Point Guard
Goran Dragic - Miami Heat (vs. Milwaukee Bucks)
Goran Dragic will be a beneficiary of a Miami Heat win tonight. Yup, I am sticking to my gut here. I am going to take the stance that I fully expect the Miami Heat to pull out a win today avoiding elimination. Ultimately, I think they will lose the series. With that said, in a home elimination game with Giannis now on the injury report and DiVincenzo confirmed out for the series, the pieces are in place for a Miami push tonight. These injuries create a whole different narrative than what we’ve seen so far in this series. I would avoid playing Tyler Herro (he has not looked good in this series). I expect the trio of Dragic, Butler, and Adebayo to be under-owned but highly lucrative on a small four-game slate.
Other PG Option: Kendrick Nunn
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Shooting Guard
Seth Curry - Philadelphia 76ers (vs. Washington Wizards)
Updating soon...
Other SG Option: Tyler Herro
Small Forward
Jimmy Butler - Miami Heat (vs. Milwaukee Bucks)
On a four-game slate, two of my top GPP plays of the day are Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler. It was clear in game two that Miami’s head coach Erik Spoelstra wanted to take advantage of Bam’s matchup against Brook Lopez. This strategy ultimately did not work. With that said, the shots were there, Bam simply did not execute. Adebayo and Butler have advantages against Khris Middleton and Brook Lopez. All series long I have had confidence in Miami and I’m going to stick to my guns tonight in that Miami should take at least one game of this series. I understand Milwaukee is up 30. I get it. It’s very hard to sweep a team in the NBA. Especially one that I thought actually had a shot in the series. DiVincenzo is officially out for the series & Antetokounmpo has made his way to the injury report as well. Pointsbet.com has the Heat at +5 point underdogs with a 221.5 O/U. If the Heat are able to take one game of this series it will be on the backs of Butler and Adebayo. These players have disappointed all series long but in an elimination game, you’d be surprised how often a team can step up. Regardless, I fully expect this to be more like game one than games two and three which were massive blowouts.
Other SF Options: Danny Green
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Power Forward
Trevor Ariza - Miami Heat (vs. Milwaukee Bucks)
Trevor Ariza is someone who racks up a variety of stats when his team performs well. He is a crucial part to Miami’s offense and if you like my call for Miami to win today, Ariza simply becomes a solid fourth man to a Miami stack at a valuable salary. Ariza has averaged 25.1 minutes over his last three games but only totaling 15.4 FPPG. I really think we will see a Miami Heat victory today, Trevor Ariza will be a clear benefactor of this win. At a salary of $4,900 on Draftkings, it becomes a no-brainer.
Other PF Option: Carmelo Anthony
Center
Enes Kanter - Portland Trail Blazers (vs. Denver Nuggets)
Other than the Miami Heat, Jusif Nurkic will undoubtedly be highly owned. I’ve noticed that his ownership has been around 50% for almost all of these NBA playoff slates this season (leading me to want to fade him tonight). So, if you are fading Nurkik, who do you play? Enes Kanter, that’s who. Kanter will benefit if Nurkic cannot perform. But most realistically, I see Kanter performing best if Nurkic hits foul trouble. Pairing Nikola Jokic and Enes Kanter tonight is a solid strategy. Kanter only played six minutes in their last game but he can see upwards of 22 if Nurkic struggles. Portland’s backup center is only for GPP purposes and is the perfect pivot off of a chalky Nurkic. You should not play these two big men in the same lineup.
Other C Option: Nikola Jokic & Bam Adebayo
Bargain Bin
PG Kendrick Nunn / Goran Dragic
SF Trevor Ariza
