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The craziness of Baylor-TCU, summed up in one chart

With just under 12 minutes left in the fourth quarter, TCU’s Marcus Mallet picked off Bryce Petty and raced 49 yards into the end zone. That pick six put TCU up 58-37 and seemingly on a path to legitimate contention for the College Football Playoff.

Consider this (and TCU fans, maybe stop reading here): After that pick six, the Horned Frogs had a 98 percent chance of winning.

Then this happened.

Love this win probability chart for TCU-Baylor from @ESPNStatsInfo. TCU hit 98% on Mallet pick-6. pic.twitter.com/TMJISGe9Bv

— Max Olson (@max_olson) October 12, 2014


TCU didn’t trail until Chris Callahan’s walk-off 28-yard field goal. Perhaps making things even tougher for TCU is a favorable schedule going forward: The Horned Frogs draw Oklahoma State and Kansas State at home, with road games at Texas and West Virginia perhaps a little tricky.

This was a team that had a clear path to running the table and breaking into the College Football Playoff. Now? They’ll need some help.