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Rays at Red Sox Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for July 11

It’s Friday, July 11 and the Rays (50-44) are in Boston to take on the Red Sox (50-45). Drew Rasmussen is slated to take the mound for Tampa Bay against Hunter Dobbins for Boston.

The Red Sox stormed back to steal the opening game of this four-game series against the Rays, 4-3. Boston was able to score three runs on two hits in the seventh inning before the bullpen held tight to extend the winning streak to seven games — a season-long for the Sox.

Tampa Bay is 1-3 in the last four, 2-5 in the past seven, and 3-8 in the previous 11, so the hits just keep coming for the Rays. The season series is Red Sox 5-2, however, the Rays scored 37 runs compared to the Sox’s 28 over the seven meetings.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Rays at Red Sox

  • Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
  • Time: 7:10PM EST
  • Site: Fenway Park
  • City: Boston, MA
  • Network/Streaming: FDSNSUN, NESN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Rays at the Red Sox

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Moneyline: Rays (-110), Red Sox (-109)
  • Spread: Rays -1.5
  • Total: 9.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Rays at Red Sox

  • Pitching matchup for July 11, 2025: Drew Rasmussen vs. Hunter Dobbins
    • Rays: Drew Rasmussen, (7-5, 2.82 ERA)
      Last outing: 2.0 Innings Pitched, 1 Earned Run Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 2 Strikeouts
    • Red Sox: Hunter Dobbins, (4-1, 4.10 ERA)
      Last outing: 4.0 Innings Pitched, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 4 Hits Allowed, 5 Walks, and 1 Strikeout

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Rays and the Red Sox

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Rays and the Red Sox:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Boston Red Sox on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Boston Red Sox at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Game Total of 9.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Rays at Red Sox

  • Tampa Bay is 10-8 when Rasmussen pitches this season
  • Boston is 7-5 when Dobbins pitches this season
  • Boston is on a season-long seven-game winning streak
  • The Red Sox have won 3 straight home games against the Rays
  • 4 of the Red Sox’s last 5 matchups with the Rays have stayed under the Total

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)