and perhaps increasing the chances of a normal 2021 season if vaccines are available by next spring.

I have long been advocating for a shorter baseball season. It would fix a lot of the weather issues teams have in April, and I believe it would make the season more exciting in a society that has an attention span that continues to shrink. The length of games and even pace of play are not an issue when the games are exciting and matter. But they are an issue when its 49 degrees in Chicago and the White Sox are playing a Thursday afternoon game against the Tampa Bay Rays, as would have been the case May 7.

Of course, as we discussed in the first section of this column, chopping games off the schedule means less revenue at the gate, which is a problem. I’ve always wondered, though, would a shorter season mean more exciting games and higher TV ratings? If the season is more of a sprint than a marathon, would more fans show up to games in markets that don’t typically sell out?

I don’t know the answer to these questions. But I’d love to find out.

The sweet spot for me would be 120 games. Unfortunately, an 82-game season with zero fans in the stands won’t answer all of these questions, but it still could give MLB food for thought — especially if television ratings explode.

3. Keeping the same divisions is good. It was fun dreaming about realignment and 12 White Sox-Cubs games this summer, but it was also a bummer to imagine the White Sox only being able to face the Minnesota Twins in the World Series. I, for one, am forecasting that rivalry to spark up again this year.

The proposal reportedly being discussed has the White Sox only playing games against the American League Central and National League Central divisions. It’s a good compromise. Divisional games are important, and while there’s a drawback to not seeing players like Mike Trout this year, playing the Cubs, Brewers and Cardinals six times each will be entertaining. Remember, fans won’t be in the ballparks anyway, so it’s not like there’s an issue with teams not visiting Chicago in 2020. This is a made-for-TV season and Interleague games are more entertaining to watch than a 9 p.m. CT start in Oakland or any game at Tropicana Field.

4. The universal DH would be smart. I’m not sure it’s necessary without realignment, but if 38 percent of the games are going to be Interleague games, it would make sense to keep the rules equal. The White Sox were scheduled to play 10 road games without the DH in 2020 or 6.2 percent of their total schedule. Under the proposed schedule, the White Sox could have been in a situation where they were set to play 15 road games without the DH. With only 82 games on the schedule, that’s 18.3 percent of the season. If I’m an American League GM paying a designated hitter like Edwin Encarnacion big money, I’m not thrilled about not having the DH in nearly 20 percent of my games.

On the flip side, rosters are going to be expanded significantly, so National League teams will have plenty of options to use as a designated hitter if they adopt it for the entire season. It’s just more logical for National League teams to use those additional players in the DH spot than to have American League pitchers do something they aren’t trained to do for a fifth of the season.

If nothing else, why not try it? Those hesitant to the idea of the universal DH would at least get to see it in practice. The 2020 season presents an opportunity to experiment and MLB should take advantage.

5. Expanded playoffs? Sure, why not? Again, I’m not sure it’s completely necessary, but I do understand why some believe an 82-game regular season wouldn’t accurately decide which teams are most worthy of competing for a World Series. Fine. A 14-team playoff means more games in a season that is robbing us of so much baseball. Plus, it’s a win for the White Sox, shoving the competitive window wide open right now.

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What José Abreu knew was coming: White Sox wins and playoff-style baseball

What José Abreu knew was coming: White Sox wins and playoff-style baseball

This is what José Abreu has been waiting for.

This is what Abreu knew was coming.

This is what Abreu was talking about when he spent the entirety of last year saying how badly he wanted to be part of the franchise’s bright future.

“Something very big,” he said last summer, forecasting what the White Sox were building, “and I don’t want to leave here.”

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He later admitted he never even considered playing for another team during his brief time as a free agent last offseason. Heck, he didn’t even really make it to the winter, signing his new three-year contract to stay on the South Side before Thanksgiving.

He believed in the future. And now he’s seeing it.

The White Sox won their fifth straight game Monday night, a 6-4 victory over the Milwaukee Brewers that was dripping with playoff feeling, the kind of vibe that’s been absent from South Side baseball during the majority of Abreu’s time here. He’s yet to play for a team that’s finished the season north of .500.

