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Stat attack!: Northern Trust Open review

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“I still can’t believe what just happened,” - Kim, through a translator, in her post-tournament news conference after chipping in to force a playoff and then holing out for eagle to win the playoff.

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We should get used to the what we saw Sunday during the final round of the Northern Trust Open. It has all the ingredients of becoming one of the top rivalries on the PGA Tour. The right-handed bomber who has won at least once in each of his seven years in the big leagues against the left-handed slugger who won the 2012 Masters and led the Tour in driving distance four times in the last eight years. Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson epitomize the new breed of PGA Tour star – long off the tee, tall as the trees, cool under pressure, and as much of an athlete as any of the basketball stars who dunked the night away at the NBA All-Star Game. Although they didn’t quite play one-on-one in the final round at Hogan’s Alley, the pair were certainly aware of each other’s presence on the leaderboard, and Watson’s two-stroke win over Johnson marks the fourth time in five years the two have finished in the top five at the same PGA Tour event.

Bubba Watson and Dustin Johnson in contention at the same event

TournamentBubba WatsonDustin Johnson
2014 Northern Trust OpenWon2nd
2013 Hyundai T of CT-4Won
2011 FarmersWonT-3
2010 PGA 2ndT-5

Watson led the Northern Trust Open in driving distance - the official stat, not the distance of all drives - marking the fourth straight week either he or Johnson has led the field in that statistic. Watson leads the circuit in driving distance at 320.8 yards in 2013-14 and hammered 18 drives longer than that at Riviera. Johnson was eighth in distance at the NTO at a pedestrian 303.3 yards per poke, but he led the field in greens in regulation, hitting 53, two more than Watson, who was third on the week. However, Johnson’s weekend rounds of 69-66 couldn’t match Bubba’s spectacular bogey-free 64-64, the lowest weekend total at the Northern Trust Open since the tournament returned to Riviera in 1973.

Lowest final 36 holes at the Northern Trust Open since 1973

TotalScoresPlayerYear
12864-64Bubba Watson2014
12966-63Doug Tewell1986
13165-66Tiger Woods1998
13162-69Fred Couples1990
13167-64Lanny Wadkins1985
13163-68Gil Morgan1983
13161-70George Archer1983

Watson wasn’t just the first player with two weekend rounds of 65 or better at Riviera, he was only the fourth player since 1990 to shoot at least two rounds that low in the same week at the Northern Trust Open. Three of the four would go on to win.

Players with two rounds of 65 or better at the Northern Trust Open since 1990

YearPlayerScoresFinish
2014Bubba Watson70-71-64-64Won
2009Phil Mickelson63-72-62-72Won
2007Charles Howell III69-65-69-65Won
2002Scott McCarron69-65-65-71T-2

Watson’s 128 also matched the lowest final 36 on the PGA Tour in 2013-14.

TotalScoresPlayerTournament
12864-64Bubba WatsonNorthern Trust Open
12862-66Jimmy WalkerFrys.com Open
12864-64Kevin NaFrys.com Open
12963-66Ian PoulterHSBC Champions

But Riviera CC was far from a pushover. Of the 18 courses the PGA Tour has played in 2013-14, it ranks as the sixth-toughest behind Torrey Pines’ South Course, the Seaside Course at Sea Island Resort and the three venues used during the AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am.

Toughest courses on the PGA Tour in 2013-14

RankCourseAverage to par
1Torrey Pines South +1.797
2Pebble Beach +1.385
3Spyglass Hill+0.755
4Seaside Course+.0255
5Monterey Peninsula+0.252
6Riviera+0.209

Johnson, meanwhile, finished second for the second consecutive week on Tour. He shot a closing 66 at Pebble Beach a week ago to finish one stroke back of Jimmy Walker. He’s one of eight players to finish second on consecutive weeks in the last 10 years.

Runner-up finishes in back-to-back weeks on the PGA Tour from 2005-2014

Year Player Runner-ups Next start
2014 Dustin Johnson Pebble, Northern Trust
2013 Phil Mickelson FedEx, U.S. OpenMC Greenbrier
2013 Brandt Snedeker Farmers, PhoenixWon Pebble Beach
2009 Brett Quigley Puerto Rico, TampaMC Arnold Palmer
2007 Tim Clark John Deere, MilwaukeeT-6 WGC Bridgestone
2007 Jose Coceres Mayakoba, HondaT-29 Heritage
2006 Trevor Immelman Wachovia, NelsonT-7 Memorial
2005 Vijay Singh Honda, Arnold PalmerT-12 Players

It’s worth noting that not only did Snedeker win in his next start the following week at the 2013 AT&T Pebble Beach National Pro-Am, but Mickelson, too, stayed hot despite the missed cut at the Greenbrier Classic. Lefty won in his next two tournaments at the European Tour’s Barclay’s Scottish Open and the Open Championship. That’s food for thought as Johnson plays this week’s WGC-Accenture Match Play Championship. Unless, of course, he runs into Bubba Watson somewhere along the way.