Mets at Orioles Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 8

Its Tuesday, July 8 and the Mets (52-39) are in Baltimore to open a series against the Orioles (40-49).

Clay Holmes is slated to take the mound for New York against Brandon Young for Baltimore.

The Mets enter the series fresh off a weekend that saw them take two of three against the Yankees at Citi Field. As dominant as New York has been in Queens (33-14) they have endured some struggles on the road (19-25). They enter the series one game behind the Phillies in the National League East.

While probably the biggest disappointment in baseball this season, the Orioles are arguably playing their best baseball of late having won three straight and six of their last ten. That said, they still sit 12.5 games out of first place in the American League East.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

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Game details & how to watch Mets at Orioles

• Date: Tuesday, July 8, 2025
• Time: 6:35PM EST
• Site: Oriole Park at Camden Yards
• City: Baltimore, MD
• Network/Streaming: SNY, MASN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Mets at the Orioles

The latest odds as of Tuesday:

• Moneyline: Mets (-126), Orioles (+106)
• Spread: Mets -1.5
• Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Mets at Orioles

• Pitching matchup for July 8, 2025: Clay Holmes vs. Brandon Young
  
  • Mets: Clay Holmes (8-4, 2.99 ERA)
    Last outing: 7/2 vs. Milwaukee - 5.1IP, 2ER, 3H, 4BB, 1K
  • Orioles: Brandon Young (0-3, 7.02 ERA)
    Last outing: 7/1 at Texas - 4IP, 3ER, 6H, 2BB, 4Ks

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Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mets at Orioles

• The Orioles have won 3 straight home games against the Mets
• The Under is 24-19-1 in the Mets’ road games this season
• The Mets have failed to cover the Run Line in 10 of their last 12 matchups against the Orioles
• In 4 appearances this season, Brandon Young has yet to finish 5 innings
• Jackson Holliday was 5-14 in the series this past weekend against Atlanta
• Juan Soto was 4-11 with 1HR in the weekend series against the Yankees

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Mets and the Orioles

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Tuesday’s game between the Mets and the Orioles:

• Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
• Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Baltimore Orioles at +1.5.
• Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

• Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
• Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
• Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
• Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)