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AFC playoff picture: Chiefs remain on top

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Peter King and Mike Florio size up the AFC playoff picture, including two hot teams in the AFC South and where the Steelers are following their surprising loss to the Broncos.

The Chiefs remain on top of the AFC playoff picture, but they’ll have to keep winning.

If Kansas City wants home-field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs, there’s not a lot of margin for error, as New England (which owns the head-to-head tiebreaker) is only a game back. Houston is also only a game back, and the Chargers are only a game back in the division.

Pittsburgh suffered a big loss on Sunday and no longer has the inside track for a bye week.

Here’s how the whole race looks after Week 12:

LEADERS
1. Kansas City (9-2): Still in first, but look out for the Chargers in the AFC West. And the Patriots and Texans for home-field advantage.

2. New England (8-3): Beating Houston head-to-head in Week One may prove to be huge.

3. Houston (8-3): A big lead in the AFC South.

4. Pittsburgh (7-3-1): The loss to the Broncos was a big one in the race for a bye week.

5. L.A. Chargers (8-3): Still a game behind the Chiefs, their meeting at Arrowhead will be big.

6. Baltimore (6-5): Wins the tiebreaker over Indianapolis based on AFC record.

OUTSIDE LOOKING IN
7. Indianapolis (6-5): The Colts just keep winning after a rough start to the season.

8. Miami (5-6): Owns the AFC record tiebreaker over Cincinnati, Tennessee and Denver based on AFC record.

9. Cincinnati (5-6): With Andy Dalton out for the season, their playoff hopes have likely gone from slim to none.

10. Denver (5-6): They’ll probably have to win out to make the playoffs, but the way they’ve been playing lately, that’s entirely possible.

11. Tennessee (5-6): The tiebreaker scenarios aren’t kind to the Titans.

12. Cleveland (4-6-1): They’re making progress, but not playoff contenders yet.

13. Buffalo (4-7): Certainly not a playoff team, but the Bills are playing better than most expected.

14. Jacksonville (3-8): Owns the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Jets.

15. N.Y. Jets (3-8): Todd Bowles is coaching out the string now.

16. Oakland (2-9): Gruden’s guys are playing for the first pick in the draft.