A Christmas Day matinee in Landover featuring NFC East rivals struggling through disappointing 2025 seasons when the Commanders (4-11) play host to the Cowboys (6-8-1). Neither is getting within a sniff of the postseason as Dallas has been betrayed routinely by their defense while last season’s Offensive Rookie of the Year, Jayden Daniels, has played in just seven games this season for Washington. Yes, there have been additional issues in our nation’s capital, but the absence of a healthy Daniels has been at the epicenter of the Commanders’ woes.
The situation under center has gotten even more desperate for Washington as both Daniels and his backup, Marcus Mariota, are now sidelined with injuries meaning journeyman Josh Johnson is in line to get the start. The 17-year veteran has attempted a mere 14 passes over the course of the last three seasons. That’s far more than Phillip Rivers has attempted the last three seasons, but its still not a lot.
Lets take a look at the matchup including a few key stats and trends, the quarterbacks, and the injured.
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Game Details and How to Watch the Cowboys vs. the Commanders live Thursday
- Date: Thursday, December 25, 2025
- Time: 1:00PM EST
- Site: Northwest Stadium
- City: Landover, MD
- Network/Streaming: Netflix
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Game Odds: Cowboys at Commanders
The latest odds as of Monday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Dallas Cowboys (-285), Washington Commanders (+230)
- Spread: Cowboys -6.5
- Total: 50.5 points
This game opened at Cowboys -3 with the Game Total set at 51.5.
Be sure to check out DraftKings for all the latest game odds & player props for every matchup this week on the NFL schedule!
Quarterback Matchup: Cowboys at Commanders
- Cowboys Starting QB: Dak Prescott
Last Game: 12/21 vs. Chargers – 21-30, 244yds, 2TDs, 0INTs, 1 Sack, 2 carries for 14yds rushing
Season: 15GP, 378-552, 4175yds, 28TDs, 10INTs, Sacked 25 times, 47 carries for 154yds rushing
- Commanders Expected Starting QB: Josh Johnson
Last Game: 12/20 vs. Philadelphia – 5-9, 43yds, 0TDs, 1INT, Sacked 1 time, 1 carry for 0yds rushing
Season: 3GP, 5-9, 43yds, 0TDs, 1INT, Sacked 1 time, 1 carry for 0yds rushing
Cowboys at Commanders: Team Stats and Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 7-8 ATS this season
- The Commanders are 5-10 ATS this season
- The OVER has cashed in 10 of the Cowboys’ 15 games this season (10-4-1)
- The OVER has cashed in 8 of the Commanders’ 15 games this season (8-6-1)
- In November 2024, the Cowboys had two different players (KaVontae Turpin, Juanyeh Thomas) return kickoffs for touchdowns in the fourth quarter, a first in NFL history
- Dallas leads the all-time series with a record of 80-49-2
Cowboys Player Injuries
- LB DeMarvion Overshown (concussion) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- WR Ryan Flournoy (knee) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- RB Javonte Williams (neck) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- RG Tyler Booker (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- LT Tyler Guyton (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- WR KaVontae Turpin (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- DT Quinnen Williams (concussion) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- S Donovan Wilson (hip) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- CB Caelen Carson (shoulder) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- RB Phil Mafah (shoulder) is eligible to be activated off the IR
Commanders Player Injuries
- QB Marcus Mariota (hand) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- LT Laremy Tunsil (undisclosed) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- LB Bobby Wagner (knee) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- OT Brandon Coleman (shin) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- DT Daron Payne (back) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- DT Jer’Zhan Newton (concussion) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
- WR Jaylin Lane (ankle) was placed on the IR Monday and is OUT for Thursday’s game
- LB Nick Bellore (concussion) is listed as questionable for Thursday’s game
Rotoworld Best Bets
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NFL calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, stadium information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Best bets our model is projecting for this week’s game between the Cowboys and the Commanders
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is recommending a play ATS on the Dallas Cowboys -3.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the UNDER on the Game Total of 50.5.
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