Editor’s Note: Don’t forget to download the NBC Sports EDGE app to receive real-time player news and updates. Plus, it allows you to easily track your favorite players. Get it here!
With only two fixtures on tap in the English Premier League on Sunday, options are limited from a wagering standpoint. Although the potential betting opportunities are on the leaner side, that does not mean there are not overlays to be found. Below you will find a wager available at PointsBet from the Southampton v. Wolverhampton Wanderers match that currently offers an overlaid price.
For those unfamiliar with the term “overlay,” it simply refers to odds that are higher than an outcome’s true probability. For example, if an outcome has a 50% chance of happening, the correlating odds would be +100. If the odds offered on that specific event are +150, or an implied probability of 40%, then the price would represent an overlay.
SOUTHAMPTON v. WOLVES – TOTAL GOALS OVER / UNDER – UNDER 1.5 (currently +210 at PointsBet)
While contests between these two sides have seen their fair share of goals over the past few years, there’s reason to believe this match will be anything but a goal-scoring bonanza. Wolves and Southampton have a combined record of 1-4-5 in ten Premier League games this season, and in those ten games, the sides have totaled just six goals for while allowing eleven goals against.
[[ad:athena]]
Wolves appeared to be on the precipice of putting things together prior to a 2-0 defeat to the hands of Brentford last weekend, causing one to wonder if they are as close to taking that significant step forward as it may have seemed. Southampton, meanwhile, have rattled off five consecutive draws in the Premier League, with three of them coming against Manchester United, Manchester City, and West Ham.
Editor’s Note: Get an edge with our premium Betting Tools that are packed with live odds, betting trends, predictions, player prop projections, our extensive Edge Finder and much more. And don’t forget to use promo code WELCOME10 to get 10% off. Click here to learn more!
On aggregate, it is fair to conclude that Southampton is the side to beat at home Sunday, however their inability to score makes them a dicey proposition at odds of +160 (implied probability of 38.46%). Wolves have not fared much better on the goal scoring front, making the odds available on UNDER 1.5 goals total an appealing proposition. My numbers suggest the likelihood of a 0-0 draw, a 1-0 Southampton win, or a 1-0 Wolves win is 73.14% (odds of -272). When compared to the odds offered on this wager at PointsBet (+210; implied probability of 32.26%), it becomes clear why this is the play on Sunday.
PointsBet is our Official Sports Betting Partner, and we may receive compensation if you place a bet on PointsBet for the first time after clicking our links.
