Sometimes, you’ve got to bet against Goliath.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are an absolute juggernaut in the National League right now. They’ve won 35 of their 50 games this season and boast a Major League leading +102 run differential. L.A. can beat you pretty much every way in a baseball game too. One day it’s their offense, it’s pitching the next and defense the day after that.
This means you’re going to pay a premium every time you bet the Dodgers. Lines are shaded higher no matter what because they’re a great team and everybody knows it. If you wait for the right underdog in the right spot though, the Dodgers can be had.
Take tonight for example. Los Angeles goes into Denver to face the Rockies with dueling southpaws Julio Urias (3-0, 3.53 ERA) and Kyle Freeland (5-5, 3.54 ERA) on the mound. The Dodgers opened as a -165 favorite and despite around 70 percent of the tickets on L.A., the line hasn’t budged. PointsBet Sportsbook is still dealing Dodgers -165 with a total of 11.5 runs.[[ad:athena]]
A quick glance at Urias would unveil his 3-and-0 record so you’d probably think he’s made bettors money this year. That couldn’t be further from the truth. According to Rotoworld’s Edge Finder, Urias is the worst pitcher on the Dodgers for your bankroll. They’ve actually lost 5 of his 9 starts at very alarmingly high favorite prices. Urias has already lost at -280, -210, -240 and -320 this season. Yikes.
I’m pretty crazy, but not crazy enough to bet against the Dodgers on the moneyline tonight.
What I will do is pick the Rockies on the runline at a great plus-money price. You can get +1.5 runs at +100 right now at PointsBet. They don’t even have to win the game to win the bet. We win with a 7-6, 6-5 or 5-4 loss. Interested now?
Arm the slingshot and let’s hope Nolan Arenado has a big day at the plate.
Play on the Rockies +1.5 runs (+100).
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