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Toronto FC’s chances against Santos Laguna? We’re going with “slim.” Again.

CORRECTION MLS Toronto FC Wrapup Soccer

CORRECTS NAME TO ARON WINTER, INSTEAD OF STEFAN FREI - Toronto FC coach Aron Winter speaks at a news conference in Toronto on Monday, Oct. 24, 2011. Calling it a tale of two seasons, Toronto FC players and coaches say the Major League Soccer team is headed in the right direction despite again missing the playoffs. (AP Photo/The Canadian Press, Neil Davidson)


“So, you’re telling me there’s a chance”

No, Toronto FC’s chances tonight in Torreon, Mexico are not as bad Jim Carrey’s famously witless self-assessment. But the Reds’ odds of advancing in Champions League play certainly aren’t great either.

TFC has one cleat in the grave and the other on a banana peel when they visit Mexican power Santos tonight, still dreaming of a semifinal berth. They’ll need a win or a draw with at least two goals to go through (or a 1-1 draw to get into extra time.)

Let’s look at the following:

  • The TFC defense has serious issues, with seven goals allowed in three MLS matches, among the league’s worst.
  • The best defensive player, Torsten Frings, remains injured.
  • Seattle’s defense is better, and yet los Guerreros of Santos put a six-spot on the Sigi Sounders four weeks ago. (It was 7-3 on aggregate, by the way. Ouch.)
  • Toronto hasn’t won a match since stunning L.A. back on March 14.

Is there a case to be made that Aron Winter should concede this one (more or less), trot out a lesser experienced side, ask them to work the red off their shirts while he whistles Que Sera, Sera all the way?

Because there’s another important match coming up, an MLS biggie on Saturday. That’s against Montreal, a new rival. And it’s one TFC needs, a winnable contest against an expansion side where little has gone right so far.

Apparently, Winter isn’t thinking along the lines. Honestly, maybe he should.