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Stat attack!: RBC Heritage preview

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AUGUSTA, GA - APRIL 08: Bubba Watson celebrates in his green jacket with Charl Schwartzel during The Masters at Augusta National Golf Club on April 8, 2012 in Augusta, Georgia. (Photo by Scott Halleran/Getty Images for Golfweek)

If there is such a thing as a Masters hangover, imagine our surprise when we awoke this morning to find out the PGA Tour season is half over. With the wrap-around season taking six events from the end of the Tour year and moving them to the beginning, the RBC Heritage will be the 23rd of 45 official events on the PGA Tour. With Bubba Watson’s Masters victory marking the end of the first half of the 2013-14 season, let’s look at some of the season’s statistical highlights

Where are the Euros?

Americans have won 18 of the first 22 events of the season and Australians have won the other four. It’s the first time that no European player has won on the PGA Tour by the Masters since 2004, when it took until May for Sergio Garcia to win at the Byron Nelson Championship. In fact, among European players who were in the top 60 in the final regular season FedEx Cup standings in 2013, only Garcia has a better ranking in 2013-14. Garcia is one of three Euros with four top-10s on the PGA Tour in 2013-14. Among the notable European players without a top-10 on Tour this year are Ian Poulter and Lee Westwood.

First victory by a European player on the PGA Tour: 2004-2013

YearPlayerTournamentNo. of events
2013Martin LairdValero Texas Open15
2012Rory McIlroyHonda Classic10
2011Luke DonaldWGC Match Play8
2010Ian PoulterWGC Match Play7
2009Paul CaseyShell Houston Open15
2008Daniel ChopraMercedes Benz Champ.1
2007Henrik StensonWGC Match Play8
2006Luke DonaldHonda Classic 11
2005Padraig HarringtonHonda Classic 11
2004Sergio GarciaByron Nelson Champ.20

FedEx Cup comparison for Europeans from 2013 to 2014

Player 2013 final reg. season rank2014 current rank
Justin Rose767
Henrik Stenson979
Graeme McDowell2839
Jonas Blixt2942
Lee Westwood3578
Martin Laird44130
Rory McIlroy4938
David Lynn54166
Luke Donald5571
Sergio Garcia5933

Most top 10s on Tour by Europeans in 2013-14

PlayerTop-10 finishes
Graeme McDowell4
Sergio Garcia4
Rory McIlroy4
Luke Donald2
Jamie Donaldson2
Russell Knox2
Robert Karlsson2
Justin Rose2

Bubba’s bruising start

Bubba Watson is off to the best start of his career. With two wins and two seconds, Watson has earned more than $4.5 million this season, which is more than 38 percent of his potential earnings. If he can maintain that pace through the second half of the year he will join Tiger Woods (five times) and Rory McIlroy (2012) as the only players to collect more than 37 percent of their potential earnings after making 10 or more starts in a season since 2005. (By way of explanation, if a player won every time he played, he would collect 100 percent of his potential earnings.)

Percentage of potential earnings won on PGA Tour in 2013-14

Pct. money wonPlayerEarningsPotential earningsStarts
38.17%Bubba Watson$4,533,006$11,876,0009
36.98Jason Day2,010,3605,436,0004
31.08Dustin Johnson3,346,15010,766,0008
24.52Jimmy Walker4,225,07117,228,00014
20.73Patrick Reed3,023,09114,586,00012
17.46Jordan Spieth2,621,22314,586,00012

Weekend warriors

With Harris English missing the cut at the Masters, Chris Kirk has now made the most starts this season without a missed cut. Kirk’s T-20 at the Masters marked the 13th time in 2013 that’s he qualified for the weekend. He is tied for the Tour lead in most cuts made this season.

Most cuts made without a miss in 2013-14

PlayerCuts madeBest finish
Chris Kirk13Won McGladrey Classic
Bill Haas12T-6 Humana, T-6 WGC-Cadillac
Hunter Mahan9T-4 Waste Management Phoenix Open
Jim Furyk7T-5 WGC Match Play

Most cuts made in 2013-14

PlayerCuts madeStarts
Chris Kirk1313
Jimmy Walker1314
Harris English1314
Cameron Tringale1316

The stars aren’t shining

Although every one of the top 10 players on the Official World Golf Ranking at the end of 2013 are still in the top 15 after the Masters, only two of them have won since the calendar turned. Zach Johnson, who won the Hyundai Tournament of Champions, is the only player from the group to win on the PGA Tour this season (and he’s actually fallen in the ranking from ninth to his current position of 12th). Sergio Garcia won the Commercialbank Qatar Masters on the European Tour. Tiger Woods had back surgery and Phil Mickelson has also battled injuries, but most of the others have contended this season. Could that mean there are more victories on the horizon for a group that includes three of 2013’s major champions? Here’s what they’ve done on Tour since January.

How the top 10 players on the year-end world ranking have fared in 2014

2013 rankPlayerCurrent rank2014 Tour startsCutsBestPGA Tour notable
1Tiger Woods133T-25 WGC CadillacBack surgery has put the rest of 2014 in limbo
2Adam Scott2663 Arnold Palmer145th on proximity to hole on approaches, 45th last year
3Henrik Stenson365T-5 Arnold Palmer

He’s 185th in strokes gained/putting out of 206 players ranked

4Justin Rose1165T-8 ValsparFairways hit (59.87) and GIR (65.15) percentages are career worsts
5Phil Mickelson885T-12 HoustonLast time he was this far into a season without a top 10 was 1992 and 6 of those starts were as an amateur
6Rory McIlroy 1055T-2 Honda3 top-10s and no finish worse than T-25 in 2014
7Matt Kuchar6982 Houston3 straight top-10s, but Sunday scoring avg. in last 5 starts is 73.8
8Steve Stricker1544T-24 HoustonHas earned between 48 and 56K in each of his 4 starts
9Zach Johnson12981-HyundaiMissed cut at the Masters was his first of the year
10Sergio Garcia7543 HoustonHe hadn’t been outside the top 20 all year until his MC at Augusta

Trending in the right direction

Six players (Jimmy Walker, Kevin Stadler, Chesson Hadley, Matt Every, Steven Bowditch and Matt Jones) won for the first time this season, but several other winless players are knocking on the door. Here’s a top-10 list of non-winners who have made more the cut more than 60 percent of the time in 10 or more starts this season and merit consideration at the RBC Heritage or at other future PGA Tour events.

PlayerStartsCutsTop 10sPlaying Heritage?
Brian Harman14103Yes
Ryo Ishikawa1493Yes
Russell Knox13112Yes
Graham Delaet1195No
Daniel Summerhays16112No
Chris Stroud 1183Yes
Brian Stuard14103Yes
Cameron Tringale16131Yes
Jason Kokrak1392Yes
Brendon Todd14122Yes