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Nationals at Phillies Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for May 1

It’s Thursday, May 1 and the Nationals (13-18) are in Philadelphia to take on the Phillies (17-13). Brad Lord is slated to take the mound for Washington against Taijuan Walker for Philadelphia.

Philadelphia extended its winning streak to four games after beating Washington, 7-2. Kyle Schwarber kicked off the first inning with a three-run homer that set the stage for how the game was to go. The Phillies are now 4-1 against Washington this season and can earn its second sweep of the earlier year (swept Colorado).

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Nationals at Phillies

  • Date: Thursday, May 1, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM EST
  • Site: Citizens Bank Park
  • City: Philadelphia, PA
  • Network/Streaming: MASN, NBCSP, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Nationals at the Phillies

The latest odds as of Thursday:

  • Moneyline: Nationals (+141), Phillies (-168)
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for the Nationals at Phillies

  • Pitching matchup for May 1, 2025: Brad Lord vs. Taijuan Walker
    • Nationals: Brad Lord, (0-3, 4.67 ERA)
      Last outing: 4.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 3 Walks, and 6 Strikeouts
    • Phillies: Taijuan Walker, (1-2, 2.78 ERA)
      Last outing: 3.0 Innings Pitched, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Nationals and the Phillies

Rotoworld Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) leans the value on the Nationals ML:

“The Phillies are going for the sweep, which means most of the money and handle will be pn Philadelphia ML and -1.5 today. While they are the better team, Walker hasn’t been the best on the mound and yesterday’s early 3-0 lead didn’t do favors for the Nationals’ motivation. Avoiding the sweep will be enough today, so I’d have to lean toward Washington +1.5 and the ML.”

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Thursday’s game between the Nationals and the Phillies:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Philadelphia Phillies on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Washington Nationals at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the under on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Nationals at Phillies

  • The Phillies have won 12 of their last 15 home games against the Nationals
  • In his last 5 starts on the mound, the Phillies pitcher Taijuan Walker has an ERA of 5.00
  • The Phillies have won four straight games
  • The Phillies have covered the run line in four straight

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)