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Saints vs. Chiefs prediction: Odds, expert picks, QB matchup, injury updates, betting trends, and stats

The New Orleans Saints will visit the Kansas City Chiefs this Sunday in a matchup that promises high-stakes action as both teams vie for crucial victories to bolster their playoff aspirations.

The Saints come off a tough divisional loss to the Falcons last week after Younghoe Koo kicked a 58-yard game-winning field goal. The Chiefs hope to continue winning despite the injuries piling up on offense.

The two teams have had their moments this season, but both are undoubtedly works in progress. The Saints destroyed the Cowboys and the Panthers but lost back-to-back games against the Eagles and the Falcons. While the Chiefs are undefeated, but Mahomes has more turnovers than touchdowns.

Listen to the Bet the Edge podcast as hosts Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick provide listeners with sharp actionable insight, market analysis and statistical data to help bettors gain more information before placing their wagers.

Game Details and How to Watch New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Live on Monday Night

  • Date: Monday, October 7, 2024
  • Time: 8:15 PM EST
  • Site: Arrowhead Stadium
  • City: Kansas City, MO
  • TV/Streaming: ESPN

Want to check out the other games on the NFL schedule this week? We’ve got you covered right here on NBC Sports, with all the matchup, venue, game time, and TV/streaming info so you won’t miss any of the action!

Game Odds for New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs - Week 5

The latest odds as of Friday afternoon courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: New Orleans Saints (+210), Kansas City Chiefs (-250)
  • Spread: Chiefs -5.5
  • Total: 42.5

The line opened at -5.0 and has slightly moved up, but given the Chiefs’ injuries, the line has moved back down.

Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!

NBC Sports Bet Best Bets

Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas) sees value in betting the over on Travis Kelce’s receiving yards:
“It may be challenging to trust Kelce given his lack of success this season. However, with the injuries to Isaiah Pacheco and Rashee Rice, Mahomes will likely fall on his security blanket. Kelce finished last week’s game with nine targets, a number he hasn’t come close to all season. It also helps the Saints have allowed over 55 yards per game to TEs so far this season.”

New Orleans Saints @ Kansas City Chiefs Team Stats and Betting Trends

  • The Saints are 2-0 against the spread as underdogs.
  • The Chiefs are 6-4 ATS in their last 10 home games.
  • The Over is 4-1 in the Saints’ last 5 games
  • The Chiefs have won 4 of their last 5 games at home against NFC South teams
  • The Chiefs have covered the spread in 7 of their last 10 games against teams with worse records

Quarterback Matchup for New Orleans Saints at Kansas City Chiefs

  • Saints: Derek Carr has thrown for 824 yards, with 6 TDs and 3 INTs this season.
  • Chiefs: Patrick Mahomes numbers are down this season with 904 passing yards, 6 TDs, and 5 INTs.

New Orleans and Kansas City Injuries

  • Saints:
    • WR Michael Thomas is OUT
    • LB Deario Davis is questionable
    • TE Juwan Johnson is questionable
    • TE Taysom Hill is questionable
  • Chiefs:
    • WR Rashee Rice is OUT
    • RB Isaiah Pacheco is OUT
    • RB Kareem Hunt is questionable
    • DE Mike Danna is questionable

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