Premier League 2023-24 season: Title odds, way-too-early predictions
The Premier League’s 2022-23 season has finally come to a conclusion, allowing nerves to settle and a collective sigh from every single supporter.
That was wild.
So what will Manchester City, Arsenal, Liverpool, and their 17 closest friends do for an encore?
And how likely is it that City repeats as Premier League champion for a fourth time, something that hasn’t been done since -- checks notes, checks again, leafs through pages, scratches forehead -- ever?
Below you’ll find the early odds on who will win next season’s Premier League, plus a bevy of absolutely rudderless predictions from what’s to come in the new campaign... all after the jump.
Premier League 2023-24 season: Way-too-early predictions
It’s clear that Manchester City will be favored to win the Premier League again, but all it takes is a look back at last season to see how quickly things can go awry.
Liverpool was supposed to be Man City’s biggest rival for the 2022-23 Premier League Trophy, but it was Arsenal who led the table for much of the season and Manchester United who briefly joined in on the fun.
Tottenham and Chelsea fell off dramatically, while Newcastle United surged into the top four and several teams -- Brighton, Aston Villa, Brentford -- spent time as a hot-button underdog in the race.
Prediction No. 1: Erling Haaland will go back-to-back with the Golden Boot Award
Yeah, that’s not a wild prediction but it’s difficult to believe that Haaland won’t find another gear given that most players look more comfortable during their second year in Pep’s system. In fact, if Man City wins the Champions League this year, maybe Haaland’s focus will lead to 40 goals!
Prediction No. 2: The top-four and top-six races will be as insane as ever
It might be tempting to project drop-offs for Newcastle, Brighton, Brentford, and even Aston Villa given the potential for transfer tumult and the challenges of competing in Europe for all of those but the Bees, but at least two of the bunch will be alive in the top six picture provided health and a wise move or two.
And now think about this: Chelsea and Tottenham will only have the Premier League (and domestic cups) for their focus, while Liverpool will be able to prioritize the Premier League at least until it sees how it feels about the Europa League.
Prediction No. 3: Chelsea will adapt quickly under Mauricio Pochettino
Todd Boehly needs Mauricio Pochettino to work out. Mauricio Pochettino needs Mauricio Pochettino to work out. And Chelsea’s massive depth of talent should almost all be inspired for their second (or third, or fourth) chances at the club.
Sure there are questions regarding the atmosphere at the club but Pochettino’s going to have the rule of the roost from the first moment of preseason and he’ll have had lots of time to anticipate squad needs.
Chelsea just needs to score more goals and Pochettino will find finish from his men. Will it be enough to challenge for the league? It’s unlikely but the Blues should look a lot better with their focus on the league. And, hey, you wouldn’t rule out Chelsea claiming one of the cups!
Prediction No. 4: The relegation picture will be a bit more predictable
That’s not saying a ton given the Premier League’s bottom half was absolutely bonkers this season, but hear us out. West Ham, Wolves, Everton... the list of clubs that were surprisingly in or near the bottom three was long. It’s natural, usually a bit too much so, to predict that promoted teams will struggle but there are reasons to think all three sides will take some time to adjust to the level.
Burnley’s star of the season was Southampton loanee Nathan Tella and the Clarets will have several big questions to answer when it comes to loan players and the transfer market. Sheffield United still has Sander Berge and a few other stalwarts from their PL campaign but has to hope Iliman Ndiaye is ready to make the jump. and Luton Town has to make a huge adjustment quickly. That’s not to say some or all of the new boys won’t stay up, but it’s difficult to project a Fulham-like quickstart for any... at least right now.
Prediction No. 5: Declan Rice, Harry Kane to be Player of the Year contenders
Declan Rice has left West Ham United for Arsenal, and the only question seems to be this: Can a player who makes everyone else better get that much better himself? Rice’s skill set is very versatile and what he does best is the simple stuff. He will get a lot of love because he’s the type of player who makes everyone else’s job easier.
As for Harry Kane, the 30-goal man is on a mission to chase down Alan Shearer. Whether that continues at Tottenham as he goes on a free agent tour of the world, or if it happens in a leading role at Manchester United or another English club, it’s safe to say we’re going to see the best out of Kane assuming he stays healthy.
Premier League 2023-24 title odds
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Manchester City: -175
Manchester United: +1000
Aston Villa: +12500