But Monday, he delivered the game’s clutchest hit: a two-run homer that sent a 4-2 deficit to a 4-all tie in the seventh inning. A wild pitch brought the go-ahead run home the following inning, and the White Sox were winners.

Abreu’s personal heroics alone aren’t what’s made this year different. Those we've seen before. It’s what’s going on around him.

On the same night Abreu blasted that ball to center field at Miller Park, the young players who enticed him to stick around showed what they can do, too. Luis Robert had a single, a pair of walks and two stolen bases. Yoán Moncada had three hits, including a ninth-inning home run. Nomar Mazara picked up a single in his first game in a White Sox uniform. And Nick Madrigal took a four-pitch walk that ended with that game-winning wild pitch.

Expand the scope to the last five games, all White Sox wins, and there’s a heaping helping of the kind of stuff Abreu knew was coming: Lucas Giolito turning in an ace-like performance last week in Cleveland, Robert and Eloy Jiménez both coming a triple away from the cycle Saturday in Kansas City and Madrigal knocking out four hits Sunday.

“It’s always good to be around this team we have right now, this group,” Abreu said through team interpreter Billy Russo on Monday night. “A lot of energy and passion, that motivates you more every day. … I was looking to make good contact in that at-bat (that resulted in the home run). It was very special. I want to keep doing those things for this team.”

RELATED: Streaking White Sox turn slow start around: 'All these games are must-win'

Of course, what made Abreu’s multi-year contract feel like an inevitability — apart from Abreu saying on multiple occasions that he’d sign himself if the White Sox didn’t put the papers in front of him — was that the relationship was a two-way street. Abreu voiced his love for the White Sox, and they returned the favor, talking about everything he’s brought to the team as a team leader and a role model for the young players.

A lineup that’s been so productive this season is well stocked with members of the José Abreu Mentorship Program. That lineup is capable of doing things no other White Sox lineup Abreu’s been a part of could do. And, whether this year or down the road, that could include the biggest of things.

“Frankly, my happiness for a guy like José will come once we're able to present him with a ring,” general manager Rick Hahn said before Opening Day, “because that's what he deserves based on what he's meant for this organization and his performance on the field. Certainly look forward to, hopefully, the opportunity to do that in the coming years with him.”

Abreu didn’t have to wait long to get a taste of a different kind of baseball, with Monday night’s game — just the 10th of this season — featuring a parade of edge-of-your-seat moments.

One of those intense moments? Abreu’s at-bat in the fifth inning. With Robert on base ahead of him, Abreu fought off one pitch after another in an 11-pitch at-bat. It ended in a strikeout, but it allowed Abreu to see just about everything Corbin Burnes had to offer. Two innings later, Abreu homered off Burnes to tie the game.

"Those at-bats put you in a good position for next time you face the pitcher," Abreu said. "That at-bat was the key for me to get a homer in the next at-bat. I saw those pitches and was prepared for what he wanted to do. Even though I struck out, that was a really key moment and at-bat for me."

That’s the kind of player Abreu’s been all along. Now, he’s doing it in the middle of a potent lineup on a team with realistic postseason expectations.

RELATED: Nick Madrigal's four-hit day shows what White Sox newest core member can do

Intensity was hard to come by for viewers over three rebuilding seasons that featured a combined 284 losses. One five-game winning streak won’t wash all those rebuilding-era losses away by itself, but the White Sox are over .500 and in second place in the AL Central. That’s playoff position in this bizarre season with an eight-team American League playoff field. Fans are starting to get a little giddy, and the players are certainly recognizing a different feel in the clubhouse after they turned around a 1-4 start.

But this is Abreu we’re talking about.

Moncada might be stylish, Robert might be fast, and Jiménez might be fun-loving. But they all have one thing in common learned from their time in the José Abreu Mentorship Program: They work hard.

And so with the White Sox streaking, leave it to Abreu to deliver the most Abreu of messages.

“We can’t get too comfortable. We need to do our job and keep working because we need to get more results,” he said. “This is no time, by any means, to get comfortable and think we are a finished product. We need to keep working.”


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White Sox Quick Takes: Why Ross Detwiler’s dominance could be for real

White Sox Quick Takes: Why Ross Detwiler’s dominance could be for real

While it was unsettling to see Carlos Rodón leave Monday’s game after just two innings because of left shoulder soreness, a potential replacement may have been reaffirmed later in the game.

