San Diego (63-57) rallied from a two-run deficit to beat Milwaukee (74-45), 3-2 in the series opener. Jackson Merrill cranked a two-run homer in the seventh inning and Mason Miller recorded his 30th save of the season for the Padres.
Milwaukee had its two-game winning streak snapped yesterday, but is 5-2 over the last seven games. The Brewers offense is in a bit of a slide to start August. Milwaukee is hitting .222 (21st) and has 35 runs scored over 10 games (T-19th). However, the pitching continues to impress. The Brewers have a 3.13 ERA (7th), the second-best WHIP (1.02), and league-leading .192 OBA.
The Padres have won three straight games and four of the past five as the race for the NL Wild Card heats up. San Diego remains one game back of both Philadelphia and Arizona for the final two spots, but 2.5 games or more ahead of the field. In August, San Diego is top 10 in runs (46), hits (84), home runs (11), RBI (42), and stolen bases (7) through 10 games.
Let’s dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game details & how to watch Brewers at Padres
- Date: Tuesday, August 11, 2026
- Time: 9:40 PM EST
- Site: Petco Park
- City: San Diego, CA
- Network/Streaming: MLB TV
Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.
Odds for the Brewers at the Padres
The latest odds as of Tuesday:
- Moneyline: San Diego Padres (+126), Milwaukee Brewers (-135)
- Spread: Padres +1.5 (-149), Brewers -1.5 (+123)
- Total: 7.5
Probable starting pitchers for Brewers at Padres
- Tuesday’s pitching matchup (August 11): Kyle Harrison vs Walker Buehler
- Padres: Walker Buehler
2026 stats: 108.1 IP, 6-5, 5.07 ERA, 1.46 WHIP, 95 K, 45 BB
- Brewers: Kyle Harrison
2026 Stats: 88.2 IP, 9-2, 2.84 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, 111 K, 21 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not
- Fernando Tatis Jr is hitting .216 in August (8/37)
- Jackson Merrill is hitting .359 in August (14/39)
- Manny Machado hit .167 in August (6/36)
- Jackson Chourio is hitting .343 in August (12/35)
- William Contreras is hitting .152 in August (5/33)
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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Brewers at Padres
- San Diego is 65-55 ATS ranking sixth-best
- Milwaukee is 62-57 ATS, ranking ninth-best
- San Diego is 64-54-2 to the Under, ranking 9th-best
- Milwaukee is 66-50-3 to the Under, ranking second-best
- San Diego is 32-29 ATS at home
- Milwaukee is 27-26 ATS on the road
Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Padres and the Brewers
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday’s game between the Padres and the Brewers:
- Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Brewers on the Moneyline.
- Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Brewers at -1.5.
- Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Under on the Game Total of 7.5
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