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DFS Dish: BMW Championship at Wilmington Country Club

Sam Burns

Sam Burns

Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Wilmington Cheesesteak doesn’t quite have the same ring as Philly, but golfers in this week’s BMW Championship field will be able to enjoy this regional staple all week.

Leg two of the FedExCup Playoffs is set to take place this week just outside of Philadelphia, at Wilmington Country Club’s South Course.

This Robert Trent Jones Sr. design is hosting its first PGA TOUR event so fantasy gamers have no history to lean on this week.

Instead, let’s focus on some broad, course-fit stats to see who we might want to pop into our DFS lineups this week.

Booming on Bentgrass

We are back on bentgrass this week at Wilmington Country Club.

Here is a good quote from Jim ‘Bones’ MacKay on how grass types can play a part. “On Bermuda greens, I give two reads: a firm-speed read and a dying-speed read. You have options because you can afford to take some of the break out of the putt by hitting it harder, knowing the ball won’t roll too far past. On bentgrass greens, however, there really is only one true read: one where the ball will roll a foot and a half by the hole if it doesn’t go in.”

Golfers that grew up in the Southeast are very comfortable on bermuda but those that grew up in California or Northern states often have more comfort on bentgrass.

Looking at the last two years of results across the globe, here are the top performers in adjusted strokes gained on courses with bentgrass greens:

Jon Rahm
Rory McIlroy
Xander Schauffele
Justin Thomas
Patrick Cantlay
Tony Finau
Sam Burns
Shane Lowry
Corey Conners
Scottie Scheffler
Sungjae Im
Seamus Power
Will Zalatoris
Jordan Spieth
Harold Varner III

I heard the feedback, folks. People wanted the overlap list to return so here is a look at performance versus baseline to see who shows a largest increase in performance when heading to a course with bentgrass greens:

K.H. Lee
Mito Pereira
Seamus Power
Chez Reavie
Sebastian Munoz
Harold Varner III
Lucas Herbert
Keith Mitchell
Jon Rahm
Sam Burns
Shane Lowry
Kurt Kitayama
Christiaan Bezuidenhout
Davis Riley
Aaron Wise

Overlap List: names that show up on both lists include Jon Rahm, Sam Burns, Shane Lowry, Seamus Power, and Harold Varner III.

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Snapping a slump with Seamus

The Irishman, Seamus Power ($7,100 DK) has played just twice since the start of July and missed the cut in both events. So, he’ll likely be off the radar for most DFS gamers this week. If we look just before that, he posted top 25s in four of his five lead-up starts to The 150th Open. The good play is not that far removed and the fact that he shows up on the overlap list above suggests he has the tools to contend, even in a strong field like this week’s BMW Championship. Given his lack of results in the last six weeks, this should not be considered a “safe” play but more of an option for larger-field contests where you are trying to find unique value plays to round out your roster.

Bermuda Burns...on bentgrass?

Longtime fans of Sam Burns ($10,500 FD) likely know about his comfort on bermudagrass, having grown up in Louisiana. Yet, he finds himself on the bentgrass overlap list above. He’s posted top 5 in four of his last 13 events on bentgrass greens, including a win at Colonial this season. Basically, what the stats are telling us is to just avoid him on poa annua but play him everywhere else. Burns shook off the rust last week with a T20 in Memphis. He’s fourth in the FedExCup standings and his boom-or-bust nature provides a lot of upside for weekly gamers.