I love when the market speaks to us.
The run total for the Minnesota Twins and Cleveland Indians opened up early this morning at 8. The 8s have mostly left the nest as it’s almost entirely 7.5 with juice to the Over. A couple 8s are still available at u-115.
We’ve already covered how strong the Tribe have been to the Under this season. At the time of that column, Cleveland was 15-and-3 to the Under. Obviously, that’s not sustainable over the long haul, but their pitching staff continues to sparkle and their offense remains anemic. A current check of the numbers shows the Indians at 20-8-1 (71%) to the Under. A $100 bettor is up over $1,000 per Rotoworld’s Edge Finder.
Shane Bieber (5-0, 1.11 ERA) gets the ball tonight at Progressive Field and he’s been a Cy Young candidate from jump street. Bieber has punched out an incredible 65 batters in 40 innings with only six free passes to show. I don’t know which number is more impressive.[[ad:athena]]
40-year-old Rich Hill (1-1, 4.70 ERA) hasn’t had the greatest start to his 2020 campaign, but then again, this Indians offense could be much needed medicine. They’re the ninth-easiest team to strikeout, 23rd in runs scored, 25th in homers and 28th in batting average.
Woof.
Hill obviously doesn’t have the zip he once possessed, but that big, loopy curveball is still a nightmare for hitters. I could wax poetic about Bieber for hours although I feel like you already get the point. That’s a bad man with serious swing-and-a-miss stuff. Both pitchers have an uncanny ability to get out of jams. And baserunners will be at a premium in this one.
It just feels like one of those 4-2 finals either way. I obviously like it a lot more at 8 than I do at 7.5 for obvious reasons. Still a pretty strong lean to the Under even at 7.5. Just blame me for waking up too late if it lands on 8.
Play on Under 8 (-115) runs in Cleveland.
