The finale of the four-game AL Central series between the Cleveland Guardians (54-49) and the Minnesota Twins (50-53) takes place this afternoon.
Minnesota snapped a four-game losing streak Wednesday with a 10-6 victory over Cleveland in a game that spoiled the return of Guardians superstar José Ramírez. Playing for the first time since June 13 following hand surgery. Ramírez made an immediate impact, going 2-for-5 with two RBIs and a run scored, but the Twins’ offense proved too much. The Twins jumped ahead when Trevor Larnach led off the game with a home run, but Cleveland answered with three early runs and looked well on their way to a third straight win over the Twins. The turning point came in the fourth inning, though. After an RBI infield single by catcher Alex Jackson, Brooks Lee crushed a three-run homer, turning a tie game into a 7-3 Minnesota advantage. Lee finished with four RBIs. Cleveland starter Slade Cecconi allowed seven hits and seven runs over 4.2 innings but just three earned runs. Three errors by the Guardians led to a total of six unearned runs on the night for the Twins.
Taj Bradley (9-4, 3.85 ERA) has been better than anticipated for Minnesota this season. He takes the mound for the Twins this afternoon. Bradley has held opposing hitters to a paltry .225 batting average and struck out 124 in 107.2 innings…and he has offered innings consistently pitching at least five innings in seven consecutive starts. That said, he was less than stellar in his last start. On July 18 against the Cubs, Bradley endured one of his rougher outings of the season. He surrendered five earned runs on seven hits over five innings, striking out six while walking three in a 6-2 Twins loss. Eleven days prior to that debacle, Bradley faced the Guardians. He dominated Cleveland allowing just one run over seven innings while striking out 10.
Gavin Williams (10-5, 4.00 ERA) takes the ball for the Guardians today. Williams continues to be one of Cleveland’s most electric arms, piling up 145 strikeouts in 119.1 innings. He has recorded seven quality starts this season. Like Bradley, though, Williams is looking to rebound today after a rough outing. Williams took the loss against Pittsburgh on July 18, allowing five earned runs over six innings while giving up seven hits. Just as the Guardians struggled against Bradley earlier this month, so did the Twins at the plate against Williams. On July 9, Williams dominated Minnesota striking out 11 Minnesota batters in a 5-2 victory.
It is a getaway day for these clubs which adds to the look that this game has all the ingredients for the UNDER to cash for the Game Total through five innings and possibly the full game.
Lets dive into tonight’s matchup and find a sweat or two.
We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
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Game Details and How to Watch: Twins vs. Guardians
- Date: Thursday, July 23, 2026
- Time: 1:10PM EST
- Site: Progressive Field
- City: Cleveland, OH
- Network/Streaming: MLB.TV, CLEGuardians.TV, Twins.TV
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The Latest Odds: Twins vs. Guardians
The latest odds as of Thursday courtesy of DraftKings:
- Moneyline: Minnesota Twins (+119), Cleveland Guardians (-144)
- Spread: Twins +1.5 (-186), Guardians -1.5 (+153)
- Total: 7.5 runs
Starting Pitchers and their Stats: Twins vs. Guardians for July 23
- Twins: Taj Bradley
Season Totals: 107.2 IP, 9-4, 3.85 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 124K, 43 BB - Guardians: Gavin Williams
Season Totals: 119.1 IP, 10-5, 4.00 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, 145K, 37 BB
Who’s Hot? Who’s Not! Twins vs. Guardians
- Byron Buxton is 3-7 in this series
- Trevor Larnach is 5-10 including 1 HR and 3 RBIs in this series
- Brooks Lee is 4-9 in this series with 1 HR and 5 RBIs
- Brayan Rocchio is 5-14 with 1 HR and 4 RBIs in this series
- Steven Kwan is 4-11 in this series
- Travis Bazzana was 0-3 yesterday but is 4-10 in this series
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Top Betting Trends & Insights: Twins vs. Guardians
- The Twins are 54-49 on the Run Line this season
- The Guardians are 55-48 on the Run Line this season
- The OVER has cashed 57 times in games involving the Twins this season (57-40-6)
- The OVER has cashed 49 times in games involving the Guardians this season (49-54)
Expert picks & predictions: Twins vs. Guardians
Rotoworld Bet Best Bet
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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today’s game between the Twins and the Guardians:
- Moneyline: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Guardians on the Moneyline.
- Spread: Rotoworld Bet is staying away from a play on the Run Line.
- Total: Rotoworld Bet is leaning towards a play on the Game Total UNDER 7.5.
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