The White Sox are now on a five-game winning streak after a 6-4 win over the Brewers in Milwaukee and Ross Detwiler has played a huge role in the team’s early success. After starting his season by getting 16 straight outs, Detwiler came up big again Monday, striking out three Brewers in 1.1 innings of relief. That included picking off Ben Gamel to end the sixth inning and pitching over two defensive miscues in the seventh that nearly gave the Brewers the lead. With the go-ahead run at third base, Detwiler struck out Eric Sogard to end the threat.

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“Everybody has seen what he’s been able to do for us,” White Sox manager Rick Renteria said after the game. “He’s eating up innings, big key innings, to keep us in ballgames.”

With Rodón status suddenly uncertain (he’ll be re-evaluated Tuesday), Detwiler could be the logical choice to take over as the team’s fifth starter if needed. And while there’s some understandable skepticism about using him in that role (he had a 6.59 ERA in 2019 with 12 starts), there’s reason to believe Detwiler's recent success is for real.

And that reason is simple: he’s healthy now.

“It’s been a huge thing for me. I had surgery in October on my landing hip,” Detwiler said. “Even (pitching coach Don Cooper) said I didn’t have a sinker last year and that’s been a huge pitch for me in the past.”

He has it now and it’s making a big difference. Whether Detwiler is needed to start games or continue his role in the bullpen, it’s becoming clear the 34-year-old is going to be a big piece of the puzzle in 2020.

He did what?

It’s not too often you walk the bases loaded to get to Christian Yelich, but Renteria did exactly that in the fifth inning. With Jace Fry pitching, Renteria opted to intentionally walk Keston Hiura to get to Yelich. The White Sox were hoping for a double play ball, but Fry struck out Yelich instead.

The move paid off, albeit briefly. Steve Cishek entered the game to face Avi García, who managed to squeeze a groundball through the left side of the infield for a two-RBI single, giving the Brewers a 4-2 lead.

Moncada OK?

Considering Yoán Moncada finished the game and even hit a solo home run in the ninth inning, there probably shouldn’t be too much concern about his health. Still, it seemed noticeable that he walked gingerly to the dugout after scoring on a sacrifice fly in the first inning and was later seen shaking out his leg at third base in the third inning.

One might even argue Moncada’s range appeared limited on García’s go-ahead single in the fifth. Cishek certainly reacted like he thought he got out of the inning.

Perhaps it’s nothing. Perhaps it’s something to watch.

Abreu Burnes the Brewers

It was pretty surprising to see Brewers manager Craig Counsell allow Corbin Burnes to pitch to Jose Abreu in the seventh inning with Milwaukee holding onto a 4-2 lead. Burnes and Abreu battled through an intense 11-pitch at-bat in the fifth inning that eventually ended in a strikeout. But Abreu saw every pitch Burnes throws and by the seventh, the right-hander’s velocity was down a tick. It was clear Burnes was tiring.

“Even though I struck out, I think that was the most important at-bat of the night for me,” Abreu said.

That’s because it gave him a huge advantage the next time around, especially after getting a 3-0 count. The next pitch was a 95.3 mile per hour fastball that Abreu deposited over the center field wall to tie the game 4-4. By comparison, in the fifth, Burnes’ fastball touched 98 against Abreu.

Living on base

When Leury García grounded out in the ninth inning, it ended a streak of reaching base 10 times in a row. He finished the game with three hits, already his third three-hit game of the season. Not bad for a super utility man who has already played shortstop, second base and right field this season.

But García’s biggest play of the night was beating out a double play in the eighth inning. That allowed him to score the go ahead run later in the inning on a wild pitch, giving the White Sox a 5-4 lead they would not relinquish.

On Deck

If you thought Monday’s game was good (and it felt like a playoff game at times), Tuesday’s matchup in Milwaukee features two outstanding pitchers as Lucas Giolito (0-1, 6.52 ERA) faces Brandon Woodruff (1-1, 1.59 ERA). Both pitchers are coming off an extra day of rest. The White Sox will look to win their sixth straight game, a streak that started when Giolito pitched a gem in Cleveland to jumpstart the then 1-4 White Sox.

 

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