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PFT’s Week 13 picks

Miami Dolphins v Cleveland Browns

CLEVELAND, OH - NOVEMBER 24: A fan holds up a sign referencing the fight during the game between the Cleveland Browns and the Pittsburgh Steelers while watching the game at FirstEnergy Stadium on November 24, 2019 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Kirk Irwin/Getty Images)

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It’s probably over. OK, it’s over.

With five weeks to go, MDS has built a 10-game cushion. It’s going to be very hard for me to catch, especially if (as this week) we’re only going to disagree on one game.

I was 9-5 last week, and MDS went 11-3. For the year, he’s now 118-58. I’m at 108-68.

Bears at Lions

MDS’s take: The Bears are still clinging to remote playoff hopes, while the Lions’ season is spiraling downward. This will be an ugly game to watch before your turkey.

MDS’s pick: Bears 19, Lions 6.

Florio’s take: The Bears scratch and claw toward what would be one of the most unlikely playoff berths in years. They won’t get there, but it’s fun to watch.

Florio’s pick: Bears 20, Lions 10.

Bills at Cowboys

MDS’s take: Jason Garrett needs to bounce back from the loss that made his boss say he got out-coached. I think the Cowboys’ offense will prove too much for the Bills’ defense.

MDS’s pick: Cowboys 28, Bills 20.

Florio’s take: Cowboys coach Jason Garrett seems to be at his best when he is desperate. On Thursday, he is desperate.

Florio’s pick: Cowboys 23, Bills 16.

Saints at Falcons

MDS’s take: Can the Falcon upset the Saints on Thanksgiving night, just as they did in New Orleans a couple weeks ago? I don’t see it happening.

MDS’s pick: Saints 24, Falcons 13.

Florio’s take: The push for a bye, and possibly the top seed, continues with a shot at righting the wrong of an ugly home loss to the Falcons.

Florio’s pick: Saints 38, Falcons 31.

Browns at Steelers

MDS’s take: The winner of this game will be well positioned in the AFC wild card race, which is quite a turnaround given how bad both of these teams have looked at times this season. I think the Steelers made the right move going to Devlin Hodges, and they’ll pull out a win.

MDS’s pick: Steelers 20, Browns 17.

Florio’s take: The Steelers get a little revenge, without banging anyone over the head with their own helmet.

Florio’s pick: Steelers 17, Browns 13.

Packers at Giants

MDS’s take: The Packers looked terrible last week against the 49ers, but a visit to the Giants should be just what the doctor ordered.

MDS’s pick: Packers 30, Giants 17.

Florio’s take: Green Bay should go 4-1 down the stretch, which should be good enough to win the division but not good enough to secure a bye.

Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Giants 10.

Eagles at Dolphins

MDS’s take: The Eagles looked terrible last week against the Seahawks, but a visit to the Dolphins should be just what the doctor ordered.

MDS’s pick: Eagles 28, Dolphins 14.

Florio’s take: If the Eagles lose this one, they can forget about the playoffs.

Florio’s pick: Eagles 24, Dolphins 13.

Buccaneers at Jaguars

MDS’s take: Jameis Winston is always a sure thing to throw a couple great passes and a couple terrible passes, and the key to the game is what he does on all his other plays. I think he’ll do enough to outscore a struggling Jaguars offense.

MDS’s pick: Buccaneers 28, Jaguars 21.

Florio’s take: The Battle for Florida will definitely not result in any sort of trophy, but it could be an exciting game between teams currently moving in different directions.

Florio’s pick: Jaguars 34, Buccaneers 31.

Titans at Colts

MDS’s take: The AFC South is still a three-team race, but the loser of this game is in a world of hurt. I think this is the game when Ryan Tannehill comes back to earth and the Colts win a low-scoring affair.

MDS’s pick: Colts 14, Titans 13.

Florio’s take: The loser of this one will have a hard time making it to January, and the Colts are too good to be in that position on Thanksgiving weekend.

Florio’s pick: Colts 21, Titans 20.

Jets at Bengals

MDS’s take: With Andy Dalton back under center, the Bengals earning their first win of the season wouldn’t shock me, but instead I think they’re going to fall just short.

MDS’s pick: Jets 21, Bengals 20.

Florio’s take: It may be too late for the Jets, especially with the Ravens looming in two weeks. But it’s fun to watch.

Florio’s pick: Jets 30, Bengals 17.

Washington at Panthers

MDS’s take: No two-game winning streak is on order for Washington, which has an offense that can barely move the ball.

MDS’s pick: Panthers 20, Washington 9.

Florio’s take: Ron Rivera may not make if to Week 17 if he loses this one.

Florio’s pick: Panthers 27, Washington 13.

49ers at Ravens

MDS’s take: An outstanding game between the Ravens’ historic offense and the 49ers’ stout defense. I like Lamar Jackson to make enough plays with his feet to win a close one.

MDS’s pick: Ravens 24, 49ers 20.

Florio’s take: Game of the year? Game of the year.

Florio’s pick: Ravens 24, 49ers 21.

Rams at Cardinals

MDS’s take: The Rams are down to their last chance to turn this season around, and I think they’ll get the win they need in Arizona.

MDS’s pick: Rams 22, Cardinals 17.

Florio’s take: A get-right game for the Rams, even though things probably won’t stay that way.

Florio’s pick: Rams 31, Cardinals 27.

Chargers at Broncos

MDS’s take: Both of these teams are out of the AFC West race, but I think the Chargers will be a little more competitive down the stretch.

MDS’s pick: Chargers 17, Broncos 14.

Florio’s take: The Chargers have begun to emotionally detach from Philip Rivers, and it will affect them just enough to give the Broncos an opening to win.

Florio’s pick: Broncos 20, Chargers 17.

Raiders at Chiefs

MDS’s take: It’s not too late for the Raiders to make a push to win the AFC West, but it will be if they lose on Sunday, and that’s what I’m expecting them to do.

MDS’s pick: Chiefs 30, Raiders 17.

Florio’s take: When Andy Reid has extra time to get ready, that’s very good for his team and bad for the other one.

Florio’s pick: Chiefs 31, Raiders 21.

Patriots at Texans

MDS’s take: Patriots cornerback Stephon Gilmore is leading one of the best pass defenses we’ve ever seen in the NFL, and Deshaun Watson is going to struggle against them.

MDS’s pick: Patriots 24, Texans 13.

Florio’s take: The Patriots know they have no margin for error, not with the Ravens still hot on their heels. Meanwhile, Bill O’Brien has never beaten Bill Belichick.

Florio’s pick: Patriots 21, Texans 17.

Vikings at Seahawks

MDS’s take: This is a very important game to the NFC playoff race, and I think a hostile atmosphere in Seattle is going to be too much for the Vikings.

MDS’s pick: Seahawks 24, Vikings 17.

Florio’s take: That win over the Cowboys hardly means that the Vikings have exorcised their prime-time demons.

Florio’s pick: Seahawks 24, Vikings 20.