The market love continues for the Cincinnati Reds and starter Sonny Gray. The 30-year-old righty is already 4-and-1 on the season with a 2.05 ERA. Bettors have made money when Gray starts, so they’re going to continue to bet him.
Cincinnati opened as a -125 road favorite and they’ve been bet up as high as -145 against the St. Louis Cardinals. Problem is, righty Adam Wainwright (2-0, 1.64 ERA) has been just as good for the Redbirds if not better. He’s only allowed five hits and two runs over 11 innings of work.
I feel like this line is too inflated.[[ad:athena]]
Granted, the Cardinals are going to be a tough team to peg this year because of all the doubleheaders and potential fatigue factor. But when you’re getting one of their best arms at home at a plus price?
I’m pulling the trigger.
Wainwright has always been a more dominant pitcher at Busch Stadium (old Busch too). The proof is in the pudding. Waino has a 89-and-47 record with a 2.84 ERA pitching in St. Louis. And according to Rotoworld’s Edge Finder, the Cardinals are 144-and-80 all-time when he takes the mound at home. That’s a 64 percent success rate and a $100 bettor is up almost 18 units.
Gray struggled in his lone road start of 2020, where he gave up four runs in a 9-3 loss at Milwaukee.
Play on the Cardinals +130. The home dog is barking.
