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Mariners at Mets Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for August 15

It’s Friday, August 15 and the Mariners (67-55) are in Queens to take on the Mets (64-57). Luis Castillo is slated to take the mound for Seattle against Sean Manaea for New York.

The Mets won the series opener over the Braves, but it was all Atlanta the next two games. New York is now 1-9 over the last 10 games and 2-13 in the previous 15 for the worst record over that stretch in all of baseball.

Seattle lost its last two games to Baltimore, which snapped an eight-game winning streak. Over the last 13 games, Seattle has won 10 of those contests.

Let’s dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two. We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on how to catch first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Mariners at Mets

  • Date: Friday, August 15, 2025
  • Time: 7:10PM EST
  • Site: Citi Field
  • City: Queens, NY
  • Network/Streaming: RSNW, SNY, MLBN

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Mariners at the Mets

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Moneyline: Mariners (+100), Mets (-120)
  • Spread: Mets -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Mariners at Mets

  • Pitching matchup for August 15, 2025: Luis Castillo vs. Sean Manaea
    • Mariners: Luis Castillo, (8-6, 3.19 ERA)
      Last outing: 2.57 ERA, 2 Earned Runs Allowed, 5 Hits Allowed, 0 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts
    • Mets: Sean Manaea, (1-1, 4.33 ERA)
      Last outing: 9.00 ERA, 4 Earned Runs Allowed, 6 Hits Allowed, 2 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Mariners and the Mets

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Mariners and the Mets:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Seattle Mariners at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC.

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Mariners at Mets

  • New York is 1-9 in the last 10 games
  • New York is 2-13 in the last 15 games
  • The Mariners have won 5 of their last 7 games against the Mets
  • The Under has cashed in the Mariners’ last 3 games
  • The Mets have covered the Run Line in 3 straight home games against the Mariners

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Trysta Krick (@Trysta_Krick)