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Stat attack!: Players Championship preview

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PONTE VEDRA BEACH, FL - MAY 12: Tiger Woods holds the trophy after winning THE PLAYERS Championship at THE PLAYERS Stadium course at TPC Sawgrass on May 12, 2013 in Ponte Vedra Beach, Florida. (Photo by Richard Heathcote/Getty Images)

Whether you believe the Players Championship at TPC Sawgrass is worthy of fifth-major status or you think it’s just a regular PGA Tour event with a stellar field, there’s one thing you cannot dispute. It almost always crowns a worthy champion. Every winner since the tournament moved to May in 2007, led by top-ranked Tiger Woods (shown) a year ago, was ranked in the top 40 on the Official World Golf Ranking at the time of his victory. And not since 199th-ranked Craig Perks won in 2002 has the Players champ been outside the top 100.

World Ranking of Players Championship winners: 2007-2013

YearPlayerWorld rank
2013Tiger Woods1
2012Matt Kuchar16
2011K.J. Choi34
2010Tim Clark40
2009Henrik Stenson9
2008Sergio Garcia18
2007Phil Mickelson3

In 2013 Tiger Woods’ 13-under 275 total was enough to beat Kevin Streelman, David Lingmerth and Jeff Maggert by two strokes. Woods was the third straight winner to finish at 13-under and the third winner in a row to shoot a 70 in the final round. But Woods, Matt Kuchar in 2012 and K.J. Choi in 2011 got there in different ways.

Stats of past three Players champions

YearWinnerAccuracyGIRScrambling

Str.gained
putting

2013Tiger Woods67.86 (T-19)76.39 (T-3)70.59 (6).445 (38)
2012Matt Kuchar62.50 (T-37)76.31 (T-3)63.16 (21)2.09 (2)
2011K.J. Choi71.34 (T-10)69.44 (T-21)77.27 (3)2.05 (2)

Choi and Kuchar had stellar weeks with the putter, while Woods was just average on the greens. Tiger and Kuchar, meanwhile, were among the best the field in greens in regulation, while Tiger and Choi were stellar scramblers.

Hitting greens in regulation has always been a key statistic for the Players champion. In the last 10 years the winner has also been in the top four in greens hit. Since 1982, when stats were first kept, 10 Players champions have also led the field in greens in regulation.

Players winners who led the field in greens in regulation

YearPlayerGreens hit
2008Sergio Garcia56
2006Stephen Ames52
2005Fred Funk58
2004Adam Scott54
2000Hal Sutton54
1993Nick Price61
1991Steve Elkington64
1988Mark McCumber57
1985Calvin Peete57
1982Jerry Pate54

With that in mind, let’s look at the current PGA Tour leaders in GIR. The group as a whole has had very little success at TPC Sawgrass. Of the eight players currently in the 2014 Players field, only Ryan Palmer has a previous top-10 finish at Ponte Vedra.

PGA Tour leaders in greens in regulation

GIR RankPlayerGIR Pct.In Players

Players
starts

1Graham DeLaet72.06Yes2
2Chad Campbell72.63No
3Harris English71.71Yes2
4Dustin Johnson70.77Yes6
5Justin Hicks70.37Yes0
6Boo Weekley70.28Yes7
7Ryan Moore70.28Yes7
8John Merrick70.20Yes6
9Ryan Palmer70.00Yes8
10Andrew Svoboda69.97Alternate0

Lurking behind Svoboda is Masters champion Bubba Watson in 11th on the GIR list, and not much farther back is Sergio Garcia. The Spaniard has lamented his inability to win a major, but he’s had no such problem at the Players, winning the 2008 tournament at TPC Sawgrass. He finished second to Phil Mickelson a year earlier and is one of 12 players in this year’s field who have a subpar score scoring average at the Players in 20 or more rounds at TPC Sawgrass.

Lowest scoring average at TPC Sawgrass: 20 or more rounds

PlayerScoring averageRounds
Henrik Stenson71.1828
Martin Kaymer71.3520
Luke Donald71.4238
Zach Johnson71.4434
Matt Kuchar71.4529
Ben Crane71.5632
Adam Scott71.6442
Sergio Garcia71.7152
Hunter Mahan71.8323
Jeff Overton71.8520
J.B. Holmes71.9624
Phil Mickelson71.9670

That’s a pretty impressive list, but only five players from this group – Stenson, Kuchar, Scott, Garcia and Mickelson - have won the Players title. Four players have won a major: Kaymer, Johnson, Scott and Mickelson.

Taking a closer look at Mickelson, who is closing in on 500 career PGA Tour starts (the Players is his 498th), it’s worth noting that Lefty is one of seven players players who have won the Players, the U.S. Amateur and a major championship.

Players who have won the Players, the U.S. Amateur and a major title

PlayerTPC winAmateur winMajor titles
Justin Leonard199819921
Phil Mickelson200719905
Jack Nicklaus1974, 76, 781956, 6118
Jerry Pate198219741
Hal Sutton200019801
Lanny Wadkins197919701
Tiger Woods2001, 131994, 95, 9614

Former Amateur champ Matt Kuchar won the Players in 2012 and came close to joining this group at the Masters. Kuchar was one stroke off the 54-hole lead at Augusta National, before shooting 74 Sunday to finish T-5. But he rebounded with a win at the RBC Heritage and now has four consecutive top-five finishes on Tour inlcuding a playoff loss at Houston and a T-4 at the Valero Texas Open. Given his strong recent play and the fact he’s fifth on the Sawgrass scoring list, Kuchar might very well get is second Players crown before he wins his first major championship.

Kuchar made the most of his one start since the Masters, but six players in the field at Sawgrass have not played anywhere in the world since the first major of the year. Five of them are ranked in the top 20 on the Official World Golf Ranking, led by No. 2 Adam Scott. Does taking a month-long break between top-tier tournaments benefit the rested player? It sure helped Tiger Woods a year ago. The world No. 1 was T-4 at the Masters and didn’t play for another month before winning the Players.

Players making their first appearance since the Masters

PlayerMasters finishCurrent world rankRank after Masters
Adam ScottT-1422
Bubba WatsonWon44
Sergio GarciaMC97
Dustin JohnsonMC1313
Steve StrickerT-311615
Joost LuitenT-264144

One final thought: You cannot write a column about the Players Championship without mentioning the famed 17th hole at TPC Sawgrass’ Stadium course. The par-3 with the island green is one of the most iconic golf holes on Tour and it never fails to raise the heart rate during Players week. Did you know, however, that since 2003 the 17th green is the second easiest to hit in regulation. But avoiding the water isn’t the only obstacle facing the pros. You still have to make your putts, which is much easier said than done. The 17th has yielded 304 three-putts or worse since 2003, the second most of any hole on the course.