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Marlins at Mets prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for August 29

Its Friday, August 29 and the Marlins (63-71) are in Queens to take on the Mets (72-62) in the second game of their weekend series.

Eury Pérez is slated to take the mound for Miami against Jonah Tong for New York. This is Tong’s major league debut.

The series opener was handed to the Marlins. Miami won 7-4 thanks in large part to three New York errors that resulted in five unearned runs. Liam Hicks picked up a couple of hits for the Marlins and Pete Alonso homered for the 30th time this season for the Mets.

Lets dive into today’s matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Marlins at Mets

  • Date: Friday, August 29, 2025
  • Time: 7:10PM EST
  • Site: Citi Field
  • City: Queens, NY
  • Network/Streaming: FDSNFL, SNY

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Marlins at the Mets

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Moneyline: Marlins (+143), Mets (-172)
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Marlins at Mets

  • Pitching matchup for August 29, 2025: Eury Pérez vs. Jonah Tong
    • Marlins: Eury Pérez (6-3, 3.44 ERA)
      Last outing: August 24 vs. Toronto - 3.00 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts
    • Mets: Jonah Tong (0-0, 0.00 ERA)
      Last outing: This is Tong’s major league debut

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Marlins at Mets

  • 6 of the Mets’ last 8 home games have gone over the Total
  • The Mets are showing a profit of 1.37 units on the Run Line in their last 5 games at Citi Field
  • The Mets have won 4 of their last 5 games against NL East opponents
  • Francisco Lindor has at least 2 hits in each of his last 3 games (7-13)
  • Pete Alonso has hit in 4 straight games (8-17)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Marlins and the Mets

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Marlins and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Miami Marlins at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page fromNBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)