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Red Sox vs. Blue Jays prediction: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets on August 10

The Red Sox (64-53) open a four-game series at Rogers Centre against the Blue Jays (56-63) tonight looking to get back on track after losing two in a row over the weekend to the Athletics. The Jays return home after taking two of three in Philadelphia against the Philles.

Despite dropping their last two games, the Red Sox have still won 27 of their last 32 contests and remain firmly in the American League postseason hunt. Toronto sits 3.5 games out of the final Wild Card spot.

Boston’s weekend series against the Athletics was an unusual stumble for one of baseball’s hottest teams. After routing Oakland 13-1 on Friday, the Red Sox dropped the final two games of the series, losing 7-3 on Saturday before falling 4-3 yesterday. The Saturday defeat snapped a nine-game winning streak, and Sunday’s loss marked the first time since July 1 that Boston had lost back-to-back games. Toronto spent the weekend in Philadelphia and nearly came away with a sweep. The Blue Jays won Friday’s opener 5-4 and followed with an 11-inning, 7-5 victory on Saturday. Yesterday, however, Toronto fell 7-6 in 12 innings.

Tonight, the Red Sox will hand the ball to veteran right-hander Sonny Gray (14-2, 2.78 ERA). Few are talking about his season, but Gray has been outstanding for the Sox. His most recent outing came on August 5 against the White Sox, when he tossed six scoreless innings, allowed just three hits, walked two, and struck out eight in a 4-0 Boston victory. Prior to that, he beat the Athletics despite allowing four runs over seven innings. Gray has faced Toronto twice this season and owns an 0-1 record with a 6.00 ERA against the Blue Jays.

Toronto counters with Jameson Taillon (2-6, 5.96 ERA), who is making just his second start since being acquired from the Cubs. In his Blue Jays debut on August 5 against Houston, Taillon allowed three runs on six hits over four innings, walking two and striking out four. He threw 80 pitches and was fortunate to escape with a no-decision as Toronto rallied for a 5-4 extra-inning win. Despite his struggles this season, Taillon has historically pitched well against Boston, posting a career 3-1 record and 2.59 ERA in eight starts against the Red Sox.

Lets dive further into tonight’s game and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game Details and How to Watch: Red Sox vs. White Sox

  • Date: Monday, August 10, 2026
  • Time: 7:07PM EST
  • Site: Rogers Centre
  • City: Toronto, ONT
  • Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, NESN, Sportsnet

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

The Latest Odds: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:

  • Moneyline: Boston Red Sox (-164), Toronto Blue Jays (+153)
  • Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+102), Blue Jays +1.5 (-122)
  • Total: 8.5 runs

Probable Starting Pitchers – Red Sox vs. Blue Jays for August 10

  • Red Sox: Sonny Gray
    Season Totals: 119.2 IP, 14-2, 2.78 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 106K, 32 BB
  • Blue Jays: Jameson Taillon
    Season Totals: 80.0 IP, 2-6, 5.96 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 72K, 29 BB

Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

  • Ernie Clement has hit safely in 4 of his last 5 games (6-24)
  • Caleb Durbin is just 2-9 in his career against Jameson Taillon but 1 of the 2 hits is a HR
  • Andres Gimenez is riding a 4-game hitting streak (7-17)
  • Kazuma Okamoto has struck out at least once in 10 straight games
  • George Springer is 10-32 with 2 HRs in his career against Sonny Gray
  • Ceddanne Rafaela is 10-37 in August with 3 HRs
  • Jarren Duran is 1-16 over his last 4 games

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top Betting Trends & Insights: Red Sox vs. Blue Jays

  • The Blue Jays are an MLB-best 67-46 on the Run Line this season
  • The Red Sox are 57-56 on the Run Line this season
  • The OVER has cashed 59 times in Toronto’s 119 games this season (59-56-4)
  • The OVER has cashed 52 times in Boston’s 117 games this season (52-61-4)

Reds enter crucial stretch to push for Wild Card
Dave Flemming, Kevin Frandsen and Sam LeCure assess where the Nationals and Reds stand as the season enters a critical stretch, including why it's "go time" for Cincinnati to make its Wild Card push.

Expert picks & predictions: Red Sox vs. White Sox for August 10

Rotoworld Bet Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for tonight’s game between the Blue Jays and the Red Sox:

  • Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Red Sox on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play on the Red Sox on the Run Line.
  • Total: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 8.5

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