Making sense of the NFL playoff picture, with 16 games to go
Here’s a look at the most likely playoff seeds in the AFC and NFC, heading into the final Sunday of the 2013 NFL season:
Home-field advantage: Denver, with a win on Sunday or a New England loss. New England would clinch home-field advantage with a win and a Denver loss.
2 seed: New England, with a win on Sunday or losses by the Bengals and Colts. Cincinnati and Indianapolis are both still in the hunt for the 2 seed but need help. Denver would fall to the 2 seed with a loss and a New England win.
3 seed: Cincinnati, assuming the favored teams win on Sunday. The Bengals could still move up to the 2 seed or drop to the 4 seed, and so could the Colts.
4 seed: Indianapolis, assuming the favored teams win on Sunday. The Colts could still move all the way up to the 2 seed, but they need to win and the Patriots and Bengals both need to lose.
5 seed: Kansas City has clinched the 5 seed. The Chiefs are the only playoff team with nothing to play for on Sunday.
6 seed: Miami, if all the favored teams win on Sunday. Baltimore needs to upset Cincinnati and needs either the Dolphins or Chargers to lose. San Diego needs to win and needs Baltimore and Miami both to lose. Pittsburgh needs to win while Miami, Baltimore and San Diego all lose. If Pittsburgh, Miami, Baltimore and San Diego all lose, the Ravens get the 6 seed.
Home-field advantage: Seattle, with a win on Sunday or a 49ers loss. Carolina can still earn home-field advantage with a win, a Seattle loss and a San Francisco win. San Francisco can still earn home-field advantage with a win and losses by both the Seahawks and the Panthers.
2 seed: Carolina clinches the NFC South and a first-round bye with a win or a New Orleans loss. New Orleans would clinch the NFC South and the 2 seed with a win and a Carolina loss. San Francisco would be the 2 seed with a win, a Seahawks loss and a Panthers win.
3 seed: Philadelphia clinches the 3 seed with a win on Sunday. If the Eagles lose, the 3 seed would either be the Bears (if they beat the Packers) or the Cowboys (if the Packers beat the Bears).
4 seed: Green Bay will be the 4 seed with a win at Chicago on Sunday, a win the Packers are now favored to get with Aaron Rodgers back. Chicago will be the 4 seed if it beats Green Bay and Philadelphia beats Dallas. The Cowboys will be the 4 seed if they beat the Eagles and the Bears beat the Packers.
5 seed: San Francisco will be the 5 seed with a win and a Seahawks win. If the 49ers win and the Seahawks lose, the Seahawks will be the 5 seed. If the 49ers lose and the Saints win, the Saints will be the 5 seed and the 49ers will be the 6 seed.
6 seed: New Orleans will be the 6 seed with a win and a 49ers win. If the Saints win and the 49ers lose to the Cardinals, the Saints will be the 5 seed and the 49ers will fall to the 6 seed. If the Cardinals beat the 49ers and the Saints lose to the Buccaneers, the Cardinals will be the 6 seed and the Saints will be out of the playoffs.