Sunday Prop Shop Week 7: Bet on Chase Edmonds
Welcome to the Sunday Prop Shop.
Every weekend, we’ll dive inside the thousands of NFL props from our friends over at PointsBet Sportsbook. All prop bets will be tracked for accountability at the bottom of every write-up. Let’s go.
Carson Wentz Over 204.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Wentz has topped this prop in five of six games this year and his average passing yards sits at 257.5. The 49ers are a good defense but their opponent average is still at 216.6 yards per game. As four-point dogs, Wentz should be forced to pass more often than he has in most games this year.
Update: Weather concerns have dropped the total of this game two points. This bet still goes down on the ledger but wait to take any action involving this game until closer to kickoff.
Derrick Henry Under 2.5 Receptions (+125)
Henry has been used as a receiver more this year than any previous year but the under still has value this week. He hasn’t topped 2.5 receptions in any of the past three weeks and all of his games with more than three targets came in the first three games of the season. On the year, Henry is posting 2.7 catches per game. With the plus odds, betting against Henry as a pass-catcher shows plenty of value this week.
Miles Sanders Under 63.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Sanders has only topped this number once in five games this year. After starting the year with 28 carries, Sanders hasn’t seen more than 11 rushes in a game over the past four weeks. His team is passing on 62.6 percent of plays before factoring in how many of their rushing attempts are just Jalen Hurts scrambles. This week, as three-point dogs, they aren’t likely to establish a ground attack.
Jared Goff Under 264.5 Passing Yards (-120)
Goff has only topped this prop in two of six games this year and he is 1-of-5 in his previous five outings. His opponent, Los Angeles, is averaging 259.3 passing yards allowed per game. Pro Football Focus ranks the LA defense as the 11th-best coverage unit in the league. Revenge narrative aside, it’s not likely that Goff is able to put up an above-average performance versus the Rams’ defense.
Chase Edmonds Over 3.5 Receptions (+135)
Edmonds has topped this prop in four of six games and his receiving outcome hasn’t been directly correlated to his team’s success. As 18-point favorites versus the Texans, that fact is important. In games that the Cardinals have won by 10 or more points, Edmonds has still averaged 4.5 catches per game. At five targets per game, Edmonds is playing the role of an extra receiver and remains a solid bet to hit his overs until further notice.
Last Week: (1-4), -4.1 units
Season: 11-19, -10.2 units