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Phillies at Guardians Prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends and stats for May 9

Its Friday, May 9 and the Phillies (22-15) are in Cleveland to open a series against the Guardians (22-15).

Aaron Nola is slated to take the mound for Philadelphia against Gavin Williams for Cleveland.

The Phillies come to town following a three-game sweep of the Rays in Tampa Bay. Last night Philly won 7-6 in ten innings. Bryson Stott went 2-4 and drove in three runs in the win. Cleveland was off yesterday following a series in Washington. Wednesday, Cleveland outslugged the Nats 8-6. Gabriel Arias went 4-5 in the win.

Lets dive into the matchup and find a sweat or two.

We’ve got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.

Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long.

Game details & how to watch Phillies at Guardians

  • Date: Friday, May 9, 2025
  • Time: 7:10PM EST
  • Site: Progressive Field
  • City: Cleveland, OH
  • Network/Streaming: NBCSP, CLEG

Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out.

Odds for the Phillies at the Guardians

The latest odds as of Friday:

  • Moneyline: Phillies (-124), Guardians (+105)
  • Spread: Phillies -1.5
  • Total: 8.0 runs

Probable starting pitchers for Phillies at Guardians

  • Pitching matchup for May 9, 2025: Aaron Nola vs. Gavin Williams
    • Phillies: Aaron Nola (1-5, 4.61 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/3 vs. Arizona - 6IP, 0ER, 4H, 1BB, 8Ks
    • Guardians: Gavin Williams (2-2, 5.06 ERA)
      Last outing: 5/3 at Toronto - 4IP, 2ER, 7H, 5BB, 9Ks

Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type!

Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Phillies at Guardians

  • Three of Philadelphia’s last 4 games have gone OVER the Game Total but for the season Philly games are just 18-19 to the OVER
  • Cleveland’s last 5 games have gone OVER the Game Total and the Guardians are 21-14-2 to the OVER for the season
  • Trea Turner is riding a 7-game hitting streak (13-32)

If you’re looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!

Expert picks & predictions for tonight’s game between the Phillies and the Guardians

Rotoworld Best Bet

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Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts.

Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.

Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Friday’s game between the Phillies and the Guardians:

  • Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline.
  • Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Cleveland Guardians at +1.5.
  • Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the under on the Game Total of 8.0.

Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC

Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:

  • Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
  • Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
  • Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
  • Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)