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Chargers vs. Broncos prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury update, betting trends, and stats

It is a massive game in terms of the AFC West standings and the playoffs in general Sunday in Denver when the Broncos (3-2) host the LA Chargers (2-2). Jim Harbaugh has the Chargers playing the grind it out game he won with at Michigan while Sean Payton has the Broncos battling on defense while their rookie quarterback tries to figure it out on offense. For the record, Bo Nix may be doing just that little by little as Denver has won three straight.

These teams’ defenses are the reason for their success this season. The Chargers are allowing a league-low 12.5 points per game. The Broncos are giving up just 14.6 points per game. Hence, the week’s low Total sitting now at 35.5. That Total may shrink even more seeing as not one Chargers’ game has reached that Total and only two of Denver’s five games have exceeded that number.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Lets dive into the matchup and find one or two sweats.

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

Game Details and How to watch Chargers @ Broncos

  • Date: Sunday, October 13, 2024
  • Time: 4:05PM EST
  • Site: Empower Field at Mile High
  • City: Denver, CO
  • TV/Streaming: CBS

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Chargers @ Broncos

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Los Angeles Chargers (-148), Denver Broncos (+124)
  • Spread: Chargers -2.5
  • Total: 35.5

This line has barely moved in either direction. It opened at Chargers -2 and of late has seen a little money come in on Los Angeles forcing the number up .5 points. The Total opened as the clear lowest on the board…and has dropped another 1.5 points from 37 to 35.5.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bets

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) believes the UNDER is still the play even as it continues to approach Army/Navy territory:
“I’m taking the sketchy UNDER 35.5. These are two teams that are nut UNDER teams. They love to run and play good defense.”

Chargers @ Broncos Betting Trends and Statistics

  • 11 of the Chargers’ last 13 games against AFC teams have gone UNDER the Total.
  • The Chargers have won 18 of the last 25 games against the Broncos, but Denver has won the last 3.
  • Denver’s current 3-game winning streak is their longest since 2021.
  • The Chargers allow a league low 12.5 points per game.
  • The Chargers’ offense, however, has scored just 10 points in each of their last 2 games.

Quarterback matchup for Chargers @ Broncos

  • Los Angeles: Justin Herbert – an ankle injury has limited Herbert through the first 4 games of the season. He has yet to throw for over 180 yards. His 578 passing yards for the season is hardly more than Kirk Cousins threw for last week (509 yards).
  • Denver: Bo Nix – the rookie has shown signs of maturing over the course of Denver’s current 3-game winning streak. Most notably he has not thrown an interception the last 3 games. Last week vs. Las Vegas the 1st round pick was 19-27 for 206 yards.

Chargers and Broncos injury update

  • Chargers’ LB Joey Bosa (hip) did not practice Wednesday and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Chargers’ QB Justin Herbert (ankle) was limited in practice this week and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Chargers’ RT Joe Alt (knee) was limited in practice this week and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Chargers’ CB Ja’Sir Taylor (leg) did not practice this week and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Broncos’ WR Josh Reynolds (hand) did not practice this week and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Broncos’ DE John Franklin-Myers (undisclosed) is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Broncos’ C Luke Wattenberg (undisclosed) is questionable for Sunday’s game.

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