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Stat attack!: Shell Houston Open review

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HUMBLE, TX - APRIL 06: Matt Jones of Australia poses with the trophy after defeating Matt Kuchar of the United States in the first hole of the playoff in the final round of the Shell Houston Open at the Golf Club of Houston on April 6, 2014 in Humble, Texas. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images)

Matt Jones, ranked 90th on the World Ranking, rolled in a 46-foot putt on the last hole and wound up in a playoff at the Shell Houston Open. He then made a 42-yard chip on the first extra hole for his first PGA Tour win and a spot in this week’s Masters.

He’s the fourth Australian winner on Tour this year (third in the last four weeks) and continues a trend of journeymen coming back to defeat the best players in the world in the final round. Seven of last eight PGA Tour winners were ranked 90th or higher when they won. And they weren’t all beating fellow grinders. First Russell Henley beat Rory McIlroy at the Honda Classic, then Matt Every toppled Adam Scott and Keegan Bradley at Bay Hill, and now Jones stunned Kuchar. What’s next? Thorbjorn Olesen edging Phil Mickelson at Augusta? Don’t laugh. Stranger things have happened.

World Ranking of PGA Tour winners since the Florida Swing

RankPlayerTournamentRunner-up
90Matt JonesShell Houston OpenMatt Kuchar
339Steven BowditchValero Texas OpenWill MacKenzie, Daniel Summerhays
94Matt EveryArnold Palmer Invitational Keegan Bradley
123John SendenValspar Championship Kevin Na
92Chesson HadleyPuerto Rico OpenDanny Lee
44Patrick ReedWGC-Cadillac Championship Jamie Donaldson, Bubba Watson
110Russell HenleyHonda ClassicRory McIlroy, Russell Knox

Jones has been grinding his way on tour for seven years. He was 32nd on the FedEx Cup standings a year ago thanks to a runner-up finish at the Greenbrier Classic. His breakout win was a long time coming.

Matt Jones PGA Tour record

YearStartsTop-10sTop-25sCuts madeFedex RankMoney rankEarnings
2014121491618$1,605,598
201324591832481,724,707
201219128184172300,254
2011251510127133602,392
201027581763721,215,743
2009172412126134593,313
2008312517127135775,899
20051000000

Jones managed to win Sunday despite hitting just five fairways, although he did manage to find 15 greens in regulation. For the week he was second in the field in GIR with 58. He also led the field in strokes gained-putting and only missed one putt from less than 10 feet. Like many PGA Tour winners, he improved dramatically in the stats in which he had been having the most trouble.

Matt Jones PGA Tour stats at Houston and entering the week

GIR percentageStrokes gained/puttingPutting from less than 10 feet
Houston80.56% (2)2.528 (1)93.39% (2)
Entering
the week
65.64% (106)-.096 (107)84.56% (161)

Jones also led the field in par-3 scoring at 2.69. He was the first player to win while leading the field in scoring on the one-shot holes since Harris English at the Mayakoba Classic. Like English, Jones will be making his first Masters appearance this week. The Aussie is the 24th first-timer to qualify for Augusta National (a tournament-record, discounting, of course, the inaugural event in 1934). He’s the sixth player to earn his Masters berth by virtue of winning on Tour this season.

2013-14 Tour winners, whose victory got them into the Masters

Player2013-14 winPrevious majors
Steven BowditchValero Texas Open1
Matt EveryArnold Palmer Invitational3
Matt JonesShell Houston Open3
Chris KirkMcGladrey Classic4
Kevin StadlerWM Phoenix Open6
Jimmy WalkerFrys.Com Open6

Does winning the week before the Masters improve your chances of winning at Augusta? It’s not likely. Only four Masters champs won the week before the Masters, and in the last five years only Anthony Kim in 2010 finished in the top-10 at the Masters.

Masters winners who won the week prior to the Masters

YearPlayerTournament
2006Phil MickelsonBell South Classic
1988Sandy LyleKmart Greater Greensboro Open
1959Art WallAzalea Open
1939Ralph GuldahlGreater Greensboro Open

How prior-week winners fared at the Masters: 2009-2013

YearPlayerMasters finish
2013Martin LairdMissed cut
2012Hunter MahanT-12
2011Phil MickelsonT-27
2010Anthony Kim3
2009Paul CaseyT-20

As for Kuchar, does losing the Shell Houston Open impact his Masters odds? The runner-up the week before the Masters hasn’t always been invited to Augusta, but when he does play his success is a mixed bag. Of seven players, five made the cut and two had top-10 finishes. Two players missed the cut.

How the prior week runner-up fared at the Masters: 2004-2013

YearPlayerRunner-upMasters finish
2013Rory McIlroyValero Texas OpenT-25
2008Geoff OgilvyShell Houston OpenT-39
2007Stuart ApplebyShell Houston OpenT-7
2006Zach JohnsonBell South ClassicT-32
2006Jose Maria OlazabalBell South ClassicT-3
2005Rich BeemBell South ClassicMC
2005Jose Maria OlazabalBell South ClassicMC