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Adjusted NFL win totals are here

Mike Tomlin

Mike Tomlin

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

It’s hard to believe we’re already in Week 9 of the NFL.

Before you know it, it’ll be Christmas.

PointsBet Sportsbook has created a market for adjusted NFL win totals at the halfway point of the season. This gives you a chance to jump into the pool after watching these teams for two months.[[ad:athena]]

The undefeated Steelers have an adjusted win total of 13.5 with -120 juice to the Over. That means they’re favored to actually win 14 games or more. The Chiefs’ number is also 13.5, but they’re juiced -175 to the Under. So PointsBet believes it’s more likely that the Chiefs finish with 13 wins or less.

Other teams with high adjusted totals are the Seahawks (11.5), Ravens (11.5), Buccaneers (11.5), Saints (10.5), Colts (10.5), Bills (10.5) and Packers (10.5).

The New York Jets (1.5) have the lowest total on the board followed by the Jaguars (2.5), Giants (3.5), Cowboys (4.5), Falcons (4.5), Texans (4.5) and Bengals (4.5).

The San Francisco 49ers are the only team without a listed number, likely because of all the mounting injuries and uncertainties.

Here’s the full list from PointsBet:

Steelers 13.5 O-120 U+100

Chiefs 13.5 O+145 U-175

Seahawks 11.5 O-200 U+165

Ravens 11.5 O-157 U+130

Buccaneers 11.5 O-130 U+110

Saints 10.5 O-105 U-115

Colts 10.5 O+110 U-135

Bills 10.5 O+165 U-200

Packers 10.5 O-110 U-110

Titans 9.5 O-182 U+150

Cardinals 9.5 O-175 U+145

Rams 9.5 O+100 U-120

Browns 9.5 O+150, U-182

Bears 8.5 O-200 U+165

Dolphins 8.5 O-120 U+100

Raiders 8.5 O-135 U+110

Lions 6.5 O-165 U+135

Vikings 6.5 O-145 U+120

Eagles O6.5 O-135 U+110

Patriots 6.5 O+110 U-130

Broncos 6.5 O+115 U-140

Chargers 6.5 O+120 U-145

Panthers 5.5 O-182 U+150

Football Team 5.5 O-105 U-115

Bengals 4.5 O-182 U+150

Texans 4.5 O-175 U+145

Falcons 4.5 O-145 U+120

Cowboys 4.5 O+100 U-120

Giants 3.5 O-170 U+140

Jaguars 2.5 O-170 U+140

Jets 1.5 O-130 U+110

These numbers bode well for my preseason picks on Colts Over 9 wins and Dolphins Over 6 wins. I could potentially set up a two-win middle shot on Miami by going Under 8.5 wins (+100). If they finish with 7 or 8 victories, that’s the nuts.

The other number that caught my eye was the Jets Under 1.5 wins at plus money. Come on. I feel like we’re being baited, but that’s a horrendous football team. Maybe they win once. Twice? Eh.

It’s also very strange seeing the Patriots (6.5) so low. Then again, they’ve lost four straight, Cam Newton has been awful and several defensive players are either hurt, on the trading block or sitting the season out.

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