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Browns vs. Commanders prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury updates, betting trends, and stats

Led by their fearless and dynamic rookie quarterback Jayden Daniels, the surprising 1st place Washington Commanders (3-1) host Deshaun Watson and the disappointing Cleveland Browns (1-3) Sunday afternoon.

The Commanders’ offense has been the key to their early season success. Washington has scored 80 points over the last 2 weeks. They have scored at least 1 point in every quarter of every game with the lone exception being the 1st Quarter of Opening Weekend against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Commanders are the 2nd highest scoring team in the NFC.

The Browns’ offense, on the other hand, is offensive. Yes, the O-line is banged up but Deshaun Watson has rarely been able to sustain a drive and score a touchdown after the opening and scripted drive to start the game. Cleveland ranks dead last in yards per play in the entire league. It is not a leap to assume they would be winless for it not for their defense which ranks 9th in the NFL in yards per play allowed.

Washington’s defense has yet to find solid footing so perhaps this is the week Cleveland moves the ball and sustains drives and scores multiple touchdowns.

This rivalry has been dominated by Cleveland over the years with the Browns winning 18 of the 25 games.

Lets dive into the numbers and see if we can find a few sweats.

NBC Sports has all the latest info and analysis you need, including how to tune in for kickoff, odds from DraftKings, player news and updates, and of course our predictions and best bets for the game from our staff of experts.

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

Game Details and How to watch Browns vs. Commanders

  • Date: Sunday, October 6, 2024
  • Time: 1PM EST
  • Site: Northwest Stadium
  • City: Landover, MD
  • TV/Streaming: FOX

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports with all the matchup, venue, game-time and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game odds for Cleveland Browns @ Washington Commanders

The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Cleveland Browns (+140), Washington Commanders (-166)
  • Spread: Commanders -3.5
  • Total: 43.5

This game opened at Commanders -3.5 but has seen money come in on the Browns moving the number down to 3 and then back to 3.5 on Thursday. The Total opened at 43.5, was bet up to 45, but has taken money Thursday on the UNDER and is back to where it started at 43.5.

NBC Sports Bet Best Bets

NBC Sports Betting Analyst Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) is expecting points in this game.
“I’m taking the Browns +3.5. Why? One sole reason. Its easier to be the hunter than the hunted. The Commanders are the favorites in this game, and I think that’s a lot of pressure. Browns just need to cover.”

Browns vs. Commanders team stats, betting trends

  • Cleveland is 1-3 ATS and their Game Totals have hit the UNDER 3 times through the season’s 1st 4 weeks.
  • Washington is 3-1 ATS and their Game Totals have hit the OVER 3 times through the season’s 1st 4 weeks.
  • Deshaun Watson is 2-0 in his career against Washington winning as a member of the Houston Texans in November of 2018 and as a member of the Browns last January.
  • Jayden Daniels has rushed for 218 yards and scored 4 TDs himself through 4 games this season.
  • Commanders RB Brian Robinson Jr. rushed for 101 yards and 1 TD last weekend against Arizona.

Quarterback matchup for Browns vs. Commanders

  • Cleveland: Deshaun Watson – completing only 61.5% of his passes but more disturbing is he ranks 39th in the league in yards per attempt (4.9).
  • Washington: Jayden Daniels – completing 82.1% of his passes while ranking 5th in the NFL in yards per attempt (8.5).

Cleveland Browns and Washington Commanders player news and injury updates

  • Browns’ starting MLB Jordan Hicks (elbow, triceps, ribs) is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Browns’ DE Myles Garrett (Achilles) is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Browns’ TE1 David Njoku (ankle) is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Commanders’ RB Austin Ekeler (concussion) was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice and is questionable for Sunday’s game.
  • Commanders’ WR Jamison Crowder (calf) was placed on IR Wednesday and will not play in Sunday’s game.
  • Commanders’ WR2 Noah Brown (groin) was a limited participant in Wednesday’s practice and is questionable for Sunday’s game.

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